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Articles & Testimony
What the Israel-Hamas Ceasefire in Gaza Means for the Middle East
Netanyahu likely wanted to start off on a good foot with Trump—not just out of fear, but because Israel has its eyes on a much wider allied agenda in the region.
Jan 17, 2025
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David Makovsky
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Does the Red Sea Crisis Reveal About Sanctioned Ships?
Two sanctioned Russia-linked oil tankers, which were attacked by the Houthis in 2023 and 2024, recently changed their names and are flying the Djiboutian flag amid stricter Western sanctions.
Jan 17, 2025
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Noam Raydan
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Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
In Syria, America Should Be Ruthlessly Focused on the Islamic State
With the U.S. military presence on a potentially short timetable, officials should prioritize policies that ensure the continued security of Islamic State detention facilities, such as brokering local ceasefire agreements and alleviating Turkish concerns.
Jan 17, 2025
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Joseph Votel
Elizabeth Dent
Video
Brief Analysis
Gaza Ceasefire: Implications for Israel, Hamas, and U.S. Policy
Watch an expert webcast examining the Hamas-Israel ceasefire agreement, which includes the release of thirty-three Israeli hostages in the agreement's first phase.
Jan 17, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Matthew Levitt
Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
PA Reform Is Key to West Bank Stability—and Possible Rule in Gaza
Although the Palestinian Authority’s increased governance activities may not indicate deep change, they could help stabilize the security situation in the West Bank and, perhaps, pave the way for PA rule in postwar Gaza.
Jan 17, 2025
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Neomi Neumann
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Can Remake the Middle East
If he uses his major regional leverage to curtail the Iranian nuclear threat and end the Gaza war, he will be well-placed to resume other important tasks that have been sitting on the back burner—including Israeli-Saudi normalization.
Jan 16, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Will Lebanon’s New Leaders Walk the Walk?
The new president and prime minister do not have a strong track record of confronting Hezbollah, but Washington should still be bold in supporting their stated commitments to reform, disarmament, and economic recovery.
Jan 16, 2025
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Replacing UNRWA Is an Opportunity Trump Should Not Miss
The incoming U.S. administration has no intention of strong-arming Israel into working with such a problematic organization, so officials should focus on pressing other UN agencies to take on its job in Gaza—or risk cuts to their own funding.
Jan 15, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Three: Turkey Turns an Enemy into an Ally
In this episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Turkey analyst Soner Cagaptay traces the revolutionary transformation of Ankara's relationship with Damascus from heated enemies to the closest of allies.
Jan 14, 2025
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Soner Cagaptay
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The Syria Breakdown
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Too Scared to Fully Commemorate Soleimani and Muhandis
In the shadow of Trump's imminent inauguration, Iran-backed terrorist groups were cautious in how they commemorated the anniversary of the January 2020 killings.
Jan 14, 2025
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Iraqi Stance on Events in Syria: Between Legitimate Fears and Sectarian Rhetoric
While Iraqi fears of a resurgence of ISIS are legitimate, understanding the realities and opportunities presented with Syria's new government while rejecting sectarian rhetoric are vital for the future of Iraq's relationship with its neighbor.
Jan 14, 2025
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Omar Dhabian
Brief Analysis
Making Iran Choose Between the Bomb and Bankruptcy
The regime’s fears of new oil restrictions, simmering domestic unrest, eroding regional deterrence, and unpredictable U.S.-Israeli military action can all be leveraged to steer Khamenei away from racing toward a nuclear weapon.
Jan 13, 2025
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Hamdi Malik
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Ceasefire: Status and Prospects of the Israel-Hezbollah Truce
Watch or read remarks from a former LAF general, the IDF’s former head of strategic planning, and an expert Lebanon analyst during a new series of virtual panels held by The Washington Institute.
Jan 13, 2025
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Khalil Helou
Tal Kelman
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
In Syria, the U.S. Can Help Rebuild While Supplanting Russian Influence
Moscow’s position has weakened, but not for long, raising the need for quick U.S. action on sanctions, investments, and broader economic assistance.
Jan 11, 2025
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon Headed Towards Promised Sovereignty
Choosing a reform-minded president would be a good first step, but absent a concerted effort to consolidate the setbacks to Hezbollah, the organization will simply reassert its murderous grip.
Jan 8, 2025
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
EU-Morocco Relations: Stuck Between Law and Politics?
If Washington and its European partners fail to remediate ongoing disputes over trade rights and Western Sahara, they may leave room for Russia and China to assert more influence in the kingdom.
Jan 8, 2025
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Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
Assad’s Fall Is an Opportunity for a U.S. Win Over China
Beijing consistently supported the regime’s brutal repressive measures, so cozying up to the rebel-led transition government may be more difficult than it expects.
Jan 5, 2025
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Grant Rumley
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Two: Putin's Playground
In this episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Russia analyst Anna Borshchevskaya explains why Russia's long military intervention in Syria failed to protect the regime of its local ally, Bashar al-Assad, from collapse in the face of a stunning rebel advance.
Jan 3, 2025
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Anna Borshchevskaya
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The Syria Breakdown
Articles & Testimony
A Last Chance for Iran
The Trump administration should give nuclear diplomacy a final shot—while preparing to use military force.
Jan 2, 2025
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Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Alawites Under Threat in Syria?
At a time when Westerners are questioning the Islamist takeover in Damascus, Sunni Arab treatment of the Assad family’s broader Alawite base will offer insights into the nascent government’s true stance on religious tolerance, transitional justice, and state-building.
Dec 31, 2024
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Fabrice Balanche
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