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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Forging a Path to Peace in The Time of Coronavirus
The world was caught unprepared by the COVID-19 outbreak, which has unleashed an unprecedented global crisis and left more than one hundred thousand people dead and many more in grave condition. The pandemic shows no signs of abating and the most recent assessments project tens of thousands of more deaths
Apr 24, 2020
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Mohammed Dajani
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Evolving Approach to Asymmetric Naval Warfare:
Strategy and Capabilities in the Persian Gulf
In an April 22 tweet, President Trump spoke of instructing the U.S. Navy to destroy any Iranian gunboats that "harass our ships at sea." Aside from whether it departed from existing U.S. rules of engagement, the statement highlighted a persistent reality: the military threat posed by Iranian forces in the
Apr 24, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israeli Polls Show Corona Helps Re-Crown “King Bibi” for Now, as Some Social Attitudes Also Shift
With the announcement this week that Binyamin (“Bibi”) Netanyahu would remain Israel’s prime minister in a new “emergency national unity” government, the latest poll shows that 62% of Israelis express support for this unusual political deal. Opposition leader Benny Gantz, who fell just short of unseating Netanyahu in an unprecedented
Apr 23, 2020
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Coronavirus in Morocco: Economic and Social Implications
Countries around the world are addressing the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic based on their unique needs and abilities to confront it. Morocco's position as a north African country with extensive ties to Europe, which has been a key feature of the Moroccan economy, is now presenting numerous economic and
Apr 23, 2020
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Mohamed Chtatou
Brief Analysis
Corona in the Casbah: The Pandemic’s Destabilizing Impact on Algeria
Given that the local economic repercussions of COVID-19 could be severe, Washington should prepare for the prospect of instability erupting in Africa’s largest country.
Apr 22, 2020
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Resilience in Turkey
Despite Erdogan’s pandemic missteps and repressively conservative agenda, Turkey’s problem-solving opposition parties and the secularist youths who support them give hope that democracy will endure.
Apr 22, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Deniz Yuksel
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Rush to ‘Apply Sovereignty’ in the West Bank: Timing and Potential Consequences
Given the short U.S. election calendar, Netanyahu is adamant about securing approval for unilateral moves in the West Bank by July 1, a timetable that may hold damaging implications for Israeli relations with multiple countries.
Apr 22, 2020
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Will Crashing Oil Prices Put American Energy in Its Coffin?
The prospect of a full shale collapse has spurred politicians and oil companies to raise furious questions about the future of U.S. economic and military cooperation with Saudi Arabia.
Apr 21, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Gets Aggressive in the Northern Gulf Following U.S. Military Exercises
Recent joint drills by the U.S. Navy, Army, and Air Force have essentially challenged Tehran to a game of contested deterrence, spurring its forces to respond with swarm maneuvers and a vessel seizure.
Apr 21, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
What ‘Bonaparte Visiting the Plague-Stricken in Jaffa’ Teaches About Our Own Plague-Stricken Time
The painting and the historical scene it depicts remind us that many aspects of the coronavirus pandemic—from equipment rationing to ‘Orient blaming’ to political clashes with medical science—are nothing new.
Apr 21, 2020
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Martin Kramer
Articles & Testimony
Why King Abdullah Is King
His father, King Hussein, had always wanted it that way, he just never told anybody. Except me.
Apr 18, 2020
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Lebanese Hizbullah Financing Threat in Europe
To make the continent a less hospitable jurisdiction for the group’s criminal schemes, European authorities will have to take the lead in developing cases, armed with firm political will and a more intelligence-driven approach.
Apr 17, 2020
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Coronavirus Has Opposite Effects on Turkish Policy in Syria and Libya
Ceasefire agreements and contagion concerns will likely limit Turkish operations in Syria for the time being, but Ankara has no such constraints in its Libya proxy war.
Apr 17, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Pandemic Could Change Iran’s Model of Supreme Leadership Forever
With the IRGC spearheading the containment effort, the clergy shooting itself in the foot, and the regime widening its cyber-repression, Iran is ripe for an evolution in which Khamenei or his successor give way to de facto military rule.
Apr 17, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Coronavirus Crisis: Implications for U.S. Policy
Read or watch an expert conversation on the immediate and long-term effects of the Islamic Republic’s response to the pandemic. How will Iranian politics change? How much aid can Tehran get under sanctions? How will the global economic slowdown affect daily life there?
Apr 16, 2020
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Amir Afkhami
Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Katherine Bauer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan after COVID-19: From Crisis Adjustment to Crisis Management
When Jordan traced its first case of coronavirus to an individual who had traveled to Italy on March 2, the response was swift. March air raid sirens, which called for a full curfew and social distancing, the likes of which the nation had not witnessed since September 1971. The semi-rentier
Apr 15, 2020
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Manjari Singh
Brief Analysis
Don’t Blame the Mossadeq Coup for Iran’s Anti-Americanism
Close analysis of Iranian history textbooks indicates that not even the regime regards the 1953 coup as a seminal event in souring bilateral relations.
Apr 15, 2020
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Jonathan Sameyach
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Arab World: Between the Coronavirus Pandemic and the Plague of Populism
As the global coronavirus pandemic seems to have placed the world in the eye of a collective storm, with over 120,000 confirmed deaths, the global economy has entered a state of acute stagnation and contraction across diverse sectors, suggesting the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s
Apr 15, 2020
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Nouh El Harmouzi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Coronavirus, the Fall of Populism, and Iraq
In her December 2019 piece for Quartz, the geopolitics expert Annalisa Merelli identified 20 countries now governed by populist movements and 14 other countries—Iraq included—where populist parties played a pivotal role in policy making. The quick spread of populist movements over the past few years has been a reactionary response
Apr 15, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Articles & Testimony
‘Legitimacy’ Protecting Yemen’s President Complicates Process of Replacing Him
Finding an acceptable process to install a new transitional leader is hard; finding a person with the requisite legitimacy to play that role may be harder still.
Apr 15, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
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