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Articles & Testimony
Foreign Perspective on the Russian Role in the Conflict Between Armenia and Azerbaijan
Moscow will likely continue using the struggle over Karabakh to pursue its own interests.
Mar 14, 2019
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Applying the Lessons of the Arab Spring to Today’s Protest Movements: A Call for Political Reform
Unlike the protests that took place in Morocco, Jordan, and in southern Iraq in the last year, which were driven primarily by specific policy concerns and have subsequently subsided, both Sudan and Algeria are currently witnessing remarkably widespread protests motivated by uncompromising political demands for regime change. Both last year’s
Mar 13, 2019
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Amr Salah
Brief Analysis
The New Palestinian Prime Minister Will Face Steep Internal Challenges
Fatah succession maneuvers, escalating tensions with Hamas, a financial crisis, and an uncertain security hierarchy will make it difficult for the incoming premier to improve the current situation.
Mar 13, 2019
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
A U.S.-Iraq Security Partnership: Avoiding the Pitfalls Just Ahead
Nationalist sentiment and Iranian pressure have led some Iraqi legislators to oppose a continued U.S. military presence, but Washington could make things much worse if it overreacts.
Mar 13, 2019
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Barbara A. Leaf
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Subtlety Could Yield Middle East Peace
Past administrations have publicized their plans too soon, provoking fury from extremists on both sides.
Mar 13, 2019
◆
Jonathan Schanzer
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Algeria on the Brink?
As Algiers braces for wider protests, Washington should coordinate with Arab and European allies to signal the government that it risks losing control unless it changes course.
Mar 8, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Though Hamas Is Interested in Negotiations, Gaza's Future Remains Uncertain
The Gaza Strip has long been suffering from internal pressures resulting from its limited resources—including a lack of water and arable land, weak infrastructure, and many internal and external barriers due to the twelve-year long Israeli siege and blockade.This blockade has turned the Gaza strip into the largest open-air prison
Mar 7, 2019
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Mkhaimar Abusada
Brief Analysis
U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah
To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.
Mar 6, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Assad’s Demobilization, Demilitarization, and Rehabilitation Strategy Actually Consolidate Syria’s Paramilitary Forces?
After eight years of conflict, Syrian president Bashar al-Assad appears to have emerged victorious over his areas of control and seems set to expand his power over Syria once again. The regime has spearheaded its consolidation efforts by working towards integrating loyalist and rebel militias into the Syria army. Yet
Mar 6, 2019
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Mona Alami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kuwaitis Dislike Trump, but Favor the United States over Iran Despite Sectarian Mix
Of all the Gulf monarchies, Kuwait’s actively elected parliament and opposition groups distinguish it as the one where public opinion matters most. A rare recent poll shows that much of the country’s public lines up with its government on many (though not all) key issues, despite the country’s mixed Sunni/Shia
Mar 5, 2019
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Oslo’s Mangled Legacy
Despite their failures, the accords are inextricably linked with the Palestinian national movement and its associated diplomatic/security architecture, so allowing them to collapse completely could make a bad situation worse.
Mar 4, 2019
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Organizational Split and Radicalization Within Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood
Internal structural changes and ideological rifts have given rise to new strategies for legitimizing violence.
Mar 4, 2019
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Annette Ranko
Mohammad Yaghi
Articles & Testimony
Not Gonna Be Able To Do It: al-Qaeda in Tunisia’s Inability to Take Advantage of the Islamic State’s Setbacks
While the consensus might be that al-Qaeda is primed to benefit from Islamic State setbacks, unless conditions change locally, the so-called caliphate will likely remain a more attractive avenue for jihadi mobilization in Tunisia.
Mar 1, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
A Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ in Syria: Prospects and Policy Implications
Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.
Mar 1, 2019
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Michael Eisenstadt
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Cyprus Gas Discovery Could Be an East Mediterranean Game-Changer
The latest success will encourage more exploration in the area, but probably more regional rivalry as well.
Mar 1, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Economic Ties Deepen the Saudi-Pakistani Strategic Partnership
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia share a long history of close bilateral ties, with bonds of religion and mutual interest dating back to the Saudi support for the independence struggle by the Muslims of the subcontinent during the 1940s. Over the years, this bilateral relationship has matured into a strategic partnership
Feb 28, 2019
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Umer Karim
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs the United States and Its Allies for Reconstruction
Damascus and its partners can’t rebuild the country by themselves amid their growing budget crunch, so Washington has leverage on key transition issues even if Assad keeps stalling.
Feb 28, 2019
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Jomana Qaddour
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Protests are Shaping Algeria’s Presidential Elections
On February 10th, the Algerian president Abdelaziz Bouteflika formally announced that he would be seeking reelection as head of the state in the upcoming presidential elections set to take place on April 18th. President Bouteflika has been ruling the country since 1999, despite increasing concerns over his health after suffering
Feb 27, 2019
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Articles & Testimony
Bravado Could Escalate India-Pakistan Attacks to Nuclear Level
National pride and honor can be tricky variables, especially when not accompanied by common sense.
Feb 27, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
Feb 27, 2019
◆
Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
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