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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Linked LPG Tanker Sails to East Mediterranean
Past ties between the Marina and the Lebanese terrorist group, along with the ship’s deceptive practices at sea, merit U.S. scrutiny.
Mar 28, 2025
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Noam Raydan
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Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
The New Syrian Government’s Fight Against the Islamic State, Hezbollah, and Captagon
An in-depth look at how the new rulers tackled these counterterrorism issues in Idlib province for years prior to Assad’s fall, and what steps they are taking at the national level today.
March 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Assessing the U.S. Military Campaign Against the Houthis
Experts discuss how the new campaign differs from previous U.S. strikes in Yemen, what targets are being hit, and whether it can resolve the threat without broader American policy efforts.
Mar 28, 2025
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Elizabeth Dent
Michael Knights
Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Abdulmahdi in Yemen: An Emerging Militia Godfather
A former Iraqi prime minister is using his freedom from U.S. sanctions to act as an envoy between designated terrorist groups.
Mar 28, 2025
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Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Two Carriers in the Middle East: Implications for the Houthis, Iran, and U.S. Force Readiness
The decision to order an additional carrier strike group to the region comes amid the Trump administration’s new campaign against the Houthis and public warnings to Iran, though it could affect U.S. force readiness worldwide.
Mar 27, 2025
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Elizabeth Dent
Brief Analysis
Gaza Protests Can Contribute to Outside Pressure on Hamas
Although the unusually bold demonstrations are unlikely to shake the group’s local control, they have cracked the barrier of fear that Hamas nurtured inside Gaza and offer an opportunity to amplify alternative Palestinian voices.
Mar 27, 2025
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Neomi Neumann
Nikhil Samuel
Video
Brief Analysis
Bombing Iran's Nuclear Program: Implications of Preventive Action
Washington Institute experts discuss what challenges must be addressed in negotiating a new nuclear deal or, failing that, planning a military campaign to degrade or destroy the program.
Mar 25, 2025
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Dana Stroul
Richard Nephew
Michael Eisenstadt
Holly Dagres
Articles & Testimony
Lessons from the Middle East’s Unfinished War
Definitive conclusions about the post-October 7 environment remain elusive, but it is not too early to draw lessons and consider the problems and opportunities that may arise from the recent upheaval in 2025.
Mar 25, 2025
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
New Gas Licenses Go Ahead on the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border
Hezbollah’s recent military defeat and the 2022 Israel-Lebanon maritime agreement mediated by Washington have enabled exploration in a distant corner of Israel’s exclusive economic zone.
Mar 24, 2025
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Leveraging the Gaps in Russia and China’s Complex Relations with Iran
Far from signaling a strong trilateral alliance, their history of often transactional cooperation reveals strategic gaps that Washington can leverage to help curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
Mar 24, 2025
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Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 2): An Opening for New Negotiations
Direct Israeli dialogue with Syria’s transitional government could produce a new framework for bilateral relations—one that includes effectively ending the perpetual state of belligerency, accepting Israel’s special relationship with the Druze, agreeing on spheres of coordination throughout the south, and cooperating against Iran and Hezbollah’s comeback attempts in Syria and Lebanon.
Mar 21, 2025
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Ehud Yaari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S. Support for Iraqi Security Forces: Challenges and Future Prospects under Trump
With U.S. security aid for Iraq under review, Baghdad is attempting to assess the potential impact of an extended freeze on its national security.
Mar 21, 2025
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Mohanad Faris
Articles & Testimony
How the Trump Administration Can Limit China’s Arms Exports
Using a combination of bilateral and multilateral tools, Washington can curtail China’s ability to produce and export quality weapons while pressuring governments who consider buying them.
Mar 21, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 1): The Risks of “Occupation”
Israel’s cross-border incursion is understandable but may have gone too far, raising the need for U.S. intercession on merging Syria’s disparate forces, easing sanctions, deconflicting with Turkey, and other urgent stabilization tasks.
Mar 20, 2025
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David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdish Approaches to Trump’s MENA Policies: Hoping for Continued U.S. Engagement
Based on their experiences with Trump’s first administration, many Kurdish politicians in both Syria and Iraq believe they are on the brink of historic decisions that will shape their political future.
Mar 20, 2025
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Baraa Sabri
Articles & Testimony
How to Match Ends and Means in the Middle East
To resolve crises like the Gaza war and Iran’s drive toward nuclear breakout, the Trump administration will need to rediscover the practice of statecraft and marshal the necessary allied help.
Mar 19, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Moving Past “Wait and See” in South Lebanon: The U.S.-French Role
The announcement of "working groups" between Israel and Lebanon comes at a key juncture in the ceasefire, and complementary action by the United States and France can facilitate full implementation.
Mar 18, 2025
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Souhire Medini
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Dual Face of Qais al-Khazali: Extremist at Heart, Politician by Necessity
Khazali presents himself as a mainstream political figure, but his internal narrative reveals unwavering loyalty to Iran's "axis of resistance" and a deeply entrenched extremist ideology opposed to the West.
Mar 17, 2025
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Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s PMF Law Is No Substitute for Real Security Reform
The Trump administration should not be duped by the supposed “reforms” that militia leaders are considering in parliament, which threaten to turn the PMF into another Iranian “Revolutionary Guard” and keep U.S.-designated terrorists in key posts.
Mar 17, 2025
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Are Tunisia and Iran Really Growing Closer?
Although their diplomatic and economic overtures are on the rise, bilateral ties remain largely superficial for now, indicating a shared anti-Western posture rather than risky strategic cooperation.
Mar 17, 2025
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Sabina Henneberg
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