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All Policy Analysis by Jonathan Schanzer
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Articles & Testimony
Arafat's Very Own Terror Brigades
Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon visited Washington last week to garner support for a Middle East cease-fire that includes dismantling Palestinian terrorist groups in the West Bank and Gaza. With the focus on Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), however, one terror organization has been largely ignored: the Al-Aqsa Martyrs
Aug 5, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Barak Barfi
Articles & Testimony
Will the Intifada Go On?
The Intifada, better termed a Palestinian war, will not continue on as it has. In recent months we've witnessed the recognition of a political, economic, psychological and military Palestinian defeat. Leaders now recognize the gross miscalculation of the violence launched in September 2000. Indeed, Israel's reprisals and sanctions have crippled
Jul 1, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Lurking in Lebanon
Prime Minister Rafik Hariri of Lebanon announced on Sunday that Lebanese authorities will not enter a Palestinian refugee camp where al Qaeda operatives are known to be, even at the height of the war on terror. Asbat al-Ansar (League of Partisans) was tied to a foiled assassination plot against the
Jun 4, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Intensify the Hunt
The bomb attacks in Riyadh and Casablanca, the warnings in East Africa and Europe and the heightened threat level at home are sober indications that al-Qaida still has global reach despite the U.S.-led campaign in Afghanistan and the war on terrorism. This should not come as a shock. Al-Qaida continues
May 28, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Foreign Irregulars in Iraq:
The Next Jihad?
In light of the recent dramatic events in Baghdad, U.S. policymakers are eyeing the next phase of the war. U.S. forces will almost certainly encounter increased guerrilla fighting. Saddam Husayn's vice president, Taha Yassin Ramadan, recently stated that more than 6,000 Arab volunteer fighters are now in Iraq. With increasing
Apr 10, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Arabs View the War:
Images, Attitudes, and Opinions
HAFEZ AL-MIRAZI War remains a horrifying event and al-Jazeera will cover it realistically. Images carried by the network are graphic, but do not discriminate in showing American and Iraqi casualties. Similarly, al-Jazeera has covered both the unprecedented airpower brought to bear by the allied forces and the Iraqi government's own
Apr 4, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Ansar al-Islam:
Postmortem or Prelude to More Attacks?
Ansar al-Islam, an al-Qaeda affiliate in northern Iraq, was rocked by U.S. missile and air strikes over the weekend, concluding an eight-day campaign against the organization. The Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) stated that, with help from more than 100 U.S. Special Forces operatives, they have "completely overrun" Ansar's stronghold
Apr 3, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
The Challenge of Hamas to Fatah
The international press lavished attention on the Fatah-Hamas summit held in Cairo in mid-November 2002. According to reports, Fatah (the leading faction backing Yasir Arafat's Palestinian Authority) and Hamas (the leading Islamist opposition) were going to hammer out their differences over many sensitive issues. In particular, Fatah sought to persuade
Apr 1, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
The 'Arab Street' and the War:
Are Regimes in Control?
An apparently spontaneous protest stopped traffic in Cairo's Tahrir Square Thursday. Protesting the allied attack on Iraq, some of the participants turned violent, overturning police blockades. In Damascus, riot police fired tear gas on hundreds of protesters who threw rocks and tried to rush the U.S. embassy. Several smaller demonstrations
Mar 21, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Ansar al-Islam:
Iraq's al-Qaeda Connection
Ansar al-Islam, an al-Qaeda affiliate active in Iraqi Kurdistan since September 2001, is a prototype of America's enemies in the "war on terror." The group serves as a testament to the global spread of al-Qaeda affiliates, achieved through exploitation of weak central authorities and a utilitarian willingness to work with
Jan 15, 2003
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Fatah-Hamas Relations:
Rapprochement or Ready to Rumble?
Parallel to the Palestinian armed struggle against Israel is a power struggle between Hamas and Fatah. Years of tensions have culminated in Gaza street clashes between the two organizations in recent weeks. An Egyptian-sponsored summit designed to achieve rapprochement between the two groups sputtered in Cairo last month, but talks
Dec 19, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
A Tale of Two Qatars
The Central Command of the U.S. military reports that the biennial "Internal Look" exercise is slated to begin Monday at the as-Sayliyah base in Qatar. The operation is designed to test U.S. military reactions to various threats in the Middle East. Qatar's strategic importance extends well beyond this exercise. The
Dec 6, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Jordan's War Worries:
Saddamistan, Palestinians, and Islamism in the Hashemite Kingdom
Last week's Jordanian government raid on the southern city of Maan was likely a tactic designed to insulate the kingdom from the possible repercussions of a U.S.-led war in Iraq. Indeed, the incident in Maan was a microcosm of larger Jordanian problems stemming from pro-Iraq, Palestinian, and Islamist opposition elements
Nov 22, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Ein al-Hilweh:
Lebanese Tinder Box
Last week's bombing of a coffee shop and car-bombing attack against a Fatah figure in Ein al-Hilweh, a Palestinian refugee camp in Lebanon, are the latest developments in a wave of recent violence in the camp. Al-Sharq al-Awsat has reported no less than nineteen bombings in Ein al-Hilweh since the
Nov 12, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Behind the French Tanker Bombing:
Yemen's Ongoing Problems with Islamist Terrorism
Since September 2001, Yemen has worked hard to shed its image as a hotbed of Islamist terrorism. That image, however, was reinforced when London's al-Sharq al-Awsat Arabic daily reported that the Islamic Army of Aden (IAA, or Aden-Abyan Islamic Army), an al-Qaeda affiliate, claimed responsibility for an explosion that crippled
Oct 21, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Gamal Mubarak:
Successor Story in Egypt?
British foreign minister Jack Straw met for an hour last week with Gamal Mubarak, the youngest son of Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak. According to a British official cited in al-Qanat, an Arabic online daily, Straw met Gamal because he "is a very important person who certainly enjoys great influence." The
Oct 17, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Algeria's GSPC and America's 'War on Terror'
Last week, intensified Islamist violence prompted Algerian president Abdelaziz Bouteflika to launch his military's largest counteroffensive against radical Islamic elements in five years. The target of this ongoing operation is the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), a breakaway faction of the Armed Islamic Group (GIA). GSPC deserves special
Oct 2, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
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