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Video
Brief Analysis
Pursuing a Stable Peace in Yemen that Preserves U.S. Interests
The U.S. ambassador to Yemen joins an expert conflict practitioner to discuss Washington’s policy options for resolving the civil war.
May 31, 2024
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Nadwa Al-Dawsari
Steven Fagin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah's Raba Allah Undertakes Unclaimed Attacks on U.S. Brands
The vigilante group appears to have targeted American-branded businesses in Baghdad while taking pains not to claim the attacks, which embarrassed the Iraqi government.
May 30, 2024
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Michael Knights
Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Ballot Box: U.S. Priorities in North Africa’s 2024 Elections
By recognizing the limits of electoral processes in countries like Algeria, Libya, and Tunisia, Washington can focus more on addressing economic, social, and institutional challenges, managing regional dynamics, and engaging strategically with global competitors.
May 30, 2024
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Sabina Henneberg
Amine Ghoulidi
Brief Analysis
The Iraq-Turkey Reset
From water rights to PKK violence, a recent summit seemed to remove several long-festering thorns from the bilateral relationship, creating potential challenges and benefits alike for U.S. interests in Iraq and beyond.
May 29, 2024
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Soner Cagaptay
Selin Uysal
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
What to Expect from the Latest China-Arab Forum
Attendees will likely focus on the Gaza crisis and trumpet new cooperation agreements, but these CASCF meetings are more notable for what they reveal about the limits of Chinese influence in the Middle East.
May 29, 2024
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Rebecca Redlich
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
North Africa in an Era of Great Power Competition:
Challenges and Opportunities for the United States
Washington can demonstrate its decisive edge in areas like climate change remediation and economic development, while highlighting the many dangers posed by partnership with Russia and China.
May 29, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Ben Fishman
Sabina Henneberg
Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
The Gaza War Is Eroding Egypt-Israel Relations
Their longstanding peace treaty may be safe, but the growing tensions threaten to unwind years of progress and distract Egypt from its most important goal—securing a ceasefire with Hamas.
May 28, 2024
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David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The PMF Represents Iraq at the Axis of Resistance Conference in Tehran
Iraqi militias were nowhere to be seen at the Tehran conference, but an IRGC outlet described the PMF as appearing alongside Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, and other U.S.-designated terrorist groups.
May 24, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Here’s the Real Problem with the U.N.’s Revised Gaza Death Toll
The adjusted numbers reflect the many challenges of counting deaths in a chaotic urban conflict.
May 24, 2024
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Gabriel Epstein
Brief Analysis
“Moderate” Hamas Statements Are an Old Ploy
Hamas leaders have recently tempered their fiery rhetoric with more moderate-sounding statements about a ceasefire along the 1967 lines, but this is merely a tactical move designed to advance the group’s main goal—establishing an Islamist state “between the river and the sea.”
May 23, 2024
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Neomi Neumann
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Emergency Election Will Signal Khamenei’s Intentions
As in past elections, the contest to determine a replacement for the late President Raisi will be less about the people’s choice and more about what direction the Supreme Leader wants the Islamic Republic to go.
May 22, 2024
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Security Cooperation in a Changed Region: How to Advance the U.S.-GCC Defense Working Groups
From aligning weapons acquisition strategies and improving intelligence sharing to getting the diplomatic framing right, U.S. officials can do more to advance regional air defense and maritime security through this week’s working groups and beyond.
May 21, 2024
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Dana Stroul
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Articles & Testimony
Can Hamas Be Defeated?
Although the group’s ideology will persist, the tools used to advance it can be effectively constrained through measures that turn a major threat into a marginal irritant.
May 21, 2024
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
The Dangers of an Ungovernable Gaza
As the conditions for long-term lawlessness and violence begin to take root, a former Pentagon official details the urgent steps Washington and its partners should take to prepare for the postwar “golden hour.”
May 20, 2024
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Dana Stroul
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Untangling the UN’s Gaza Fatality Data
A major shift in the death toll for women and children points to deeper problems in the way OCHA is relaying data and handling questionable sources.
May 17, 2024
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Gabriel Epstein
Articles & Testimony
Some Big Decisions: What It Will Take to Repair Israel-US Ties
The two allies are unlikely to agree on everything, but they need to iron out their differences given how much is at stake.
May 17, 2024
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David Makovsky
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Latest Houthi Maritime Threats
Even increased aggressive activity in the Indian Ocean will be unlikely to seriously disrupt maritime traffic and global trade—but vessels calling on Israeli ports will need to take extra precautions.
May 16, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Brief Analysis
How Israel’s Rafah Campaign Might Shape Hezbollah’s Operations
The U.S.-Israel rift over how to handle southern Gaza could embolden the Lebanese group to further accelerate its already heightened tempo of operations, though drawing clear deterrent lines could help limit the escalation.
May 16, 2024
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Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Anti-Israel Surge by Iraqi Militants: Metrics and Trends
Although relatively few drones or missiles seem to make it to Israel, launches are steadily increasing, potentially inviting overt retaliation inside Iraq.
May 15, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
A Year of Arab Engagement with Assad Has Failed
The “carrots” approach only emboldened the regime to increase its smuggling of Captagon and weapons, but Caesar sanctions remain a potent stick.
May 15, 2024
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Andrew J. Tabler
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