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Articles & Testimony
Don't Legitimate Arafatistan
Lying in bed Monday night, I switched the channel from a gloomy CNN documentary on Chechnya -- Christiane Amanpour describing death and destruction in another God-forsaken place -- to watch the even gloomier Palestine Television, the official satellite station of the Palestinian Authority. On an English-language talk show, the hosts
Jun 19, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Build Palestinian Hope, Build Israeli Confidence
President Bush, having concluded his consultations with Middle Eastern leaders, now appears poised to make a statement about what is necessary to create the path to peace. Bush has heard very different prescriptions for what is necessary. While the specifics on the Arab side may vary, the essence of what
Jun 19, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Operation Defensive Shield:
Lessons and Aftermath
The IDF began planning for the contingency of carrying out extensive military operations throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip long before the deployment of Operation Defensive Shield in late March 2002. As early as 1998, during a period when hopes abounded for peace with both the Syrians and the
Jun 18, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Kurdistan Dispatch:
Bomb Shelter
"At the very best, you might have met Jesse Jackson; more likely, you'd be in an unmarked grave," chided the Kurdish minister. He was not happy. It was the spring of 2001, and a friend and I had accidentally crossed from the Kurdish opposition-controlled portion of Iraq into government territory
Jun 17, 2002
Brief Analysis
Crosstown Contrasts:
The White House, the State Department, and Middle East Policy
The fracas over Secretary of State Colin Powell's interview with the London Arabic daily al-Hayat yesterday—the contents of which White House spokesman Ari Fleisher has pointedly refused to endorse—reflects a growing pattern of White House–State Department division on key Middle East issues, a damaging dynamic that will only be exorcised
Jun 13, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Europe and America / Europe vs. America:
Alliance Politics in the Middle East
Although the current campaign against terrorism is just unfolding, America has actually been in the middle of a new "World War" of sorts for some time. In order to understand this war, one must answer three crucial questions: 1) With whom is the United States at war? 2) Why is
Jun 12, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Engaged to Terror
The Bush administration appears determined to lose the War on Terror. Rather than confront sponsors of terror, the State Department increasingly engages them. The logic of engagement can sound enticing. Proponents argue that dialogue and trade encourages pariah states to moderate, while isolation and confrontation encourage rogue regimes to retrench
Jun 11, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Bush Administration Two-Faced on Terror
The year 2001 will forever be known as the year of the worst terrorist attack in the history of mankind, so far. The 2001 edition of Patterns of Global Terrorism, the U.S. government's preeminent annual accounting of international terrorism, understandably focuses on Sept. 11 and attacks by al-Qaida and its
Jun 6, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Wrong Models for Tenet
In an effort to resuscitate flat-lining Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking, President Bush dispatched CIA Director George Tenet to the region one more time. This time, however, his mission has focused not on obtaining a ceasefire, but on merging the various Palestinian security forces into a coherent, hierarchical, and accountable security and intelligence
Jun 5, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Where Reform and Peace Collide:
Assessing the Palestinian Basic Law and Draft Constitution
With this week's dispatch to the Middle East of Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet and Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs William Burns, the Bush administration has put its toe into the water of Palestinian reform. Success in this vital effort will require avoiding the trap of
May 31, 2002
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Iran's Burgeoning Discontent
On May 22, 2002, Iranians demonstrated in the heart of Tehran, chanting antigovernment slogans. Riot police clashed with protestors on Vali Asr Avenue, the city's main thoroughfare. The protest came five days after security services sealed off the streets leading to Arak University, where student protestors had barricaded themselves. On
May 30, 2002
Brief Analysis
Europe and Middle East Terrorism
As President George W. Bush completes his latest European trip -- one highlighted by a symbolic Memorial Day speech in Normandy that underscored the link between America's past wars and the current war on terror -- his European Union (EU) hosts have begun to implement a policy on terrorism that
May 29, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Don't Engage the Mullahs
On June 10, European Union foreign ministers may send a deathblow to Iran's reformers. On the table is a trade and cooperation pact with the Islamic Republic. Prominent EU bureaucrats such as External Affairs Commissioner Chris Patten strongly support the measure, arguing, "there is absolutely no dispute on the importance
May 28, 2002
Articles & Testimony
New Follies on the Mideast
The US administration should be wary of three "conventional wisdoms" that have stealthily displaced lessons from years of experience promoting Arab-Israeli peace. These ideas pretend to offer the promise of true conflict resolution. They sound logical and reasonable. But they are wrong in conception and would be reckless in practice
May 27, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
PLOCCA 2002:
Empty Words
The State Department recently submitted its semiannual Palestine Liberation Organization Commitments Compliance Act (PLOCCA) report to Congress, assessing PLO and Palestinian Authority (PA) compliance with commitments made under the Israeli-Palestinian peace accords during the period June 15, 2001–December 15, 2001. The report acknowledges some PA shortcomings over the reporting period
May 24, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Making Reform a Reality
Amid the gloom one feels in speaking to Israelis and Palestinians these days, I discovered something interesting in a just-completed trip to the area. Both sides have been profoundly affected by the events of the past 20 months. Both have suffered. Both are angry. Both have doubts about each other
May 23, 2002
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Defanging Iran Could Solidify U.S.-Russia Ties
There is a rub-your-eyes quality to the summit that kicks off tonight between President Bush and Russian leader Vladimir V. Putin in Russia. Erstwhile enemies are embarking on a historic new partnership. If they seize the moment, they could parlay their new friendship into solving a problem that has eluded
May 23, 2002
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Anticipating Patterns of Global Terrorism 2001
The 2001 edition of Patterns of Global Terrorism, the U.S. government's preeminent annual accounting of international terrorism, is slated for release tomorrow, a few weeks later than its usual April unveiling. The delay is presumably the result of the sharp rise in international terror activity in 2001. The report is
May 20, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Mary Robinson, War Criminal?
An Appropriate Career Move
On September 12, 1997, United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan appointed Mary Robinson as the United Nation's High Commissioner for Human Rights. On paper, Robinson is as eminently qualified as any other U.N. political appointee. For seven years, she served as president of Ireland. The website of the Office of the
May 20, 2002
Brief Analysis
Iran's Place in the Axis:
Signs of Movement?
Near the end of the Clinton administration, some analysts expressed a degree of hope that Iran's reform movement would inject some measure of pragmatism into Iranian foreign policy. That hope seems to have faded. The Bush administration has established terrorism and proliferation -- two areas in which Iran has been
May 17, 2002
◆
Ray Takeyh
Patrick Clawson
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