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All Policy Analysis by Ghaith al-Omari
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Brief Analysis
Firing PA Governors: Precursor to Change or Internal Power Play?
Although Abbas’s latest edict might hold consequences for Fatah politics, the PA’s public standing, and West Bank militancy, a measure of skepticism about its significance is warranted.
Aug 10, 2023
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Why a Weak Abbas Is Dangerous for Israel
To restore security and expand the Abraham Accords, Washington and its allies must take urgent steps to keep the PA from collapsing, such as organizing donor pressure to appoint a reformist prime minister and increasing employment opportunities for younger Palestinians who no longer see a reason to refrain from violence.
Jul 6, 2023
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Dennis Ross
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
The Palestinian Succession Crisis
Over nearly two decades, President Abbas has consolidated power and scorned a consensus-based approach to governance, making a smooth eventual leadership handover unlikely.
May 17, 2023
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
To Prevent the PA from Unraveling, Address Internal Reform
Reversing the dangerous trends in Palestinian domestic dynamics is a complicated undertaking, but failure to address these issues will ultimately hobble any diplomatic and security understandings reached on West Bank de-escalation.
Feb 28, 2023
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
A Baghdad Summit in Amman: Implications for Regional Stability
The French-sponsored event could be a welcome starting point for wider cooperation between Iraq’s new government and its Arab neighbors—particularly Jordan—but only time will tell whether agreements made there come to fruition.
Dec 19, 2022
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Louis Dugit-Gros
Ghaith al-Omari
Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
KRG and PA: Reprioritizing Governance over Symbolism
Although Palestinian and Kurdish politics have similarly deteriorated into ineffective blame games, fresh U.S. policies focused on institution-building could restore the promise of progress in both cases.
Dec 2, 2022
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Ghaith al-Omari
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Biden-Abbas Meeting Is About Symbolism, Not Diplomatic Progress
The meeting itself is the objective, and the more uneventful it is, the more it will be deemed a success.
Jul 8, 2022
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
How Pentagon Bureaucracy Could Undermine West Bank Security
The proposal to downgrade the U.S. Security Coordinator from a three-star general to a colonel could decimate a crucial mission, especially amid the recent uptick in Israeli-Palestinian tensions.
Jun 16, 2022
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Shira Efron
Ghaith al-Omari
Video
Brief Analysis
Terror and Turbulence in Israel and the West Bank
Three experts discuss the risks of escalating violence on the ground, the Israeli and PA response so far, and U.S. policy options.
Apr 8, 2022
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Anna Ahronheim
Matthew Levitt
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Managing New Israeli-Palestinian Tensions During Ramadan
Despite increased readiness and cooperation in the lead-up to the holy month, recent polls provide a discouraging portrait of public hopes for peace, forcing authorities to keep a close eye on any moves that might inflame tensions.
Apr 1, 2022
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Ghaith al-Omari
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Making the Most of Jordan’s Peace Diplomacy
To follow up on the king’s Ramallah trip, Washington should encourage further engagement in the peace process beyond the diplomatic realm, including economic stabilization initiatives and tie-ins with the Abraham Accords.
Mar 29, 2022
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Ghaith al-Omari
In-Depth Reports
Preparing for Orderly Change in Jordan When the Time Comes
The kingdom has navigated tricky successions in the past, and many of the elements that allowed it to do so remain in place today.
Nov 22, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
UAE to Fund Israel and Jordan’s Solar/Water Deal
The trilateral agreement will combine long-established peace partners with one of the Gulf parties to last year’s Abraham Accords, providing a model for broader normalization efforts.
Nov 18, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Biden Welcomes His First Arab Head of State
The visit will set the stage for future U.S. assistance negotiations and allow King Abdullah to express his views on Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy and other regional issues, while the White House can bolster the relationship and (quietly) push for achievable reforms.
Jul 15, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Palestinian Politics Are More Divided Than Ever
Fatah and Hamas have tried every conceivable power-sharing mechanism to no avail, and many Palestinians now feel alienated from both brands of authoritarianism.
May 27, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Video
Brief Analysis
Hamas-Israel Violence: Context and Trajectory
What caused the latest Israeli-Palestinian crisis? What does each side seek to gain from it? And how can Washington help deescalate the fighting? Watch video or read a summary of this expert panel discussion.
May 18, 2021
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Lucy Kurtzer-Ellenbogen
Ehud Yaari
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Israel-Gaza Violence Means Biden Must Avoid Emboldening Hamas in Any Cease-Fire Deal
Boosting aid and addressing provocative policies will need to be discussed soon, but doing so prematurely would only further the terrorist group’s power struggle against the nonviolent Palestinian Authority.
May 18, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
To Vote or Not to Vote:
Implications of Postponing Palestinian Elections
As the risks of holding Palestinian elections come into focus, a Palestinian Authority decision to postpone the elections will increase tensions on the ground while highlighting structural flaws within Fatah and the PA.
Apr 28, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
The Hamzah Affair: Context and Implications of Jordan’s Royal Crisis
The immediate crisis seems to have ended for now, but the stunningly public Hashemite feud is a reminder that Jordan’s stability needs tending and is not something to be taken for granted by Washington or Amman’s regional friends.
Apr 5, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
If Palestinian Elections Proceed, Hamas May Have the Upper Hand
Abbas may decide to postpone the vote given Fatah’s internal fissures, his rivals’ relative unity, and the damage that certain outcomes could do to Palestinian relations with the West.
Mar 25, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
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