All Policy Analysis by Michael Singh

Although some examples suggest rational decisionmaking by Tehran, other Iranian actions seem unencumbered by cost-benefit considerations.

Resolving thorny policy problems requires not just historical analysis, but also the courage and conviction to choose, amid great uncertainty, among risky options.

Appearing on C-SPAN's Washington Journal, Institute managing director Michael Singh talked about Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. Topics included Tehran's warning to Washington that the aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis should not return to the Persian Gulf, the strategic and economic importance of the Strait of Hormuz, and

As Iran's posture in the Strait of Hormuz becomes increasingly bellicose, excessive risk aversion that results in a failure of deterrence and feeds the regime's sense of impunity may be just as risky as military action.