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Brief Analysis
Changing Conventional Military Balance in the Gulf
In a September 7 interview with al-Jazeera, U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates stated, "The more that our Arab friends and allies can strengthen their security capabilities, the more they can strengthen their cooperation, both with each other and with us. I think this sends the signal to the Iranians
Sep 14, 2009
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Regime Change is Dead. Long Live Regime Change
Despite Iran's disappointing response this week to the international call for negotiations on its nuclear program, the Barack Obama administration continues to hold out hope that some combination of inducements and further pressures will persuade the Islamic Republic to abandon its quest for the bomb. But the fact is that
Sep 14, 2009
Articles & Testimony
What Next for Syria?
Shortly after taking office, in a dramatic departure from Bush-era policy, President Barack Obama made good on his pledge to reestablish dialogue with Syria. In recent months, in an effort to build confidence and improve the relationship, the administration has dispatched seven delegations to Damascus, including multiple visits from its
Sep 10, 2009
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Countering Today's Enduring and Adaptive Terrorist Threats
The director of the Defense Intelligence Agency briefs a special Policy Forum on the shifting capabilities and strategies of terrorist organizations around the world.
Sep 10, 2009
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Ronald Burgess
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
U.S.-Libya Relations
Washington Institute Next Generation fellow Dana Moss discussed Washington's relations with Tripoli in an online interview with Council on Foreign Relations editor Stephanie Hanson. Listen to the interview on CFR.org.
Sep 10, 2009
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Dana Moss
Articles & Testimony
Time to Get Serious about Helping Iran's Opposition
On Monday and Tuesday, Iranian police raided offices connected to top opposition leaders and former presidential candidates Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi. Many fear that the move signals that the regime's efforts to extinguish Iran's post-election unrest is moving to its next, perhaps decisive, phase: the arrest and decapitation of
Sep 10, 2009
Contending with Iran's Sponsorship of Terrorism and Weapons Proliferation
The following is a plenary lecture delivered at the Ninth Annual World Summit on Counterterrorism, "Terrorism's Global Impact," at the International Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT), Interdisciplinary Center (IDC), Herzliya, Israel. Watch video of this lecture. Iran is described by the U.S. government year in and year out in its annual
Sep 9, 2009
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Not a Bigger Slice, but a Bigger Pie
How can Turkey resolve its Kurdish problem? The "democratic opening process" recently launched by the Justice and Development Party, or AKP, government suggests granting the Kurds collective, ethnicity-based group rights as the way forward. This approach presents a problem since it challenges the very notion of a Turk -- someone
Sep 9, 2009
Brief Analysis
After the Crackdown:
The Iran Democracy Fund
Nearly three months have passed since Iran's bloody crackdown on the mass protests over the controversial June 12 presidential election. The Obama administration, however, has yet to determine a strategy to support the first serious challenge to the regime since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Last week's statement by Iran's top
Sep 8, 2009
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J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
Facing Homegrown Radicalization
Last month, Kamal Hassan, a Somali-American living in Minnesota, pled guilty to training and fighting with al-Shabab, an al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group in Somalia. In July, two other Somali-Americans in Minnesota pled guilty to similar charges, with the FBI continuing to investigate more than a dozen others who may have traveled
Sep 3, 2009
Brief Analysis
Rejectionists Readying to Counter U.S. Peace Push
With rumors in the air of a U.S.-brokered, mid-September meeting between Israeli and Palestinian leaders, various regional actors are busy positioning themselves for the coming round of diplomacy. Analysis of these dynamics provides some useful perspective on the road ahead, beyond the usual focus on the minutiae of settlement construction
Sep 1, 2009
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Spoilers:
The End of the Peace Process
In December 2000, the president had put forward his far-reaching set of parameters on all the final status issues. . . . He was even prepared to spend his last four days in office negotiating the deal. A desperate Barak was waiting for the call to a final summit meeting
Sep 1, 2009
Articles & Testimony
Syria Clenches Its Fist
Assad to Obama: Thanks but no thanks. Early last week, nearly seven months to the day after the Barack Obama administration took office and began its careful, critical engagement with the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, rumors swirled in Washington and the Middle East that the White House was
Aug 28, 2009
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Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Qadhafi's Time in the Limelight:
Impact on U.S. Interests
Numerous celebrations in Libya this week will mark the fortieth anniversary of the September 1 revolution spearheaded by Muammar Qadhafi. For the Great Leader, these events are an opportunity to demonstrate the achievements of the Jamahiriyya and to further legitimize his rule. At the same time, the release and triumphant
Aug 28, 2009
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Dana Moss
Articles & Testimony
Terrorist Dropouts:
One Way of Promoting the Counternarrative
As efforts to disrupt al-Qaeda and its affiliates continue, the U.S. government has slowly come to realize that military force alone cannot defeat radical extremism. Although al-Qaeda's ideas and those of like-minded groups must be challenged, it is clear that a single, overarching counternarrative cannot be expected to work across
Aug 25, 2009
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Putting Iraq's Security Agreement to the Vote:
Risks and Opportunities
On August 17, Iraq's Council of Ministers approved a draft legislation that would require the ratification of the U.S.-Iraq Security Agreement, also known as the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), in a national referendum coinciding with the national elections on January 16, 2010. Out of the 275 Iraqi parliamentarians, a
Aug 24, 2009
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Michael Knights
Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
Ahmadinezhad's Cabinet:
Loyalists and Radicals
On August 19, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad submitted his list of cabinet nominees to the Majlis (Iran's parliament). The president's choice of individuals clearly shows his preference for loyalty over efficiency, as he fired every minister who, while strongly supportive of him on most issues, opposed him recently on his
Aug 21, 2009
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
How Ahmadinejad Stole an Election --
And How He Can Fix It
Rarely does a country have such a clear choice as Iran did on June 12. On that day, nearly 40 million people voted for a president. The incumbent, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, pledged to continue his economic policies and his anti-Western, Holocaust-denying, nuclear-confrontational approach. His main opponent, Mir Hossein Mousavi, promised economic
Aug 20, 2009
Brief Analysis
Cracking Down on Iran's Illicit Trade
On August 13, President Barack Obama announced that his administration was reviewing the U.S. export control system to determine what reforms were needed to bring the regime up to date. Although the United States has stepped up its enforcement efforts in this area over the past several years -- particularly
Aug 19, 2009
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Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
Will the PKK Take Turkey's Olive Branch?
Last spring, Turkey launched a peace initiative meant to disarm the Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, a group that has haunted Turkey with terror attacks. But, does the PKK want peace and will it respond to Turkey's opening? The rhetoric suggests otherwise. Will the PKK disarm? Abdullah Ocalan, the founder
Aug 17, 2009
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