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Articles & Testimony
Trading Places
After two decades of direct U.S. involvement, what went so wrong in Afghanistan compared to the relative successes seen in Iraq?
Jan 7, 2022
◆
David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Northeast Syria’s Journey: An Exclusive Interview with Syrian Democratic Forces Commander Mazloum Abdi
A decade after the beginning of the 2011 uprising against Assad, the Autonomous Administration (AA) that controls the northeastern region of Syria faces numerous governance challenges. The author sat down with General Mazloum, the SDF commander in charge of protecting the AA, to discuss its current issues and potential future.
Jan 6, 2022
◆
Baraa Sabri
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Militia Attacks in Iraq and Syria in Early 2022
The process of assuaging the militia support base was carefully stage-managed in the first week of the new year, with Iran and Nujaba setting the ground rules.
Jan 6, 2022
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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Law Enforcement Shuffle Reflects Concern About Protests
The Supreme Leader and the IRGC are asserting more control over the task of monitoring and managing protest movements, creating yet another intelligence agency in the process.
Jan 5, 2022
◆
Amir Toumaj
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s End Game: Will He Undermine Turkish Democracy to Stay in Power?
The president is very unlikely to win the next election fair and square, so he may well resort to undermining the vote, disregarding the result, or even fomenting a January 6-like insurrection.
Jan 4, 2022
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Generation and the New Opposition in Iraq’s Parliament
Calls to reject the results of Iraq's October 10 parliamentary election by the Fateh alliance and other parties affiliated with the Popular Mobilization Forces that underperformed have garnered much attention. Yet the successful strategies and ideologies of relatively new parties that took seats in the recent election cycle deserve a closer look.
Jan 4, 2022
◆
Mohanad Adnan
Articles & Testimony
Solving Syria’s Crisis Starts with Sanctioning Iranian Oil
Instead of quietly greenlighting the Assad regime’s diplomatic rehabilitation, U.S. officials should escalate economic pressure on its Iranian enablers to regain leverage at the negotiating table.
Jan 3, 2022
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Andrew J. Tabler
Matthew Zweig
Articles & Testimony
The Golf War on the Arabian Peninsula
The Emirates are the region’s leading destination for the sport, but Saudi Arabia is coming on strong as part of their broader economic competition.
Dec 26, 2021
◆
David Schenker
Video
Brief Analysis
The War on Jihadism: Lessons from Twenty Years of Counterterrorism
Three French experts survey the evolution of twenty-first-century counterterrorism and assess how the struggles against jihadist and far-right violence need to adapt in the coming years.
Dec 22, 2021
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Marc Hecker
Elie Tenenbaum
Louis Dugit-Gros
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
IRGC Conducts “Hybrid” Military Drills as Nuclear Talks Teeter
The timing of the exercise and the types of systems and tactics on display reveal much about Iran’s likely response to any uptick in foreign pressure.
Dec 22, 2021
◆
Farzin Nadimi
In-Depth Reports
Soldiers of End-Times
Assessing the Military Effectiveness of the Islamic State
The IS military project led not only to the announcement of a “caliphate,” but to the proliferation of jihadist franchises that devastated countries, displaced millions, and killed tens of thousands.
Dec 21, 2021
◆
Ido Levy
Articles & Testimony
How the Death of the Soviet Union Transformed the Middle East
Reflecting on the thirtieth anniversary of the Soviet collapse makes clear that Moscow and its pragmatic anti-Western approach never fully left the region.
Dec 21, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Fighter Aircraft Could Give Iran a Nuclear Delivery Option
Newly disclosed interviews indicate that a key Pakistani source of Iran’s nuclear know-how also figured out how to equip F-16s with nukes.
Dec 20, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S. Encouragement of Regional Military Cooperation: An Ongoing Process
Although the United States has firmly committed to shifting its focus eastward, it is making clear efforts to build up regional alternatives to protect its interests.
Dec 20, 2021
◆
Samir Altaqi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New UAE Poll: Public Aligned with Foreign Policy Balance, Domestic Conditions
Polling indicates sectarian consensus on most issues, with some variation on Iran.
Dec 20, 2021
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Bennett Visit Shows the UAE Balancing Between Israeli Ties and Regional De-escalation
The meeting confirmed how eager both countries are to keep their economic progress humming along, but such cooperation could become complicated if concerns about Iran’s nuclear program come to a head.
Dec 16, 2021
◆
David Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Power to the People?
Scrutinizing the U.S.-Arab Effort to Supply Energy to Lebanon via Syria
Residents of the beleaguered country desperately need electricity, but a U.S.-Arab scheme carries complications that could benefit Syria's Assad regime.
Dec 16, 2021
◆
Katherine Bauer
Ben Fishman
Hanin Ghaddar
Simon Henderson
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Would Russia Ever Help Syria Break Away From Iranian Influence?
Israel seems to hope that differences between Moscow and Tehran will emerge with greater clarity as the fighting ends, but this view reflects wishful thinking more than reality.
Dec 16, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptians Value United States and China Equally, but Dislike both Iran and Israel
Popular attitudes in Egypt support both the United States and China, and indicate relative stability on domestic issues.
Dec 15, 2021
◆
David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Playground: Kinetic Operations Refocus on East Syria
Iran-backed groups seem to be directing their more dangerous attacks against coalition forces in Syria, not Iraq, and the trend could accelerate in early 2022.
Dec 14, 2021
◆
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
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