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تحلیل کوتاه
عملیات در منطقه خاکستری برای مقابله با ایران
بهترین راه ایالات متحده در مقابله با راهبرد عملیات نامتقارن ایران در عربستان سعودی و نقاط دیگر، تدوین یک راهبرد عمل در منطقه خاکستری است. اگر تنش افزایش یابد، این راهبرد میتواند هم در مدیریت شرایط به کار آید و هم در خرید وقت برای اثرگذاری سیاست فشار دولت آمریکا.
۱۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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مایکل آیزنستات
Brief Analysis
The ‘Rebuild Syria’ Exhibition: Iranian Influence and U.S. Sanctions
This year’s show provides a window into Tehran’s strategy for cementing its soft power, and may point to potential sanctions violations by companies from U.S. partner countries.
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
On the Eve of Israel’s Do-Over: Final Maneuvers and Coalition Possibilities
Netanyahu continues to hunt for last-minute right-wing votes, while the center-left has cast its lot with a “national unity” strategy that would aim to peel Likud away from him.
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Strength and Strategy Show with Saudi Oilfield Attacks
So far, Tehran appears to have judged quite well what it can get away with, a track record that will likely give Riyadh pause as it considers its response.
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The South Caucasus Factor of the United States-Russia-Iran Triangle
Armenia, Georgia, and Azerbaijan still have pro-Western democratic aspirations, so U.S. policymakers should continue engaging them on ways to reduce interference from Moscow and Tehran.
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Trump Must React to the Attacks on Saudi Arabia. But a Quick Fix Won’t Be Enough.
U.S. pressure has put Iran in a corner economically but not politically or militarily, so the Supreme Leader seems to believe there is little to lose unless Washington shows it will ease sanctions or launch strikes.
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A Credibility Test for U.S.-Saudi Defense Relations and Iran Deterrence
The suspected missile attack is the most significant strike on Gulf energy targets in decades, and consequences need to be levied on Iran, whether in the military or diplomatic spheres.
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu Is Endangering the Future of a Two-State Solution
Advocacy groups, congressional delegations, and Trump administration officials should all be asking Israel the same tough question: how can we help you rethink settlement expansion and thereby preserve separation as an option?
۱۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Extrajudicial Killing of Ahwazis in Iran Continues Despite UN Condemnation
On July 18, 2019 Javaid Rehman, the United Nations Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran, reported that “Arab Ahwazis have continued to be subjected to violations of their rights…. [as] Iranian authorities have reportedly applied broad national security laws to target human
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Rahim Hamid
Aaron Meyer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdish Voters Will Continue to Exercise their Vote in Turkey
Recently, Turkish municipal politics have become another lens into the complicated relationship between the Turkish government and the country’s Kurdish voters. On August 19, Turkish authorities removed the People’s Democratic Party (HDP) mayors of the majority Kurdish cities of Diyarbakir, Martin, and Van on unspecified charges of terrorism. These mayors
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Jiwan Soz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ and Erdogan’s Territorial Ambitions
After a month of negotiations and much previous speculation, Washington and Ankara have agreed on a 75-mile buffer zone between Tall Abyad and Ras al-Ain, with the two armies establishing a joint operations center in Ankara. At the end of last week, U.S. and Turkish forces conducted their first joint
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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John Saleh
Brief Analysis
Tunisians to Elect a New President
With no clear front-runner emerging and public disillusionment mounting, the struggling Arab democracy is transitioning from a period of consensus to uncertainty.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Sarah Feuer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Al-Hawl Camp: A Potential Incubator of the Next Generation of Extremism
Detention facilities for individuals affiliated with jihadist groups in the Middle East have a history of transforming into incubators for the creation and rise of new jihadist organizations, which have proved more dangerous and robust—both in terms of economic strength and manpower—than before. These organizations, which were founded from the
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Himbervan Kose
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Air Defense Conundrum: Options for U.S. Policy
Baghdad is under pressure to show it can protect its airspace, but procuring Russian or Iranian equipment might complicate U.S.-Iraq relations without addressing the triggers for Israeli strikes.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
How Will Palestinians Respond to Netanyahu’s Annexation Announcement?
Abbas will likely use it to rally the Arab League and UN against the Trump administration’s peace plan, and his success will depend on Washington’s own reaction going forward.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Ghaith al-Omari
گزارشهای تفصیلی
مرجعیت شیعه بعد از سیستانی
از مجموعه جستارهای جانشینی ناگهانی
انستیوی واشنگتن بانی رشته بحثها و نشستهایی درباره جانشینی غیرمنتظره رهبران در خاورمیانه بوده است. هر یک از این نشستها در خصوص سناریوهایی است که ممکن است غیاب یک رهبر یا حاکم از صحنه سیاسی به آن منجر شود.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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علی معموری
مهدی خلجی
◆
رشته مطالب پیشنهادی
Brief Analysis
The Challenges Facing the New Saudi Oil Minister
Riyadh’s hopes of raising money through a partial sell-off of Saudi Aramco depend on the price of oil, which failed to rise sufficiently under the previous minister.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
To Win Re-Election, Bibi Netanyahu Is Waging ‘Wars’ at Home and Abroad
Publicizing IDF operations, threatening to annex the West Bank, and making alarmist statements about polling stations and the press may help him eke out a victory, but at what cost to Israel’s security and standing?
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
The Development of Tunisia’s Domestic Counter-Terrorism Finance Capability
The country is fast becoming a regional leader in meeting global CT norms, developing the necessary toolkits, and integrating its efforts with those of foreign governments.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
The North Korean-Israeli Shadow War
Whenever nuclear weapons technology appears in the hands of Israel’s enemies, Pyongyang is usually involved.
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Jay Solomon
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