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Video
Brief Analysis
The October 1973 War Redux: Lessons for Today’s Middle East Policy Challenges
Watch a week-long series of expert webcasts exploring the origins and lasting impact of the October 1973 war.
October 3-5, 2023
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The October 1973 War Redux
Articles & Testimony
Nagorno-Karabakh’s Perpetual Conflict Shows Soviet Union Still Crumbling
The conflict over Karabakh had been the longest-running in the post-Soviet space, with major implications for Moscow's strategic mindset in Ukraine and other regions.
Sep 25, 2023
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The Agency and Roles of Foreign Women in ISIS
An in-depth study on how authorities can pursue justice for victims of ISIS atrocities while simultaneously addressing rehabilitation, reintegration, and the broader aim of redirecting women away from supporting such groups.
Aug 2023
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Devorah Margolin
Joana Cook
Articles & Testimony
Understanding Russia’s War on Ukraine Starts with Understanding Russia’s Black Sea Politics
Putin views the Black Sea as an important springboard for projecting power into the Middle East, Europe, and the Mediterranean, and the West should push back accordingly.
Sep 20, 2023
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State’s Shadow Governance in Eastern Syria Since the Fall of Baghuz
Given the group’s multileveled efforts to exert local authority, it could resurge quickly into full territorial control if the coalition pulls back too soon.
Sep 22, 2023
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Devorah Margolin
Brief Analysis
The Battle for UNIFIL’s Independence (Part 1): Hezbollah at the UN
Renewing the force’s mandate while blocking Hezbollah’s bid to formally hamstring it are welcome developments, but more concerted diplomatic action will be needed to reverse the downward security trend.
Sep 21, 2023
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Assaf Orion
Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for UNIFIL’s Independence (Part 2): Facts on the Ground
The secretary-general’s latest report documents Hezbollah’s expanding violations—and the growing role that Lebanese government officials and military commanders play in abetting this activity.
Sep 21, 2023
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Matthew Levitt
Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Saudi Dealmaking to Top Biden and Netanyahu’s New York Agenda
The long-delayed meeting should clarify the contours and possible requirements for normalization with Riyadh, though Israel’s ongoing domestic turmoil and policy toward the Palestinians may necessitate some difficult political choices.
Sep 19, 2023
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David Makovsky
Audio
Articles & Testimony
Podcast: Breaking Hezbollah's Golden Rule
Season 2
Listen to the new season of a podcast series shining a bright light on the global terrorist and criminal activities that Lebanese Hezbollah would rather keep hidden from view.
Sep 18, 2023
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Iran Hostage Deal: Clarifying the $6 Billion Transfer
The deal gives Tehran access to frozen funds for humanitarian purposes, likely paving the way for resumed nuclear talks this fall as both sides try to lower tensions.
Sep 18, 2023
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Henry Rome
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Third of Saudis Want Business With Israel Now, Even Without Formal Ties; “Muslim Rights” Top List of Public’s Terms for Full Normalization
A unique new public opinion poll from Saudi Arabia sheds light on popular attitudes there toward a potential deal to “normalize” relations with Israel.
Sep 18, 2023
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Infographic: A Visual Guide to Iran’s Soaring Oil Exports
New data-rich graphics strikingly illustrate the growth in Tehran’s oil revenue and China’s outsize role in fueling this trend.
Sep 15, 2023
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Henry Rome
Noam Raydan
Brief Analysis
An Inside Look at Rabin’s Oslo Expectations
A previously classified cabinet transcript reveals a mix of shrewd judgments, prophetic concerns, and miscalculations by the late prime minister.
Sep 15, 2023
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David Makovsky
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Oslo at 30
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Morocco Unites in the Aftermath of the Earthquake
In the wake of the devastating earthquake, an outpouring of solidarity and social mobilization has taken place in the country at a grassroots level. The complexity of the situation from a logistical and geographical standpoint helps explain Morocco’s reluctance to indiscriminately accept all international aid offers.
Sep 15, 2023
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Mohsine El Ahmadi
Ahmad Sharawi
Articles & Testimony
Libya Floods: As Families Search for Loved Ones, Politicians Trade Blame
Derna’s future and Libya’s broader political fate will be determined by the race for recovery and the battle of narratives over who is responsible for the tragedy.
Sep 14, 2023
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Gulf De-escalation and Hedging in the Shadow of US Retrenchment
Although any decrease in tensions is welcome, Washington should be concerned that regional rapprochement is being driven by diminished confidence in the United States.
Sep 12, 2023
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David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Polling and the Legacy of the Oslo Accords
When examining the legacy of the Oslo Accords, one clear outcome is the way in which diplomatic breakthroughs—along with their failures—have deeply shaped public attitudes towards the conflict. Thirty years later, fresh polls emphasize the deep erosion of trust and support for the two-state solution in Palestinian (along with Israeli) society, but a lingering hunger for some kind of breakthrough.
Sep 14, 2023
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Catherine Cleveland
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Oslo at 30
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Diplomacy: Feint and Advance
What Washington considers de-escalation, Tehran sees as an opportunity to consolidate its nuclear gains, avoid accountability, and position itself to cross the nuclear weapons threshold at a time of its choosing.
Sep 14, 2023
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The Uncertain State of Deterrence in the Persian Gulf
Despite conducting military drills and maintaining a defiant tone, Iran has avoided further ship seizures, but its demonstrated willingness to take assertive action in this zone of “contested deterrence” remains intact.
Sep 13, 2023
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Pressure Campaign on Iranian Kurds Continues
Iran has stepped up pressure on Baghdad and Erbil to disarm and relocate Iranian Kurdish opposition parties in the Kurdistan Region amidst ongoing disputes between Erbil and Baghdad over budget and oil revenues.
Sep 13, 2023
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
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