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Brief Analysis
Defining a 'Prediplomacy' Agenda for U.S.-Mideast Efforts
Inheriting an uneasy truce in the Gaza Strip presents the Obama-Clinton-Mitchell team with an early set of critical Middle East tests. Before they can begin to address core issues in the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, they will have to focus over the next several weeks on an agenda of "prediplomacy" issues
Jan 26, 2009
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Provincial Elections Kick Off Iraq's Year of Choices
This week, after more than a year of anticipation, most of Iraq's governorates will hold provincial elections. The election process and its outcome will provide a strong indication of whether Iraq's democracy will continue to consolidate or begin to unravel. More worrisome than the elections, however, may be the frustrated
Jan 26, 2009
◆
J. Scott Carpenter
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Preliminary Assessment of Israel's Operation Cast Lead
On January 18, Israel announced its military withdrawal from the Gaza Strip, following the three-week offensive Operation Cast Lead. Although no definitive judgments can be made at this point -- post-conflict arrangements are concluding while scattered gunfire is still occurring -- Israel has made several tangible gains during the Gaza
Jan 23, 2009
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Iran-al-Qaeda Conundrum
Last week, the Treasury Department issued terrorist designations for three senior al-Qaeda operatives who spent time in Iran, including Usama bin Laden's son, Saad. But the action, which targeted individuals unlikely to have assets in the United States or to move money in their own names, appears to be linked
Jan 23, 2009
◆
Matthew Levitt
Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
Is Turkey Still a Western Ally?
I spent part of 2008 in Turkey to figure out whether Ankara could still be considered a Western ally. That it's necessary to raise this question at all is an indication of how far the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP) has isolated the country from its traditional partners. For
Jan 23, 2009
Brief Analysis
Jordan's Intelligence Chief Sacked:
New Policy Toward Hamas?
On January 2, in the midst of Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip, Jordan's King Abdullah removed General Intelligence Department (GID) head Muhammad Dahabi from his post and replaced him with Gen. Muhammad Raqqad, a deputy in the organization. Dahabi, who is the brother of Prime Minister Nader Dahabi
Jan 22, 2009
◆
Hassan Barari
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Waning Appetite for Europe
When the Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi: AKP) government took power in Turkey and vowed to pursue EU accession in 2002, there were broad expectations that Turkey would soon join the ranks of liberal European democracies. Six years later, those expectations have been dashed as Turkey's liberalisation
Jan 22, 2009
Brief Analysis
Saudi Leadership Crisis Looms:
Health of Crown Prince Falters
After months of speculation about the health of the designated successor to King Abdullah, Crown Prince Sultan, Saudi officials are now openly talking about Sultan's ill health. The kingdom -- a close U.S. ally, the self-professed leader of the Islamic world, the world's largest oil exporter, and most recently the
Jan 21, 2009
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
As Islamists Exploit Financial Crisis, Lebanon Stands Fast
More than two weeks into the Israeli-Hamas war, the eyes of the world are narrowly focused on the crisis in Gaza. In the Middle East, however, it is not just the Palestinians and Israelis who are suffering, and it is not only Hamas which hopes to capitalize. Lost amid the
Jan 15, 2009
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Obama's Turkey Policy:
European Democracy and NATO Benchmarks
President-elect Barack Obama's administration faces difficult choices regarding its policy toward Turkey. Should Washington choose sides in Turkey's protracted struggle over secularism and democracy involving the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and its opponents? Can the United States bring the reluctant AKP to support U.S. efforts against Iran's nuclear
Jan 15, 2009
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Gaza Tunnels:
No Path to Peace
Egypt has long been considered a "bridge" between the East and West. Yet, two weeks into the Israeli campaign against Hamas in Gaza, Egypt is probably better known for its role as a tunnel, serving as the primary smuggling route for Hamas weapons into militant-controlled territory. As pressure mounts for
Jan 14, 2009
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The IDF in Gaza:
Operational Concepts, Lines of Effort, and Effects
Almost three weeks into Operation Cast Lead, Israel clearly intends to compel Hamas to accept an end to its attacks on targets in southern Israel. If Hamas does not comply, Israel will destroy as much of Hamas's organizational capacity as possible, leaving the group in a significantly weakened position. To
Jan 14, 2009
◆
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Kirkuk:
A Test for the International Community
On January 31, most Iraqis will go to the polls and express their political preferences in provincial elections, but four of Iraq's provinces -- the three governorates within the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) and Kirkuk province -- will not hold elections. Kirkuk's noninclusion is a symbol of its unresolved status
Jan 14, 2009
◆
Ahmed Ali
Michael Knights
The Money Trail:
Finding, Following, and Freezing Terrorist Finances
Matthew Levitt, director of The Washington Institute's Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence, addressed a terrorism and homeland security forum at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars on January 13, 2009. The event was cosponsored by the Council on Global Terrorism, Georgetown University's Center for Peace and Security Studies
Jan 13, 2009
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
From Gaza to Tehran:
Looking toward the Obama Administration and the Middle East
On January 9, 2009, David Brooks, Peter Beinart, and Robert Satloff addressed a Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the Obama administration and its likely approach to the Middle East. Mr. Brooks is a New York Times columnist and regular commentator on both The Newshour with Jim
Jan 13, 2009
Articles & Testimony
Ceasefire Hinges on Egypt Closing Smuggling Routes
As the Gaza war enters a bloody new phase -- and world pressure mounts for a ceasefire -- it is becoming clear that the key to a solution is neither Hamas nor Israel, but Egypt. Strategically placed on the southern border of Gaza, Egypt is the primary smuggling route of
Jan 12, 2009
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
From Gaza to Tehran:
Looking toward the Obama Administration and the Middle East
On January 9, 2009, David Brooks, Peter Beinart, and Robert Satloff addressed a Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the Obama administration and its likely approach to the Middle East. Dr. Satloff is executive director of the Washington Institute; the following is a summary of his remarks
Jan 12, 2009
◆
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Security First
When the dust settles in Gaza, the Obama administration will take up the mantle of moving the two sides toward an Israeli-Palestinian peace. American efforts must focus on strengthening the capabilities of the Palestinian party upon whom hope for peace can rest, the Palestinian Authority, and ensuring the stability of
Jan 12, 2009
Articles & Testimony
What Next for Gaza?
The New York Post interviewed thirteen Middle East experts and current and former policy practitioners about the Gaza conflict. The following is a contribution by Michael Singh, a Boston-based associate fellow of The Washington Institute and former National Security Council senior director for Middle East Affairs. Read the complete article
Jan 10, 2009
Brief Analysis
Arab Reaction to Gaza Conflict:
Anger at Israel, but Scant Support for Hamas
Most analyses of the Arab reaction to the Gaza Strip conflict have generally emphasized either widespread popular sympathy for Palestinian suffering and revulsion at Israel's tactics, or political divisions about how to respond. Although both points are accurate, two important developments so far have been overlooked: only a handful of
Jan 9, 2009
◆
David Pollock
Pagination
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