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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s ‘Mini Empire’ in Libya and Syria
A deep dive into the evolution of Turkey’s Middle East policy and the mixed results it has had in two Russian-fueled conflict zones.
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East Peace Process: Analysis from a Former Negotiator
An in-depth assessment of how Washington should approach Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy at a time when the strategic foundation for American involvement has deteriorated.
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Options for Pressuring Russia in Idlib Are Limited
Weighty domestic concerns and geopolitical fears will likely keep Erdogan from pushing too hard against the current Russian-Syrian campaign, but the parties may yet broker a temporary deal to carve the province in half.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Latest Battle for Idlib Could Send Another Wave of Refugees to Europe
Various displacement scenarios may unfold as the fighting escalates, each carrying a high risk of negative humanitarian and economic consequences even if the parties live up to their promises.
۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
To Broker Peace, the United States Must Understand Why Palestinians Reject Trump’s ‘Deal of the Century’
In the past week since its announcement, there have effectively been no Palestinian voices coming out in favor of President Donald J. Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, announced on January 28, 2020 and dubbed as “The Deal of the Century,” whether publicly or privately. Palestinian opinion is overwhelmingly against this latest
۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Mohammed Dajani
Brief Analysis
UN Panel Highlights Command-and-Control Issues in Yemen
The latest Panel of Experts report shines a much-needed light on operational control issues that will likely complicate postwar efforts to unify the country’s sundry armed forces.
۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Elana DeLozier
In-Depth Reports
Your Sons Are at Your Service: Tunisia’s Missionaries of Jihad
How did Tunisia, a democratic bright spot of the Arab uprisings with very little history of terrorist violence within its borders before 2011, become one of the largest sources of foreign fighters for the Islamic State? This groundbreaking book presents the first history of the Tunisian jihadi movement and challenges simplified views of jihadism's appeal and success.
۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Forms of Old Hate: Confronting Assad’s Anti-Semitism in Germany
Germany must recognize and seek to understand the embedded nature of anti-Semitism in Syria in order to better help its newest residents to live lives free of state-sponsored prejudice.
۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Rawan Osman
Video
Brief Analysis
The Persistent Threat from the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda: The View from the UN
The head of the UN team charged with monitoring each group assesses their prospects for bouncing back and recommends further steps that governments can take to counter them.
۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Edmund Fitton-Brown
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Idlib and Its Environs:
Narrowing Prospects for a Rebel Holdout
During the war years in Syria, the northwest, specifically Idlib, has become a site of heavy internal displacement. Observers on the ground recognize the green buses traveling to Idlib carrying migrants who have refused reconciliation agreements with the Damascus regime. Since around 2014, a range of jihadist, Islamist, and Salafi
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Empowering Women in Yemen's Countryside: Securing Ibb
The four most vital governorates in Yemen, in terms of agriculture and population density, are Sana’a, Ibb, Taiz, and Hodeidah. Ibb in particular is known as “ the fertile province” or “Ibb the Green” because of its unusual amounts of rainfall and soil properties, and it serves as a major
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Abdullah Ali
Articles & Testimony
We Need a Corrective to Old Catechisms on Peace. Trump’s Plan Isn’t It
The best ideas in the plan will be delegitimized by its overall failure, because on each count the administration has stretched a laudable principle beyond recognition.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Robert Satloff
تحلیل کوتاه
سیاست آمریکا در عراق: محوریت دادن به حقوق بشر و انتخابات منصفانه
مطمئنترین مسیر برای مقابله با نفوذ شریرانه ایران، تمرکز فعالانه بر موضوعات حقوق بشری است که نخستوزیر جدید میتواند در آن تأثیرگذار باشد؛ مانند برگزاری انتخابات آزاد و جلوگیری از خشونت بیشتر علیه معترضان.
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
مایکل نایتز
Brief Analysis
Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 1): Borders and Jerusalem
If the latest U.S. effort winds up backing the Palestinians into a territorial corner from the outset, then Washington may not be able to move the process any closer to direct negotiations.
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 2): Security, Refugees, and Narratives
By granting Israel much more say over the sovereignty of a future Palestinian state and its ability to absorb refugees, the document may undermine the administration’s ability to build an international coalition behind its policies.
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Evolution of Iraq’s Protests: Excessive Force Pushes Protesters to Adapt
Iraq’s trifecta of unemployment, lack of public services, and corruption has been a prime motivating force fueling Iraq’s months of protests. And since the protests began, the young Iraqi protesters who took to the streets have discovered a fourth point of contention: the elite’s lack of accountability and willingness to
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Maryam Alhassani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pivoting to the KRG: Restructuring the U.S. Military Presence in Iraq
Since the start of the Iraq War in 2003, a defining element of American policy has been the importance of the political and territorial integrity of the Iraqi state. In light of the U.S. killing of Qassem Soleimani, subsequent retaliation from Iran, and continued violence in Iraq—most recently manifesting in
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Eric Bordenkircher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Dangerous Consequences of U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq
The rapid escalation following the assassination of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani has threatened the already precarious state of U.S.-Iraq relations. Now, Iraq must decide how to respond, while considering the unintended consequences that any action will bring. At present, it seems the Iraqi government’s recent 170-0 vote—in the absence of
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Khairuldeen Makhzoomi
Minatullah Alobaidi
Articles & Testimony
A Steep Uphill Climb: Why Trump’s New Mideast Peace Plan Will Likely Harden the Israeli-Palestinian Divide
As currently constituted, the plan cannot be accepted by any Palestinian who cares about self-determination, but implementing some of its economic provisions might create room for negotiations down the road.
۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Public Backs Israeli-Palestinian Compromise, Wants Good Ties with United States
As Cairo prepares to host an urgent Arab League meeting this weekend, called to address the new U.S. Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, results from a rare new Egyptian public opinion poll show two-thirds support “incentives for both sides [Israelis and Palestinians] to take more moderate positions.” And a narrower majority, among
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Pollock
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