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All Policy Analysis by David Makovsky
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Brief Analysis
Despite Party Setbacks, Sharon Accelerates Disengagement Strategy
Despite being rebuffed again by the Likud Party two weeks ago, Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon has been undeterred in pursuing disengagement. In publicly broadcast remarks, he informed his fractious parliamentary faction that he was planning to accelerate the timing of his plan for withdrawal from Gaza and four West
Sep 3, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Arafat Survives for Now, Amid Divided Fatah Opposition
With Palestinian Authority (PA) Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei (a.k.a. Abu Ala) rescinding his recent resignation without gaining any meaningful control over disparate security forces, PA Chairman Yasir Arafat can claim to have won the latest round in the power struggle taking place inside the West Bank and Gaza. Arafat's success
Aug 6, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Current Challenge to Arafat
Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat is facing a serious challenge to his authority, perhaps the most serious since he arrived in the territories from Tunis a decade ago this month. Yesterday, the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) voted by a 43-4 margin to accept the resignation of Prime Minister Ahmed
Jul 22, 2004
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Fence Gives Israel Chance for Peace
Israel has rejected last week's ruling of the International Court of Justice. The court issued a nonbinding advisory opinion Friday that Israel's barrier is an impediment to peace. However, given the violence of the last four years between Israelis and Palestinians and the distrust that violence has engendered, the barrier
Jul 13, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Unilaterally Constructed Barriers in Contested Areas
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) in The Hague is expected to issue an advisory opinion this Friday, July 9, on the international legality of Israel's security fence. Although advisory opinions are often sought from the ICJ before an international body has made up its mind on an issue, the
Jul 8, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Whither the Sharon Coalition?
Implications of the Latest Cabinet Vote on Gaza
On June 6, 2004, the Israeli cabinet authorized (by a 14-7 margin) preparations for a possible Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. The authorization called for a final decision to be made about the Gaza settlements by March 2005. In the meantime, Israeli national security advisor Maj. Gen. Giora Eiland is heading
Jun 9, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Sharon's Likud Referendum Troubles
On Sunday, May 2, Likud members will hold an unprecedented party referendum on Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon's Gaza withdrawal plan. Polls among the 193,000 party members suggest rank and file party members may oppose Sharon's plan by a seven to ten point margin. Should Sharon's plan be defeated, this
Apr 30, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Bush-Sharon Correspondence (Part II):
Did the Bush Administration Prejudge Final Status?
Media reportage on yesterday's meeting between President George W. Bush and Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon has focused on Bush's letter to Sharon as a political windfall for the latter. Some analysts suggest that in his letter Bush prejudged the outcome of an eventual final-status deal between Israel and the
Apr 15, 2004
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Sharon Has Big Stake in Gaza Plan
This week, President George W. Bush is scheduled to hold summit meetings with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. The heart of both meetings will likely contain discussions surrounding Sharon's plan for Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and from a symbolic four settlements in the West Bank
Apr 12, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Gaza Withdrawal:
Implications for Israel and the Region
In mid-April, President George W. Bush will be holding summit meetings with Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak and Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon. The heart of both meetings will likely contain discussions surrounding Sharon's plan for Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and from a symbolic four settlements in the West Bank. Advantages—and
Apr 6, 2004
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Washington and the Way Station to Peace
As the prospects for even limited bilateral Israeli-Palestinian agreements have receded, Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has announced his intention to withdraw nearly all the Israeli settlements from the Gaza strip. It is a revolutionary move that creates the possibility of change at a time when Israeli-Palestinian relations are frozen in
Mar 15, 2004
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
A Fence That Makes Sense
Mohammed Zuul, 23, blew himself up Sunday on a bus in the middle of Jerusalem, killing eight other people and wounding 50 more. The attack came on the eve of hearings in The Hague on whether Israel had the right to construct a fence to protect itself from assaults like
Feb 24, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Assessing Sharon's Gaza Settlement Evacuation Proposal
Less than a year ago, Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon rejected the idea of a unilateral pullback from Gaza, telling Labor Party leader Amram Mitzna that isolated settlements such as Netzarim were equal to Tel Aviv in his eyes. Last week, however, Sharon—a leading architect of Israel's settlement movement—declared his
Feb 9, 2004
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David Makovsky
Consequences of the 1967 War
It has been said that the world is still living the seventh day of the Six Day War. David Makovsky offered this look back at the consequential conflict at a 2004 State Department conference.
Jan 12, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Palestinians:
An End-of-Year Assessment (Part I)
In 2003, a new debate is underway about the future of Israel. The question is not about whether a grand deal with the Palestinians is possible; now the debate focuses on the political implications of current demographic trends that reflect a sharp increase in the region's Palestinian population. Within a
Dec 23, 2003
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Building Arab Democracy
President Bush's speech about nourishing democracy in the Middle East was received with predictable derision by state-run Arab media. More disturbing is the fact that the speech has failed to attract much attention in this country. It is dismissed by some as mere political rhetoric and seen by others as
Nov 18, 2003
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Hala Mustafa
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israel's Fence
During the first half of 2001, a new, fortified fence was constructed in the Gaza Strip, and since that time not a single Palestinian suicide bomber has infiltrated Israel from Gaza. Previously, in December 2000, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) had decided to create a 60-square-kilometer security buffer zone around
Oct 24, 2003
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Fence Need Not Be the End of the Road
With Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy frozen, it is not surprising that the world is focusing its attention on the barrier that the Israelis are building in the West Bank. Israelis say it is about security. Palestinians say the "apartheid wall" is about Israeli imposition and land-grabs. For the Bush administration, it is
Oct 13, 2003
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The 5 Percent Solution
By almost any measure, the Israeli settlement movement has failed. Despite religious, ideological, and financial incentives, only around 5 percent of Israel’s Jewish population has relocated to the West Bank and the Gaza Strip since the land was captured in the 1967 war. Moreover, polls indicate a majority of Israelis
Sep 1, 2003
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Invisible Man?
Abu Mazen in the Palestinian Media
Abu Mazen has been essentially boycotted by Palestine Television and Voice of Palestine, stations run by allies and aides of Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat. His nonappearance in the Palestinian electronic media cannot be chalked up to Abu Mazen’s diffidence or lack of public support. Indeed, for much of
Aug 8, 2003
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David Makovsky
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