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All Policy Analysis by Robert Satloff
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Articles & Testimony
Sidebar:
Saddam's Shakiness
The following is a sidebar to Dr. Satloff's article "The Next Turbulent Zone." Given current trends, Iraq will emerge as the foremost national security albatross around the neck of the next administration. Since the Clinton administration's welcome, if belated, 1998 declaration of "regime change" as a key goal in Iraq
Feb 1, 2000
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Sidebar:
Iran's Upheaval
The following is a sidebar to Dr. Satloff's article "The Next Turbulent Zone." Iran's great internal debate over its future, as evidenced in recent confrontations between demonstrating students and police, is likely to sharpen and deepen in the next five years. The two protagonists here are not, as often reported
Feb 1, 2000
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Syria's Critique of the U.S. Draft Treaty:
A Textual Analysis
Syria-Israel negotiations are on hold, but Israelis and Syrians have found a way to negotiate through third parties--the media. Two weeks ago, Israel leaked the U.S. draft text of a proposed peace treaty, complete with a timeline for implementation, in the Israeli daily Ha'aretz. Over the last ten days, a
Jan 27, 2000
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Draft Treaty for Syria-Israel Peace:
A Textual Analysis
After more than a week of negotiations in Shepherdstown, W.Va., the "working draft" of the Syria-Israel peace treaty reported in yesterday's Ha'aretz notes only one area of seemingly irreconcilable difference between the two parties--over the scope of the demilitarized zone separating the two sides. As currently worded, the text neither
Jan 14, 2000
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Robert Satloff
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Make Syria Pay a Price for Peace
The millennial year opened on a high note for U.S. diplomacy, with Syria-Israel peace talks convening yesterday in Shepherdstown, W.Va. Unlike the other two participants, however, Washington has so far not indicated what it wants from these negotiations or what it is willing to pay to get it. Although Washington
Jan 4, 2000
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Next Turbulent Zone
After a half-decade in which the Balkans, Central Africa, and East Asia were the hottest spots on the globe, the Middle East--including North Africa--is likely to assert itself over the next five years as a zone of turbulence. Some of the turmoil will be fueled by the irredentism left over
Jan 1, 2000
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Syria-Israel Negotiations:
Implications and Prosects
THOMAS FRIEDMAN International Context: Syria's position must be viewed within the system of globalization that has replaced the previous Cold War order. The rules of the globalization system are qualitatively different from those of the Cold War and will influence the politics and economics of all states. Whereas the Cold
Dec 10, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Arafat and His Critics:
U.S. Policy between Peace and Democracy in the Palestinian Authority
On December 1, Mu'awyeh Al-Masri, a Palestinian legislator from Nablus, was shot in the leg by a group of masked men in broad daylight. This mafia-style "kneecapping" was the culmination of several days of arrests and protests in the Palestinian Authority (PA) which followed the distribution of a leaflet accusing
Dec 3, 1999
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David Schenker
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Mideast Update:
Report from a Trip to Israel, Jordan, Egypt, and the Palestinian Authority
ROBERT SATLOFF General Observations Meetings with the four leaders--Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak, Jordan's King Abdullah II, Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak, and Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat--underscore the vitality of regional leadership. All seemed healthy, engaged, self-assured, and in command. Barak is clearly a man with a mission, convinced
Nov 29, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
America and the Jordan-Israel Peace Treaty, Five Years On
I was on a bicycle trip with my wife in the faraway Canadian Rockies in July 1994 when our guide received a call on an ancient two-way radio from my office in Washington. Jordan and Israel had reached a deal, I was told, and an agreement was soon to be
Oct 26, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
A U.S. Strategic Opening:
America and the Jordan-Israel Peace Treaty, Five Years On
I was on a bicycle trip with my wife in the faraway Canadian Rockies in July 1994 when our guide received a call on an ancient two-way radio from my office in Washington. Jordan and Israel had reached a deal, I was told, and an agreement was soon to be
Oct 22, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Lucky Sharm?
Three years ago, after a series of horrific bombings in Israel, President Clinton invited an array of world leaders to an anti-terrorism summit in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh. Clinton's goal was to save the Israeli-PLO peace process and, with it, Shimon Peres's Labor-led government. The process survived
Sep 27, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Barak, the United States, and the Middle East Peace Process
ROBERT PELLETREAU Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak faces multiple challenges: He has to implement an agreement he did not negotiate; he has to rebuild a sense of partnership between Israel and the Arab countries; he has to restore the negotiating context, a task not made easier by the Israeli practice
Aug 18, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
On Board
The Arab-Israeli peace process is, to use the metaphor of choice, "back on track." That, at least, is the stylized version of the message Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak brought with him to Washington in mid-July. The reality, of course, is more complicated. And, for the Clinton administration, Barak's real
Aug 16, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Barak-Clinton:
Early Issues on the Palestinian Track
President Bill Clinton and Prime Minister Ehud Barak have vowed to recreate the personal partnership and strategic coordination that characterized the late Yitzhak Rabin's term of office. On the Palestinian track, however, much has happened since 1996 to change the nature of the Oslo process. New agreements -- over Hebron
Jul 13, 1999
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Robert Satloff
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Barak-Clinton Summit Meeting:
Setting the Agenda
Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak arrives in Washington this week amid an aura of unprecedented anticipation and expectation. His main goal is to reaffirm a multifaceted partnership between Israel and the United States and to sketch a basic understanding on the strategic goals and operational plans for advancing the Arab-Israeli
Jul 12, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israeli Elections:
Results and Implications
Campaign: Israel's elections were primarily a referendum on Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyhahu's leadership, and the verdict was clear: "Anybody but Netanyahu." This was also the sentiment during the campaign, especially when the three prime ministerial candidates (Yitzhak Mordechai, Ze'ev "Benny" Begin, and Azmi Bishara) from the three smaller parties dropped
May 20, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Barak's Win Puts Pressure on Arafat
After three years of a foreign policy that found Israel increasingly isolated, Ehud Barak's landslide victory in Israel's elections Monday should inaugurate a new "era of good feelings" between Israelis, Americans and Arabs. But once the honeymoon wears off, Israel's negotiating partners shouldn't expect Mr. Barak to make substantive concessions
May 19, 1999
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israel's Election:
The Countdown to May 17 Begins
Finally, after four months of pre-campaign maneuvering, the fireworks of Israel's 51st Independence Day last week marked the welcome opening of the real campaign for this country's May 17 elections. Until now, Israelis have witnessed a surreal campaign, dominated by polls for an electoral contest that will never happen (that
Apr 26, 1999
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Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
From Hussein to Abdullah:
Jordan in Transition
Change in Jordan has come swiftly and remarkably smoothly. The new king--Abdullah II--has adopted as his mantra the promise of "continuity" of his father's policies, yet he has already displayed ingenuity and cunning, especially on internal matters. Nevertheless, the challenges to Abdullah remain acute. Once this honeymoon period ends, Abdullah
Apr 1, 1999
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Robert Satloff
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