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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Oula A. Alrifai
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Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State in Southern Syria
Compared to where it was a year ago, the group is far stronger in the south and is gaining steam even as it faces large-scale military campaigns against its forces in the north.
Dec 15, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Victory in Qalamoun: Winning the Battle, Losing the War
The group will no doubt continue helping the Assad regime hang on, but the war's heavy attrition, Syria's demographic realities, and rebel gains elsewhere in the country all point to a seemingly inevitable fall.
May 20, 2015
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David Schenker
Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Growing Rebel Capabilities Press the Syrian Regime
Given the major setbacks the regime has suffered over the past week, now is a good time to apply maximum pressure on Assad, whether to force genuine diplomatic negotiations or accelerate a full military defeat.
Apr 27, 2015
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Jeffrey White
Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
Assad Plays America the Fool...Again
Although the regime does not publicly boast about its crimes, it is just as vicious as ISIS.
Mar 23, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
Not Alright With Syria's Alawites
Assad's power base is not monolithic, and rising discontent could serve as a vital opportunity to reconcile various Syrian religious groups.
Dec 4, 2014
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Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
Hamas Is Going Through a Rough Patch, So What Is It Singing About?
Given the violent message the group continues to convey in Arabic to viewers young and old, it will be difficult to achieve full Palestinian reconciliation, a long-term ceasefire with Israel, or large-scale reconstruction of Gaza.
Oct 15, 2014
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Matthew Levitt
Oula A. Alrifai
Kelsey Segawa
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Partner with the Syrian Rebels
In his speech on Wednesday, President Obama announced that the United States will increase training and arming for the moderate Syria rebels. Given the threat posed by the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS), that is the correct move: Syria’s moderate rebels are as important as ever. Much like
Sep 12, 2014
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Oula A. Alrifai
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