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Articles & Testimony
The Middle East Predicament
The United States has had critical interests in the Middle East for as long as it has been a global power. Securing the flow of the region’s oil to the world economy has always been a central priority. During the Cold War, competition with the Soviet Union for Middle Eastern
Jan 1, 2005
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Influencing Iran's Nuclear Activities through Major Power Cooperation
This is the second in a two-part series on diplomacy surrounding the Iranian nuclear program. Read Part I. The Iran nuclear issue will be on the international agenda in the coming months. The often-postponed visit to Tehran by the head of Russia's Atomic Energy Agency (Minatom) Alexander Rumyantsev to sign
Dec 30, 2004
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Are All Politics Local?
A Look at Palestinian Municipal Elections Results
The first round of West Bank municipal balloting occurred on Thursday, December 23. Voting was held in twenty-six locations, ranging from Jericho to smaller towns and villages. This was the first round of local voting since 1976. The results—a Fatah victory but Hamas gains—have important implications for the next Palestinian
Dec 28, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
When Minorities Rule in the Middle East (Part II):
Historical Realities
On December 15, 2004, Ammar Abdulhamid and Martin Kramer addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Dr. Kramer, the Wexler-Fromer Fellow at The Washington Institute, is senior research fellow and former director of the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies at Tel Aviv University. The following is
Dec 28, 2004
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Martin Kramer
Articles & Testimony
Getting Gaza Right
The most frequent criticism of President Bush's Middle East policy is that he has been too hands-off. Unless America takes the lead, so the argument goes, the "peace process" will languish. In other words, U.S. activism is the key to progress. This is, by and large, bad analysis and a
Dec 27, 2004
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Challenges Facing the Iraqi Economy
As Iraqi elections rapidly approach despite an entrenched and violent insurgency, the country's economic challenges are extensive. The government is faced with the momentous task of transforming a war torn, state-dominated economy into a transparent, investment-friendly institution, all during the course of daily political violence. Problems Inherited from the Former
Dec 23, 2004
Brief Analysis
Hizballah, Iran, and the Prospects for a New Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process
The death of Yasser Arafat and the approach of Palestinian elections on January 9 have rekindled hopes for the peace process. However, if history is a guide, Hizballah and Iran—which worked tirelessly to undermine the Oslo Process—will try to sabotage such efforts. (Indeed, Israeli intelligence reports cited in the Israeli
Dec 22, 2004
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Michael Eisenstadt
Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
When Minorities Rule in the Middle East (Part I):
Syria
On December 15, 2004, Ammar Abdulhamid and Martin Kramer addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Mr. Abdulhamid, a Syrian writer and intellectual, is the coordinator of the Tharwa Project, a program designed to shed light on the aspirations and concerns of religious and ethnic minorities in the Middle East
Dec 22, 2004
Brief Analysis
The Assault on the Iraqi Police
Attacks by insurgents on Iraqi police officers and facilities have become a major feature of this stage of the insurgency in Iraq. Hundreds of police personnel have been killed, the police in some areas have been routed by insurgent forces, and police have been penetrated and subverted by the insurgents
Dec 21, 2004
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Analyzing the Thaw in Egyptian-Israeli Relations
The announcement Sunday that Israel would release 170 Palestinian prisoners as a "gesture of goodwill, friendship, and gratitude" to Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak is the latest in a series of events, statements, and diplomatic activity over the past several weeks that has signaled a warming in Egyptian-Israeli relations. While it
Dec 20, 2004
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
The Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act:
Addressing Controversies, Expanding Powers
Today, President George W. Bush will sign the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 (IRTPA), which represents the most dramatic and fundamental changes to the U.S. intelligence community since 1947, when the CIA was created. While public and media attention has been focused on the establishment of a
Dec 17, 2004
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Banning Hizballah TV in America
Seeking to prevent terror propaganda and incitement to terror in America, the U.S. government added al-Manar (Arabic for "the beacon"), the official television mouthpiece of Hizballah, or the Lebanese Party of God, to the Terrorism Exclusion List (TEL). By designating the network as a terrorist organization the government will effectively
Dec 17, 2004
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Avi Jorisch
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Carrots for Iran?
Lessons from Libya
This is the first part of a two-part series on diplomacy surrounding the Iranian nuclear program and looks at U.S.-European relations. Read Part II. As European and Iranian officials began negotiations December 14 on whether to make permanent Iran's temporary suspension of uranium enrichment, eight former Western foreign ministers issued
Dec 16, 2004
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Zarqawi's Jordanian Agenda
Though most famous for funding and organizing suicide bombings and beheadings in Iraq, Ahmad Fadil Nazal al-Khalaylah -- aka Abu Musab al-Zarqawi -- has long assumed a leading role in terrorist operations in other countries, including his native Jordan. An East Banker and a member of the Bani Hassan tribe
Dec 16, 2004
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Middle East Affiliate Groups and the Next Generation of Terror
On December 1, 2004, Jonathan Schanzer and Daniel Benjamin addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Mr. Schanzer, who just completed a Soref fellowship at the Institute, is author of Al-Qaeda's Armies: Middle East Affiliate Groups and the Next Generation of Terror (co-published by the Institute and SPI Books, November
Dec 15, 2004
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
The Eve of Decision:
Will Europe Admit Turkey?
On October 6, 2004, the European Commission released its final report on Turkey's progress toward satisfying the EU's accession rules, known as the Copenhagen Criteria. Although the report stated that "Turkey satisfies the Copenhagen Criteria sufficiently" to enter accession talks, many European counties and the EU itself are still debating
Dec 15, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Mark Parris
Brief Analysis
Beyond Arafat:
Palestinian Politics in the New Era
Yasser Arafat was a leader who actively engaged his people in military conflict with Israel. His death presents the Palestinians with an opportunity to choose a leader who will pull them back from that aspect of the struggle. What Abu Mazen Must Do to Win Upon Arafat's death, former prime
Dec 13, 2004
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Deciphering Palestinian Politics Post-Arafat
For years there has been much speculation about possible worst-case scenarios that could emerge following Yasser Arafat's death, particularly civil war or a similar disruption of nationalist unity. Such developments have yet to materialize, however. Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza find themselves at a historic junction, with renewed
Dec 10, 2004
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Cooperation against New Maritime Threats in the Mediterranean Basin
On November 23, 2004, Gen. James Jones, NATO's supreme allied commander for Europe, praised Operation Active Endeavour (OAE) for its role on the war on terror. OAE is NATO's post-September 11 answer to the question of naval security in the Mediterranean Sea. With the threat of terrorism on the open
Dec 7, 2004
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Orhan Babaoglu
Brief Analysis
Saudi Stability in the Shadow of the U.S. Consulate Attack in Jeddah
The December 6 terrorist attack on the U.S. consulate in the Saudi port city of Jeddah, which killed five non-American staff members, was a worrisome display of al-Qaeda's careful planning, detailed timing, and audaciousness. Worse still, the assault contradicts Riyadh's claims that it has contained the threat of terrorism. The
Dec 7, 2004
◆
Simon Henderson
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