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Fikra Forum
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the Syrian War Shifted Attitudes Towards Arab–Israeli Rapprochement
Anti-Israel mobilization and rhetoric have always been a prominent feature of official Arab discourse, regardless of political orientation. Islamist, nationalist, and secular parties have all seen vocal hatred of Israel as a cornerstone for rallying support and a vehicle to spread unrelated political messages to achieve related objectives, with unrelated
Oct 4, 2019
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Hadeel Oueis
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Bigoted Populism May Spell the End of Lebanon as a Modern State
An existential battle is raging in Lebanon regarding the country’s national character, identity, and prospects, with nothing less at stake than the success or failure of Lebanon as a modern project. Given that the country occupies a unique place in the wider Arab consciousness, the implications of its failure have
Oct 4, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Saudi Ties, a Year After Khashoggi’s Death
The crown prince’s televised apologies and welcome domestic reforms are overshadowed by his government’s ongoing litany of human rights abuses.
Oct 3, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt, Haftar, and U.S. Passive Interest in the Libyan Conflict
Though Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar promised a short battle for Tripoli, his Libyan National Army (LNA) forces are still engaged in a months-long siege of the city against he forces of the Islamist-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj. In the midst of Libya’s civil
Oct 3, 2019
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Mohamed Maher
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Prioritizes Its Own Interests, Putting Lebanon at Risk
As demonstrators rail against economic problems, corruption, and sectarianism, the group’s role in undermining the public’s financial and physical security is coming under greater scrutiny.
Oct 3, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Guidelines for Israel's National Security Strategy
This new study examines the current map of Israel’s threats and proposes principles to address them as the basis for a comprehensive national security strategy.
Oct 2, 2019
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Gadi Eisenkot
Gabi Siboni
Video
Brief Analysis
Responding to the Saudi Oil Attack: A Challenge for U.S. Policy
Three experts discuss Washington’s potential reaction, which will have powerful implications not only in the Gulf states, but everywhere that America and its allies face off against Iran and its proxies, from Iraq to Lebanon to Gaza.
Oct 1, 2019
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Suzanne Maloney
Norman Roule
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Helping Iraq Take Charge of Its Command-and-Control Structure
Recent organizational shifts offer a glimmer of hope that Baghdad will stand up to Iranian influence, but implementation will be the test of their actual merit.
Sep 30, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israeli Elections Produce Mixed Feelings for Palestinians
The results of the Israeli elections have created mixed feelings, bringing a bit of despair along with a bit of hope as well. On the one hand, for Palestinians such as myself, there is a despair that there was little difference in terms of the peace process whether the right-wing
Sep 27, 2019
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Mohammed Dajani
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Empire: The Evolution of Turkish Foreign Policy
A lively discussion of how Ottoman history, pro-Western precedent, and sharp regional setbacks have shaped the Turkish leader's shifting approach to foreign affairs and relations with Washington.
Sep 27, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Amanda Sloat
Molly Montgomery
Tomasz Hoskins
Articles & Testimony
The Economics of Calm
The stabilization efforts brokered by Israel’s defense establishment have kept a lid on things so far, but the hazards of this approach may be unsustainable at a time of donor drought and Palestinian institutional erosion.
Sep 26, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
How to Present Evidence of Iranian Involvement in the Saudi Attack
By working effectively with the UN, Washington and Riyadh can help foster global consensus on Iran’s culpability, creating a firm basis for multilateral censure that could induce caution in Tehran.
Sep 26, 2019
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Michael Knights
Tim Michetti
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Surviving, in Spite of Trump's 'Maximum Pressure'
Regardless of the Hormuz initiative's supposedly peaceful intent, foreign officials should be careful not to give Tehran any rights in the strategic waterway that don’t have to be given.
Sep 25, 2019
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Shifting Landscape:
Russia's Military Role in the Middle East
In September 2015, Moscow made its first push outside former Soviet borders when it authorized airstrikes in Syria. More pertinently, the move—and Russia's broader intervention in Syria—constituted a step toward reshaping the whole regional balance of power, taking advantage of a diminishing U.S. footprint. According to the Russian defense minister
Sep 25, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tunisia: Elections, Disruption, and Hope for a Brighter Economic Future
The September first round of presidential elections in Tunisia have revealed two major developments in Tunisian politics. The results show both that voters will no longer tolerate the mismanagement and indecisiveness of previous policy makers, and that there is a belief that disruption, through unconventional candidates, can bring new life
Sep 25, 2019
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Ghazi Ben Ahmed
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Without Diversifying its Rentier Economy, Pessimism Among Kurdish Youth Will Increase
The legacy of the last 28 years of Kurdish self-governance has been marked by a broken political and economic region—with youth stripped of Kurdish patriotism. The Kurdistan Region’s rentier economy has led its policymakers to think in terms of short-term political gains, fed into a patron-client system already deeply entrenched
Sep 25, 2019
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Yerevan Saeed
Brief Analysis
Plugging the Gaps in Saudi Arabia’s Air Defenses
The kingdom already has much of the equipment needed to intercept Iranian air attacks, but it needs Washington’s help on reacting more quickly, deterring Tehran, and establishing joint defense networks with other Gulf states.
Sep 25, 2019
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Michael Knights
Conor Hiney
Brief Analysis
Huras al-Din: The Overlooked al-Qaeda Group in Syria
Although it still relies on its stronger rival to operate, the ascendant affiliate has been cementing its presence in Idlib province, attracting other factions to its banner, and potentially setting itself up to lead a future insurgency.
Sep 24, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Opaque Transition: The Potential Trap of Upcoming Elections
Six months have passed since the beginning of the peaceful protest movement in Algeria, commonly known as the Hirak, which ousted longtime president Abdelaziz Bouteflika. The protest movement has also managed to dismantle the clan that surrounded him, as most of its controversial figures are now in jail. However, Algerians’
Sep 24, 2019
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Testing the Trump Administration
Tehran seems to believe that anything goes, and the wrong U.S. response may just reinforce that conviction.
Sep 24, 2019
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Dennis Ross
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