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Brief Analysis
Legislative Elections in Egypt:
Another Test for Democracy
November 9 marks the start of legislative elections in Egypt. These are the first elections to be contested after Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak pledged to implement political reforms during his presidential campaign in September. The political opposition maintains that the legislative elections will not reflect the true will of the
Nov 8, 2005
Brief Analysis
Yemeni President Saleh Comes to Washington
The November 10 meeting at the White House between U.S. president George W. Bush and Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh will be the third time the two men have met since the September 11 terror attacks on the United States. Yemen is an oft-forgotten close U.S. ally, arguably as crucial
Nov 7, 2005
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Supreme Leader Khamenei's Responsibility for Iran's Present Situation
Mohsen Sazegara, recently a visiting fellow at The Washington Institute and now at Yale University, posted on several Persian-language websites (including gooya.com) a long open letter to Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Hossein Khamenei. Below are translated extracts from that letter. Dear Mr. Khamenei: Let go of these strange thoughts
Nov 7, 2005
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Mohsen Sazegara
Articles & Testimony
Slow and Steady, Bush's Mideast Race
The Bush administration has many problems to keep it preoccupied in its remaining three years, including the challenges of post-Katrina reconstruction and a massive budget deficit. Plus the president and the Republicans in Congress have been weighed down by allegations of misconduct. So it is hardly surprising that some worry
Nov 4, 2005
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Turkey and Europe's Problem with Radical Islam
Turkey opened accession talks with the European Union (EU) on October 3. In the aftermath of the March 2004 Madrid bombings, the November 2004 murder of film director Theo van Gogh in Amsterdam, and the July 2005 London bombings, all committed by radical Islamists, some people in Europe wonder whether
Nov 2, 2005
◆
Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Eternal Iran:
Continuity and Chaos
Exploring continuities and changes, this book provides the historical backdrop crucial to understanding how Iranian pride and sense of victimization combine to make its politics contentious and potentially dangerous. From the struggle between the Shah and Ayatollah Khomeini to the current tension between the reformers and traditionalists, a central issue
Nov 1, 2005
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The New Turkish Economy and EU Accession Talks
Now that negotiations toward full Turkish membership in the European Union (EU) have begun, what are the prospects for the Turkish economy? In particular, could Turkey attract significant global investment and take off economically as happened in Spain, Portugal, and Greece in the 1980s and Poland, Hungary, and the Czech
Nov 1, 2005
Brief Analysis
Accounting for Terror:
Debunking the Paradigm of Inexpensive Terrorism
An increasingly accepted argument holds that terrorism has become a cheap enterprise. Louise Richardson, executive dean of the Radcliff Institute for Advanced Study at Harvard University, made just that case while testifying before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs in 2003. "The crucial point to bear in
Nov 1, 2005
Brief Analysis
Political Participation and Palestinian Legislative Elections
In the leadup to Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas's October 20 visit to Washington, the Bush administration urged the Palestinian Authority (PA) to tighten rules enacted in 1995 and change the law governing upcoming Palestinian legislative elections to make it clear that candidates, even those backed by Hamas or other militant
Oct 31, 2005
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Mohammad Yaghi
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Creating Effective International Pressure for Human Rights in Iran
On November 2, the UN General Assembly's Third Committee is due to consider a Canadian resolution condemning Iran for human rights violations. A similar resolution was approved by the General Assembly in 2004 by a vote of 71-54 with fifty-five abstentions. Iran's human rights violations have recently worsened, and the
Oct 26, 2005
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The Copts and Their Political Implications in Egypt
In the third week of October, Egypt saw some of its most significant sectarian clashes in the last five years. Violence broke out as police forces protected a church in the Mediterranean port city of Alexandria against Muslims protesting a play that was staged inside the church and that they
Oct 25, 2005
Brief Analysis
Abbas's Missed Opportunities in Washington
Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas returned to Ramallah from Washington last week having missed a key opportunity to spur President George W. Bush to reengage in the Roadmap. Instead, the October 20 joint press conference at the White House concluded with Bush acknowledging that his presidency may not witness the creation
Oct 24, 2005
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Syria's Response to the Mehlis Report
The long-awaited report by the international commission investigating the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri was released on October 21. Overseen by UN chief investigator Detlev Mehlis, the report concluded, "Given the infiltration of Lebanese institutions and society by the Syrian and Lebanese intelligence services working in tandem
Oct 24, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia's Debate on Women Driving Masks a Deeper Divide
During the last several months, the question of whether women in Saudi Arabia should be allowed to drive has become a lively topic of debate within the kingdom. Support for the issue has come from the newly enthroned King Abdullah; the most prominent opponent is the long-serving interior minister, Prince
Oct 21, 2005
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Pretoria Calling
The Palestinian leader, Mahmoud Abbas, has a credibility problem that his visit with President Bush is unlikely to help: how to convince his people that violence against Israel will not lead to an independent Palestinian state. While Mr. Abbas must certainly show that he can deliver for his people, he
Oct 20, 2005
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Un-Arafat Comes Calling
Mahmoud Abbas is a different kind of Palestinian president. Unlike his predecessor, Yasser Arafat, who made a long-term strategy out of being a victim, Abbas has made it clear that he seeks to build a political culture of responsibility. He has repeatedly said (in both English and Arabic) that violence
Oct 19, 2005
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David Makovsky
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Hamas's Tactics:
Lessons from Recent Attacks
On September 22, 2005, Abbas al-Sayyid was convicted of masterminding two Hamas suicide bombings: the March 27, 2002, attack at the Park Hotel in Netanya and the May 18, 2001, shopping mall bombing that killed five and injured one hundred. The Park Hotel bombing, considered the terror group's most devastating
Oct 19, 2005
In-Depth Reports
Turkey at a Crossroads:
Preserving Ankara's Western Orientation
On October 3, after weeks of intense negotiations and missed deadlines, Turkey began accession talks with the European Union -- a milestone in its two-century quest to become a full-fledged member of the Western world. Yet, Turkish public attitudes continue to vacillate between the West and the Muslim world. The
Oct 12, 2005
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A Bedouin on a Camel?
Saudi Foreign Policy and the Insurgency in Iraq
Iraq's interior minister, Bayan Jabr, lashed out at Saudi diplomacy while speaking to journalists in Amman on October 2. Referring to Prince Saud al-Faisal, the Saudi foreign minister, Jabr said Iraq would not be lectured by "some Bedouin riding a camel." Broadening his remarks to the Saudi ruling family, the
Oct 5, 2005
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Practical Realities of Bush Foreign Policy in the Second Term
Hurricane damage has confronted the Bush administration with its greatest challenge, at least domestically. How significantly will such domestic issues affect the president’s second-term foreign policy? It is hard to say, but being more vulnerable politically is rarely a good thing. Even more to the point, for an administration prone
Oct 4, 2005
◆
Dennis Ross
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