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Brief Analysis
Engaging the Neighbors:
Key to Resolving the War in Iraq?
According to press reports, one of the principal policy recommendations of the congressionally mandated Iraq Study Group will be that Washington should engage Iraq’s neighbors—particularly Syria and Iran—in its efforts to staunch the ongoing violence in Iraq. However, both historical precedent and current conditions on the ground in Iraq suggest
Dec 4, 2006
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Engaging Syria:
Alternatives to the Regime
With less than a week before the publication of the Iraq Study Group's report, it is speculated that the panel chaired by James Baker and Lee Hamilton will recommend diplomatic engagement of Syria and Iran. The Bush administration has been firmly against dialogue with Syria, emphasizing how Damascus has made
Dec 1, 2006
◆
Seth Wikas
Articles & Testimony
Could Sanctions Work against Tehran?
As Western diplomats debate ways to counter Iran's nuclear program, the strategies they devise must take Iranian motives into account. If Iranian leaders see their nuclear program as essential to defending Iran's existence—as the Israeli and Pakistani governments view their nuclear programs—then economic considerations would make little difference to Iran's
Dec 1, 2006
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How Can Europe Address Its PKK Problem?
On October 1, the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), an organization on the European Union (EU)’s list of terrorist organizations, declared a unilateral ceasefire in its long campaign against Turkey. Since then, however, the PKK has killed dozens of Turks. Because the PKK enjoys an extensive support network in Europe, many
Dec 1, 2006
Articles & Testimony
A Moment with Robert Satloff
Robert Satloff’s new book is sure to rankle Arabs who insist that the Holocaust never happened. In Among the Righteous: Lost Stories from the Holocaust’s Long Reach into Arab Lands, Satloff chronicles the persecution of North Africa’s Jewish community during the Axis occupation and the Arab reaction to it. From
Dec 1, 2006
Articles & Testimony
Can the PKK Renounce Violence?
Terrorism Resurgent
In 2002, it seemed as if Turkey's two-decade long struggle against the Kurdistan Workers Party (Partiya Karkerên Kurdistan, PKK) had ended. It did not. Peace was ephemeral. While the PKK, on October 1, declared yet another cease-fire, it came only after a sustained period of almost daily attacks on Turkish
Dec 1, 2006
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Talking Turkey about Plans for Iraq
The production of plans, options, and proposals for Iraq has become a cottage industry. As the plans roll out, by what criteria should they be evaluated? What makes one plan or set of plans qualitatively better than another? General Criteria Several criteria that all plans or proposals should include are
Nov 29, 2006
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Israel's Legal Avenues for Prisoner Releases
Earlier this week, Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert announced that Israel would release “many Palestinian prisoners” once captured Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit is released. Some policymakers believe this prisoner exchange might strengthen Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas and improve Israeli relations with the Palestinians. According to official information, there are
Nov 28, 2006
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Dvorah Chen
Articles & Testimony
Pricey Cedar Politics
The assassination of Lebanese minister of industry Pierre Gemayel last week was yet another in a seemingly endless series of brutal murders of anti-Syrian politicians in Lebanon. But while Gemayel’s death was tragic, for Lebanon watchers, the killing didn’t come as much of a surprise. For weeks Hezbollah Secretary General
Nov 27, 2006
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Turkey's EU Accession:
Train Wreck or Red Light?
On November 15, 2006, Jonathan Davidson, Soner Cagaptay, and Mark Parris addressed The Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum. Jonathan Davidson is senior advisor for political and academic affairs at the European Community Delegation in Washington, D.C. Soner Cagaptay is a senior fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at
Nov 20, 2006
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Soner Cagaptay
Mark Parris
Articles & Testimony
Think Saudi
For many long years it was fair to describe the development of Saudi Arabia's foreign policy in terms of the "dynamics of inaction." The Wahhabi royal house followed an essentially cautious, awkward, defensive path of diplomacy, rarely taking the initiative, and prefering to remain in the shadowy realm of influence
Nov 20, 2006
In-Depth Reports
Forcing Hard Choices on Tehran:
Raising the Costs of Iran's Nuclear Program
Despite U.S. efforts to forge a multinational coalition aimed at curbing the Iranian nuclear program, questions have arisen about the effectiveness of this approach. For example, has Iran converted discussions on the issue into a stalling tactic while it continues to make progress in its nuclear program? Can any international
Nov 17, 2006
◆
Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Golan Heights and Syrian-Israeli Relations:
What Does Asad Want?
The first annual International Media Forum on the Golan Heights, held November 5-7, 2006, in the city of Quneitra on the Syria-Israel border, highlighted Syria's stated desire for the return of the entire Golan. The forum's backdrop was a litany of controversial statements made by Syrian president Bashar al-Asad about
Nov 15, 2006
◆
Seth Wikas
Brief Analysis
A Palestinian Grand Bargain:
Abbas's Government, Hamas's Program
Rumors of a newly formed Palestinian unity government have been ubiquitous in recent weeks, yet Hamas and Fatah appear to be closer than ever to reaching an agreement. Their unity talks survived even the tragic killing of twenty Palestinian civilians on November 8 in Beit Hanun, an incident that would
Nov 15, 2006
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Mohammad Yaghi
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Prosecuting Terrorists:
A Look at the American and Israeli Experiences
On November 7, 2006, Dvorah Chen, Christopher Hamilton, and Michael Taxay addressed The Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum. Ms. Chen, a visiting Ira Weiner fellow at the Institute, was director of security matters and special affairs in the Israeli state attorney’s office from 1996 to 2004, where she led the
Nov 14, 2006
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Dvorah Chen
Christopher Hamilton
Articles & Testimony
Shiites against Hezbollah
Hezbollah rockets stopped raining on Israel nearly two months ago, but the Shiite organization’s onslaught continues. Today, instead of directly attacking Israel, the Party of God is targeting Lebanese intellectuals and politicians who have the temerity to question Hezbollah’s hegemony over local Shiite politics. There’s no debating that Hezbollah is
Nov 13, 2006
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The <i>Muqawama</i> Doctrine
The second Lebanon war has put wind in the sails of the rejectionists across our borders, increasing numbers of whom believe that finally, they have hit upon an effective plan of action against Israel. Predictably, declarations about the inevitable demise of the Jewish state are back in fashion. More than
Nov 13, 2006
Brief Analysis
When Bush Meets Olmert:
New Political Contexts in Washington and Jerusalem
Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert will be the first foreign leader to meet President George W. Bush after the U.S. midterm elections. Olmert’s trip to Washington is part of a prescheduled visit to address the United Jewish Communities General Assembly in Los Angeles. When the two leaders meet at the
Nov 9, 2006
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
On the Record:
Robert Gates on the Middle East
Yesterday, President George W. Bush announced that he was nominating former CIA director Robert Gates as secretary of defense following the resignation of Donald Rumsfeld. Gates, currently the president of Texas A&M University, served as director of central intelligence from 1991 to 1993. In all, he spent twenty-seven years as
Nov 9, 2006
Articles & Testimony
Hip, Hip, Al Hurra!
American public diplomacy in the Middle East did not have a good week. An Arabic-speaking State Department official named Alberto Fernandez made news on October 21 when he spoke too candidly about U.S. missteps in Iraq on Al Jazeera, the Arabic satellite television channel based in Qatar. Not only was
Nov 6, 2006
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