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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Gorran and the End of Populism in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq
After months of back and forth, the leading parties of the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG)—the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK)—are engaged in negotiations to finalize the cabinet, which must be completed by July 12. Yet as the shape of the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG)’s
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Mera Jasm Bakr
Articles & Testimony
Popular Mobilization Force Reform in Iraq: Reintegration or Consolidation of Militia Power?
Recent decisions by the Iraqi PM to curtail militia influence may just swap one threat for another.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Uncertain Future of Algeria’s Anti-Corruption Battles
In Algeria, a recent crackdown by Algeria’s transitional government has caused a number of prominent senior officials from the Bouteflika era to face charges from the Sidi M'hamed central court in Algiers, mostly related to corruption. While systemic corruption was one of the issues that fueled Algeria’s recent protest movement
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Ahmed Marwane
Brief Analysis
Thirteen Years Since the Hezbollah-Israel War
On the anniversary of the 2006 conflict, a former IDF chief of staff assesses current power dynamics, risks, and opportunities along Israel’s northern borders.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Gadi Eisenkot
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Keeps Calm and Carries On After Latest Terrorist Attack
Links between this attack and older jihadist networks underscore the complex nature of Tunisian radicalization, even if suspicious government data trends seem to suggest the problem is diminishing.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
‘Settler Champion’ Netanyahu Can’t Even Get the Settlers to Vote for Him
The prime minister delivers for West Bank settlers at great cost internationally, but election results show they don’t pay him back at the ballot box.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Makovsky
Basia Rosenbaum
David Patkin
تحلیل کوتاه
کاهش نیروهای امارات در یمن، عربستان سعودی را منزوی میکند
به نظر میرسد که اماراتیهای خسته از جنگ، ریاض را در جنگ یمن تنها میگذارند تا بهتنهایی در جنگ علیه شورشیان تحت حمایت ایران از خود دفاع کند. امری که گفتوگوهای سعودی-حوثی را ضروری میسازد.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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الانا دولوزی
Articles & Testimony
Jared Kushner’s All-or-Nothing Mistake in the Middle East
If the administration wants its peace plan to break the peace process paradigm, it must suggest immediately achievable and flexible short-term goals.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Iran Steps Over the Line on Nukes. What’s the Next Step for Trump?
At the very least, the International Atomic Energy Agency should be pressured to conduct closer inspections of Iranian enrichment sites and other nuclear facilities.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel’s Generals Are Taking on Netanyahu
Almost all of them believe the prime minister is destroying the country's democratic values and sacrificing the Zionist dream by avoiding a two-state solution.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Neri Zilber
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Humanitarian Time Bomb in Idlib
As the latest regime offensive continues, hundreds of thousands of civilians are fleeing to overcrowded border camps, furthering Assad’s strategy of emptying as much of the Sunni Arab population as possible.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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Fabrice Balanche
تحلیل کوتاه
خامنهای تحریمهای وضعشده بر خود را چالشی مستقیم با انقلاب میبیند
رهبر ایران، حاکمیت خود را ویژگی اصلی انقلاب اسلامی میداند، از اینرو تازهترین فرمان کاخ سفید به مثابهٔ هدف قرار دادن کل نظام دیده میشود.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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پاتریک کلاوسون
مهدی خلجی
Brief Analysis
Past U.S.-Iran Confrontations Hold Lessons for Current Crisis
Despite its measured approach thus far, Tehran may come to view the latest showdown as an existential conflict with an irresolute adversary, warranting greater risk-taking on its part.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Eisenstadt
Video
Brief Analysis
The Istanbul Revote: What Happens Next?
Four experts discuss the opposition's landslide victory and its implications for Turkish politics generally and President Erdogan's future specifically.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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Soner Cagaptay
Lisel Hintz
Kemal Kirisci
Alan Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Democrats Can Show Trump the Way to Avoid War with Iran
The regime’s economic pain is real, so it may eventually be willing to talk about extending the nuclear deal’s sunset provisions and limiting its military infrastructure in Syria.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Exploring Russia’s Humanitarian Intervention in Syria
From September 2015, Russia’s military intervention into the Syrian civil war succeeded in turning the conflict’s momentum from the opposition back to the Syrian government. However, in the past few years Russia has simultaneously undertaken a quieter intervention in the Syrian conflict through humanitarian institutions. While there has been a
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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Marika Sosnowski
Paul Hastings
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With the Internet Blackout in Sudan, Knowledge Is Power
The current blackout fits the regime's wider pattern of attempting to guarantee its survival by restricting access to information.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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Yousra Khalil
Articles & Testimony
Bahrain’s Bid for Middle East Peace Role May Come Up Short
The guest list at the scaled-down meeting continues to shrink, while the tension caused by recent Iranian escalation looms in the background.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Presidential System Isn’t Working. The Istanbul Election Shows Why.
Turkey is too diverse demographically, too big economically, and too complicated politically to be governed from a presidential palace.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Resolving the PA Funding Crisis, But Not in Bahrain
Rather than pinning false hopes on the Manama conference, the international community should focus on reforming the Paris Protocol and convincing the Palestinians to resume revenue transfers from Israel.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
◆
Katherine Bauer
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