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Brief Analysis
Elections Expose Iran’s Fading Democratic Pretensions
The latest election cycle offers further proof that the regime is counting on centralization and open repression as its main tools of control, with elected bodies becoming increasingly irrelevant.
Feb 28, 2024
◆
Saeid Golkar
Brief Analysis
Real PA Reform Requires More Than Just a New Prime Minister
Neither the Palestinian public nor the international donor community will support a PA return to Gaza unless the next cabinet is given room to implement serious security, financial, and political reforms.
Feb 27, 2024
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Kataib al-Imam Ali
A unique militia that is closer to Lebanese Hezbollah than other Iran-backed Iraqi groups, yet widely resented for prioritizing commercial success over kinetic operations.
Feb 27, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Video
Brief Analysis
From War to Peace? Trip Report from a Middle East Study Tour
Former legislators and administration officials discuss their findings from a recent group trip to Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel, and the PA.
Feb 27, 2024
◆
Cory Gardner
Howard Berman
Dana Stroul
Ghaith al-Omari
Michael Singh
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Houthis and the Red Sea
In this timely new video, Washington Institute scholars discuss the pre-Gaza predecessors of the latest attack campaign, its widening repercussions on trade, and what will be required to halt it militarily.
Feb 27, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Leaving Iraq May Be Washington’s Wisest Choice
Most forces could likely be withdrawn or moved to the Kurdistan Region without harming U.S. interests—in fact, Washington might have more leverage in Baghdad without a troop presence.
Feb 26, 2024
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David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Oman’s Facilitation Efforts with the Houthis on Hold
While Qatar mediates with Hamas over Gaza, Oman’s facilitation efforts with the Houthis appear to be in abeyance pending recognition that a broader settlement is needed to secure regional stability.
Feb 26, 2024
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Pathway to Addiction: Tracing Drug-Trafficking Networks in Lebanon’s Roumieh Prison
Roumieh’s drug networks have been an ongoing and pervasive challenge for Lebanon.
Feb 26, 2024
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Fatima al-Othman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Cairo’s Fears as it Faces an Israeli Incursion in Rafah: Confrontation and Radicalization
Even if an incursion into Rafah occurs without sparking a clash between Israeli and Egyptian forces, Israel will be facing two key challenges in its relationship with Egypt: the eventual status of the Philadelphi corridor and the rapid rise of support for Hamas inside Egypt itself.
Feb 23, 2024
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Mohamed Farid
Mohamed Maher
Brief Analysis
From War to Peace in the Middle East? Observations from a Regional Tour
The Washington Institute’s executive director reflects on the feasibility of the Biden administration’s current diplomatic plans in the region, based in part on what local officials said during his recent group trip to Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel, and the PA.
Feb 23, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hadi al-Ameri’s Bad(r) Month
The Badr Organization leader has suffered bruising blows from other Iran-backed militias seeking to exploit the group's internal dysfunction and divisions.
Feb 21, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tunisia at the Crossroads: What Role for the United States in a Multipolar World?
The United States, in recognizing the limits of its traditional “bloc-building” approach, faces the imperative to adapt to a multipolar reality. Embracing multipolarity as a fundamental principle of its foreign policy could pave the way for more flexible and effective international engagements.
Feb 20, 2024
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Ghazi Ben Ahmed
Articles & Testimony
How Turkey Moved East
Once Washington comes to grips with Erdogan’s “Anatolian” foreign policy, it will have a better chance of steering the relationship in ways that support U.S. interests without unduly boosting Russia and other adversaries.
Feb 19, 2024
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Without Enforcement, Talk of Two States Is Hollow
Most Israelis would support a deal if they were sure it would bring them security, but their current skepticism is based on real and urgent concerns about demilitarization given their past experience with Gaza and Lebanon.
Feb 16, 2024
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Taking Advantage of a Window of Opportunity in the KRG-Baghdad Gas Standoff
By outlining a strategy in the north of Iraq, a vision regarding reconciliation and a constructive settlement of differences between the Kurdistan Regional Government and the Federal Government of Iraq in relation to the management of energy resources in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq can emerge.
Feb 16, 2024
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Muhammed Abed Mazeel al-Aboudi
Brief Analysis
The EU’s New Red Sea Naval Mission: Implications and Challenges
The operation is a sign of Europe’s willingness to take action against the current instability, though significant work is needed to coordinate with existing initiatives and convince regional officials of the mission’s usefulness.
Feb 16, 2024
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Selin Uysal
Articles & Testimony
Libya’s Armed Group Catch-22
Because the government ceded too much authority to local militias and tribal intermediaries, no one can dismantle them without risking their lives.
Feb 15, 2024
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Mideast Failure Leads Biden Back to Trump Policies
The administration has reversed its reversals on certain issues, signaling a more comprehensive approach toward the Houthis, Iraqi militias, Iran sanctions, and more.
Feb 14, 2024
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David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
AAH Terrorist Planner Adnan Fayhan Takes Over as Babil Governor
A militia figure implicated in the 2007 murder-kidnapping of five Americans in Karbala is now the governor of an Iraqi province.
Feb 12, 2024
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Michael Knights
Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Sinwar, Mashal, and Israel’s Dilemma for the “Day After”
The long-term political struggle against Hamas will be just as challenging for Israel as the current military campaign.
Feb 9, 2024
◆
Neomi Neumann
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