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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Brussels Conference on Supporting Syria: Complex Issues Surrounding "Early Recovery"
Alignment between recovery efforts and the international coalition requires a comprehensive approach that prioritizes security, economic stabilization, and social cohesion.
May 15, 2024
◆
Ibrahim Murad
Brief Analysis
An Israel-Lebanon Agreement May Not Be Worth the Costs
The lesson from past deals involving Hezbollah is clear: the group will try to pocket any U.S. concessions on the presidency and other issues while simply jettisoning whatever border commitments it may make in return.
May 14, 2024
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Arab Approach to Mediation—Reshaping Diplomacy in a Multipolar World
Given their unique cultural concepts and major economic and political clout, the Gulf states are poised to play an even more significant role in future peace and security initiatives.
Spring 2024
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Nickolay Mladenov
Articles & Testimony
What Hamas Wants in Postwar Gaza: The Power to Fight Without the Burden of Governing
The group is following Hezbollah’s playbook to a tee: first, secure victory simply by surviving, then take hold of the postwar governance structure while retaining its independent fighting force.
May 10, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Why and How to Walk Back Biden’s Suspension of Weapons Delivery to Israel
The president may have inadvertently created a cordon of immunity around Hamas in Rafah, decreased pressure on the group’s leaders to accept a cease-fire, and raised doubts among Arab partners.
May 10, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
On Israel, Biden Is No Reagan
Skewed historical comparisons do not change the fact that the president’s arms restrictions will put Israel in greater danger.
May 10, 2024
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
U.S. Returnees from Syria Reveal Much About the Repatriation Challenge
The latest U.S. repatriation is an important model for the international community to follow, but much work still needs to be done on resolving the precarious detainee dilemma before the situation in northeast Syria deteriorates further.
May 9, 2024
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Devorah Margolin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Protecting Syrian Refugees in Lebanon
Given the breakdown of the Lebanese state, Arab countries' normalization with Assad, and the fragmentation of the Syrian opposition, it seems that the United States can step in to play a pivotal role in protecting Syrian refugees facing persecution.
May 8, 2024
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Ammar Musarea
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey Cut Ties with Israel?
Although the latest rift is more than rhetorical, Ankara is unlikely to sever ties completely—unless Israel blocks it from participating in Gaza’s reconstruction.
May 8, 2024
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Missed Development Pathway Highlights the Necessity of Unpopular Economic Reforms
Institutional limitations, fiscal challenges, endemic corruption, and governance shortcomings present formidable barriers to developmental pursuits.
May 8, 2024
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Mohammed Hussein
Brief Analysis
How Sustainable Are Defense and Deterrence Methods in Light of Iran’s Attack?
Despite the success of the allied response on April 13, Iran’s attack calls into question the sustainability of the current approach, suggesting that policymakers should rethink military procurement, force posture, and deterrence in the Middle East.
May 6, 2024
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Andrew G. Clemmensen
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Articles & Testimony
A Yom Hashoah Message, from Disgust to Hope
The Gaza war has inspired prominent Arab media outlets and statesmen to come up with vile new forms of Holocaust denialism, but other voices offer a glimmer of hope.
May 5, 2024
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Agency Chief Visits Iran: Expectations and Next Steps
Given the latest uptick in hostilities between Iran and Israel and their reported threats against nuclear facilities, the visit will likely emphasize diplomacy.
May 3, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq Collates a 200-Day Attack Scoreboard
The infographic deviates from recorded IRI claims in important ways, seemingly exaggerating strikes on Israel while downplaying strikes on Syria and Jordan.
May 3, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Is Kataib Hezbollah Behind Saraya al-Ashtar's Claimed Attack on Israel?
The connection between exiled Bahraini terrorists and Iraq's Kataib Hezbollah is demonstrably strong and probably explains the strange incident.
May 4, 2024
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
I Attended Columbia University—I Don’t Recognize It Today
Administrators should do more to help students critically assess the barrage of disinformation they are subjected to outside the classroom—while also punishing those who clearly violate the institution’s policies and core values.
May 2, 2024
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Should Declare a Unilateral Cease-Fire in Gaza
Doing so could turn the tables on Hamas and Iran while simultaneously advancing normalization with Saudi Arabia and other regional governments.
May 1, 2024
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ongoing Debates over Water and Electricity Privatization in Morocco
The implementation of the privatization project of the water and electricity sector will fundamentally alter the way in which essential services are provide to Moroccan citizens.
May 1, 2024
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Soufiane Elgoumri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Qaani’s Growing Leadership Struggles in a Post-Soleimani World
After the killing of Qods Force commander Qasem Soleimani, Esmail Qaani may have inherited a role for which he was not prepared, bringing instead a new style of leadership to the IRGC.
May 1, 2024
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Jaber Rajabi
Articles & Testimony
Assessing the Houthi War Effort Since October 2023
An in-depth look at the movement’s current capabilities, military situation inside Yemen, and strategic intentions amid the Gaza war and beyond.
April 2024
◆
Michael Knights
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