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All Policy Analysis by David Schenker
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Brief Analysis
The Future of U.S. Military Aid to Lebanon
Last week, Lebanese president Michel Suleiman met with President Bush at the White House -- the first visit by a Lebanese head of state since 1996 -- and reportedly pressed for a continued U.S. commitment to the bilateral military assistance program. Since the program's revitalization after the election of the
Oct 3, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Stability in Lebanon Threatened, Again
This past Monday, a Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) transport was targeted by a car bomb that killed five soldiers and wounded twenty-five others. The strike was the third on the LAF since June and occurred in increasingly violent northern Lebanon. In fact, violence in and around Tripoli, the largest city
Oct 2, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Hidden Imam
Conventional wisdom holds that when Iran's supreme leader says, "Jump," millions of Shiites, from the Beirut slums to the Saudi oilfields, ask, "How high?" But a recent meeting in Baghdad between a wealthy Lebanese Sunni politician and an ascetic Shiite theologian twice his age suggests that there is a move
Sep 24, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
A Dangerous Precedent
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's visit to Libya last week represents the final step in a decades-long U.S. effort to reform and rehabilitate the rogue state. A charter member of the U.S. Department of State's list of State Sponsors of Terrorism, after its nuclear program was disclosed in 2003, Tripoli
Sep 10, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Amman Warms to Hamas
This PolicyWatch is the first part of a two-part series on Hamas. Read part two. Last week, Jordan's minister of information publicly confirmed that senior Jordanian officials have been meeting with Hamas in an effort to "solve pending security issues." These talks represent a significant shift for Amman, since relations
Aug 28, 2008
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Matthew Levitt
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Can Lebanon's March 14 Reverse the Tide?
This week, Lebanon's new national unity government is slated to announce its ministerial statement (bayan waziri), the policy document that will define Beirut's working parameters and agenda through the spring 2009 elections. For the pro-West majority March 14 coalition, the priority will be to incorporate into the statement a reference
Jul 23, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Israel, Don't Undermine Beirut
Developments in Lebanon are being viewed with great concern in Israel. In the aftermath of Hizbullah's recent military and ostensible political victories, many Israelis are saying that Beirut has gone the way of Gaza. Lebanon is now "Hizbullahstan" -- just like Gaza, only worse. This assessment is alarmist, defeatist, and
Jun 2, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Syria: Between Negotiations with Israel and the Iranian Axis
The Syria-Iran alliance predated the rise to power of Saddam Hussein in Iraq. Prior to the 1979 Iranian revolution, President Hafiz Assad offered Ayatollah Khomeini sanctuary in Syria. Subsequently, Syria was the first Arab state to recognize the Shiite revolutionary regime in Tehran. Increased political pressures, a growing fiscal deficit
May 28, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 22, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 22, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 21, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lebanese Crisis Ends:
Hizballah Victory or Temporary Truce?
On May 21, after five days of mediation, Qatari officials announced a compromise solution to the Lebanese crisis between the pro-Western government and Hizballah-led opposition backed by Iran and Syria. According to preliminary reports, the negotiations centered on presidential elections and electoral reform, yet avoided the critical issue of Hizballah's
May 21, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Showdown between Hizballah and Beirut
This week, the democratically elected, pro-Western Lebanese government took the bold and unprecedented decision to confront Hizballah. Since its election in 2005, the government had avoided direct conflict with the well-armed Shiite militant political party, but several of the organization's activities -- including apparent preparations for yet another war with
May 9, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 8, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 4, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Egypt Builds a Wall, Changes Its Tune on Israel's Barrier
Much ado has been made of the Israeli security fence isolating the West Bank. When it is completed in 2010, the barrier -- which runs roughly along the 1967 border between Israel and Palestinian territory -- will span nearly 500 miles. Israelis say the purpose of the structure is to
Apr 21, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Apr 21, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Electoral and Social Tensions Spike in Egypt
On April 8, Egypt held elections for nearly 53,000 municipal representatives. Not surprisingly, participation was abysmal: Egypt's ruling faction, the National Democratic Party (NDP), ran unopposed for more than 80 percent of the seats, while the Muslim Brotherhood -- the country's only real opposition party -- boycotted the contest in
Apr 18, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Damascus Arab Summit:
Arab Divisions Ensure Modest Achievements
This weekend, the much-anticipated annual Arab Summit will convene in Damascus. The run-up to the twentieth summit -- the first ever held in Damascus -- has been overshadowed by the controversy surrounding Syria's role in undermining Lebanon's presidential elections. And Damascus has exacerbated regional concerns by inviting Iran to attend
Mar 27, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Beyond Rhetoric:
Hizballah Threats after the Mughniyeh Assassination
In response to the February 12 assassination of chief of operations Imad Mughniyeh, Hizballah has ratcheted up its threats, warnings, and saber rattling. In turn, Israel has locked down its foreign missions, put its military on heightened alert, and deployed Patriot missiles near Haifa. And in Washington, the FBI issued
Feb 28, 2008
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David Schenker
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