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Articles & Testimony
U.S. and Kurdish Forces Keep Iraqi Northern Front Stable
The northern front was supposed to have been occupied by tens of thousands of U.S. troops who would make up the second front of a pincer movement against Baghdad. But Turkey's refusal to allow American forces and heavy armor to cross the Turkish-Iraqi frontier means that only a few thousand
Apr 7, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Don't Know Much about History
The last time Syria pursued a brazen, unrestrained foreign policy, it winded up losing the Golan Heights. The lesson from the Six Day War -- the most stunning defeat ever handed to Syria in modern history -- should not be forgotten: reckless statements and provocations can have unintended, disastrous consequences
Apr 7, 2003
Developing Global Mechanisms to Combat Terror:
Stemming the Flow of Terrorist Financing
Remarks to a conference on "Global Terrorism: If This is World War III, How Do We Win?", Strategic Dialogue Center, New York Constrict the Operating Environment The war on terror is far from over, even as we find ourselves fighting another -- more conventional but no less critical -- war
Apr 6, 2003
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The End of Saddam's Regime
"Bloody thou art, bloody will be thy end" -- like Shakespeare's quintessential villain Richard III, Saddam Husayn is being toppled by a combination of forces he called into existence through his own evil actions. Unlike Richard, Saddam's final act will lack heroic qualities. Clearly, the regime's disintegration is accelerating; all
Apr 7, 2003
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
A View From Tehran:
War and the Challenges in the Post-Saddam Middle East
RAY TAKEYH Iran is facing its most acute crisis since the 1979 revolution. Over the past six years, political institutions have played a key role in opening the path to reform. Yet, the success of President Muhammad Khatami's efforts to involve the Iranian people in electoral processes and political institutions
Apr 7, 2003
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Ray Takeyh
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Arabs View the War:
Images, Attitudes, and Opinions
HAFEZ AL-MIRAZI War remains a horrifying event and al-Jazeera will cover it realistically. Images carried by the network are graphic, but do not discriminate in showing American and Iraqi casualties. Similarly, al-Jazeera has covered both the unprecedented airpower brought to bear by the allied forces and the Iraqi government's own
Apr 4, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Wrong Answer to al-Jazeera
To combat what is widely viewed as the slanted news coverage of Arab satellite stations, the White House and Congress are joining forces to spend tens -- perhaps hundreds -- of millions of dollars to launch an official Arabic-language U.S. government competitor. Unfortunately, it has a chance of turning out
Apr 4, 2003
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Trying to Walk a Fine Line?
Hizballah's Stakes in the Current War
Amidst the war in Iraq, the Lebanese group Hizballah has decided not to open up what could have been a "second front" by attacking Israel. This decision should not be mistaken for passivity, however. With the world paying scant attention, Hizballah is seeking to shape Arab public opinion against the
Apr 3, 2003
Brief Analysis
Ansar al-Islam:
Postmortem or Prelude to More Attacks?
Ansar al-Islam, an al-Qaeda affiliate in northern Iraq, was rocked by U.S. missile and air strikes over the weekend, concluding an eight-day campaign against the organization. The Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) stated that, with help from more than 100 U.S. Special Forces operatives, they have "completely overrun" Ansar's stronghold
Apr 3, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Fighting the War to Win the Peace in a Post-Saddam Iraq
As the coalition prepares for the decisive phase of the war against Saddam Husayn's regime, it is crucial that combat operations set the conditions for achieving U.S. war aims and -- just as important -- winning the peace afterward. The principal war aims are: 1) eliminating Iraq's weapons of mass
Apr 2, 2003
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Michael Eisenstadt
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Bush and Blair:
Tensions in the Relationship
This week, speaking at the annual policy conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), U.S. secretary of state Colin Powell, after mentioning the war in Iraq, declared, "no challenge, no opportunity, is more important, more pressing, than the quest to put an end to the conflict between Israel
Apr 2, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Challenge of Hamas to Fatah
The international press lavished attention on the Fatah-Hamas summit held in Cairo in mid-November 2002. According to reports, Fatah (the leading faction backing Yasir Arafat's Palestinian Authority) and Hamas (the leading Islamist opposition) were going to hammer out their differences over many sensitive issues. In particular, Fatah sought to persuade
Apr 1, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Starting Over:
U.S.-Turkish Relations in the Post–Iraq War Era
During the nineties, Turks and Americans found they had become more, not less important to one another than during the Cold War, and declared themselves "strategic partners." The meaning of that phrase was changing even before George Bush decided to go to war with Iraq. But the President's decision accelerated
Apr 1, 2003
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Mark Parris
Articles & Testimony
Al-Manar and the War in Iraq
While Western commentators frequently fulminate about the Qatari satellite station Al-Jazeera and its pernicious impact on Arab public opinion, few have taken notice of a potentially lethal media offensive emanating from the south of Beirut by Al-Manar, a Lebanese television station run by the militant Shiite group Hezbollah. Like Al-Jazeera
Apr 1, 2003
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Avi Jorisch
In-Depth Reports
Winning the Peace in the Middle East:
A Bipartisan Blueprint for Postwar U.S. Policy
In the aftermath of war, the United States must balance recognition of the historic opportunity to advance U.S. interests in the Middle East with a realistic view of what is possible and what is not. America's first priority must be to win the peace by stabilizing Iraq and helping the
Apr 1, 2003
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Policy in Post-Saddam Iraq:
Lessons from the British Experience
INTRODUCTION In launching Operation Iraqi Freedom, the United States embarks on a major undertaking, one that may well involve the creation of a new Iraqi government and a significant, long-term commitment of resources and personnel. This endeavor bears similarities to the British experience in Iraq during the first half of
Apr 1, 2003
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Basing Restrictions Shape Concept and Conduct of War
With Saudi Arabian, Turkish, and Jordanian host-nation restrictions limiting coalition ground and air operations, the United States has begun to develop a range of Iraqi airfields as forward operating bases for combat aircraft. This is ironic considering that successive U.S. governments spent billions of dollars to develop an unparalleled basing
Mar 31, 2003
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
War in Iraq:
A Preliminary Assessment
Saddam Husayn's regime is under relentless attack, and its days are numbered. Exactly when or how the end will come is unclear but not in doubt. After a week of major combat, it is reasonable to assess the progress of this war: accomplishments by both sides, surprising -- and not
Mar 28, 2003
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Turkmens, the Soft Underbelly of the War in Northern Iraq
With the northern front in Iraq being officially launched today, coalition forces may soon move toward the city of Kirkuk, which they began bombing on March 21. Kirkuk, claimed by Kurds as the prospective capital of a Kurdish region in postwar Iraq, is the bastion of the Turkmens, a Turkish-speaking
Mar 27, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Whither U.S.-Turkish Relations?
A Turkish Perspective
AMBASSADOR ILTER TURKMEN Turkish-American relations have experienced many crises in the past. Relations were tense during the Cuban missile crisis in 1962 (when the United States withdrew missiles from Turkey) and when Washington imposed an embargo on arms supplies to Turkey in 1974 after Ankara's military intervention in Cyprus. Nevertheless
Mar 27, 2003
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