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Brief Analysis
Emirati Military Support Is Making a Difference in Somalia
Preserving the UAE's role and synchronizing it with Turkey and Qatar's efforts could be a force multiplier for the Somali government’s offensive against al-Shabab.
Mar 18, 2024
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Ido Levy
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali Calls for Faleh al-Fayyad's Removal as PMF Chairman
Asaib Ahl al-Haq is moving to get what it has long sought: a senior leadership role within the Popular Mobilization Forces, a glaring gap in its portfolio of power positions.
Mar 16, 2024
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Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: The Hoquq Movement
A parliamentary bloc controlled by the U.S.-designated terrorist organization Kataib Hezbollah, with a track record of agitating for violence against American interests and Iraqi moderates.
Mar 15, 2024
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Ameer al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Libyan Solution to a Libyan Challenge
Perhaps now is the time for the United Nations to step back. It is also time for our leaders, from East and West, to recognize that a joint way forward is possible.
Mar 14, 2024
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Moin Kikhia
Articles & Testimony
Israel Needs a New Strategy
Netanyahu's “total victory” is not possible, but demilitarizing Hamas and stabilizing Gaza still are, especially with help from Egypt and other key players.
Mar 13, 2024
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
There’s No Such Thing as a “Ramadan Truce”
For Hamas and its extremist fellow travelers, military campaigns and terrorist attacks during the holy month have long been perfectly acceptable tactics.
Mar 12, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
How the Middle East Became an Arena for Putin’s Power Struggle with the US
Russia’s arms sales, military relationships, and paramilitary activity across the region remain central to expanding its local influence and boosting its anti-Western strategic interests.
Mar 9, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran is Attempting to Push the United States out of Syria via Hasaka Province
Using multiple militias and operating units, Tehran aims to drive the Americans out of eastern Syria, fill the resulting security vacuum, and assert indirect control.
Mar 8, 2024
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Rena Netjes
Samer al-Ahmad
Brief Analysis
The IMF and UAE Swoop In to Ease Egypt’s Economic Crisis
Cairo’s main lender and top Gulf donor have come to the rescue once again, offering major loans, investments, and Central Bank transfers that could halt the country’s latest slide despite short-term consumer pain.
Mar 7, 2024
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Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With the Gaza War, the Possibility of a Syrian Transition Is Even More Remote
Syrians inside the country and in refugee states await a true miracle, especially with their cause becoming highly internationalized and overshadowed by global events like the Gaza war.
Mar 7, 2024
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Bassam Alahmad
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Between Power Sharing and Power Consolidation: The Impact of Iraq’s Provincial Elections Results
The Coalition Framework’s overall electoral successes in Iraq’s provincial elections is playing out in governor appointment decisions across much of the country, including in Baghdad and Basra. The ongoing competition in Kirkuk, however, highlights just how complicated power-sharing dynamics can become.
Mar 7, 2024
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Shimaa Ali
Brief Analysis
President Biden’s Middle East Squeeze Play
The end of the Gaza war’s current phase will mark the beginning of a major U.S. diplomatic push that could reshape the Middle East if successful—but the window of opportunity is narrow.
Mar 5, 2024
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Field Near Lebanon Starts Production
The floating storage vessel anchored above the offshore field could be a tempting target for Hezbollah.
Mar 4, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Avoiding a West Bank Explosion During Ramadan
From al-Aqsa Mosque to the heart of the refugee camps and the barracks of frustrated Palestinian security personnel, the situation remains tense and could worsen dramatically this month if authorities do not tread carefully.
Mar 4, 2024
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Neomi Neumann
Articles & Testimony
Once Again, a “Palestinian Babies” Story Merits a Washington Post Apology
A heartrending story about finding decomposing infants in a Gaza hospital is full of troubling holes, discrepancies, and conflicts of interest that should have raised serious questions at the paper.
Mar 3, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State on the March in Africa
Local branches now control territory in Mali, Somalia, and Mozambique, setting the stage for new foreign fighter mobilizations, resource extraction opportunities, and perhaps even external operations against the West.
Mar 1, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Five Questions for Iran’s Elections
The vote is more interesting for its long-term implications than its immediate results.
Feb 29, 2024
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Omer Carmi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Iraqi Media Network
The Iraqi Media Network is the latest so-called independent agency to fall under the control of U.S.-designated terrorist groups and human rights abusers, adding a new line of effort to "resistance" attacks on freedom of expression.
Feb 29, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraq's "Resistance" Factions Shift to Major Crackdown on Media Spaces
Having stopped “resisting” U.S. forces (who shoot back), militias are focusing on unarmed activists in what appears to be a coordinated crackdown on freedom of expression.
Feb 28, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran-Aligned Armed Groups Are Endangering Jordan’s National Security
Today, there is a fear of the resurgence of threats to Jordan from its eastern borders, which are de-facto controlled by armed groups loyal to Iran.
Feb 28, 2024
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Saud Al-Sharafat
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