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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Understanding the IRGC's Past, Present, and Future Use of Syrian Tribal Militias
Iran's development of Arab tribal militias in eastern Syria will likely accelerate again, based on the model established in Aleppo and backed by new IRGC-funded social, economic, and administrative "wings."
Apr 30, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating the US-Iraq Relationship: Toward Stability and Cooperation
Both sides have a role to play in developing an U.S.-Iraq relationship built on Sudani’s vision of "sustainable cooperation" and in addressing the actors that can limit this potential.
Apr 29, 2024
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Khairuldeen Makhzoomi
Minatullah Alobaidi
Articles & Testimony
As an American, I Am Ashamed
The Washington Institute's executive director decries the manner in which Americans and other hostages held in Gaza are being used as nameless bargaining chips.
Apr 29, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Pay Attention to Ship Seizures, Not Threats to Close Strait of Hormuz
Low-key actions like seizures can increase regional and global concerns and increase Iran's leverage.
Apr 29, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Coordination Framework Militias Pass New Anti-LGBTQ Legislation
Although they avoided embarrassing Prime Minister Sudani during his recent Washington visit, they passed abhorrent new legislation as soon as he was back home.
Apr 29, 2024
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Addressing Human Resource and Development Concerns in Iraq’s Oil and Gas Sector
Many of the necessary reforms start with placing the institution in a competitive position internationally and allowing for decisions that maximize financial returns for the good of the Iraqi people, not individuals hoping to promote their own interests.
Apr 26, 2024
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Muhammed Abed Mazeel al-Aboudi
Brief Analysis
U.S.-French Cooperation on Preventing an Israel-Hezbollah War
Washington and Paris have been pursuing convergent efforts to avoid all-out war, but more coordination is advisable and seems increasingly likely after the latest escalation.
Apr 26, 2024
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Selin Uysal
Brief Analysis
Denial or Punishment? The U.S.-Israel Debate About How Best to Deter Iran
Experience shows that a balanced strategy blending deterrence by denial and deterrence by punishment can more effectively contain Iran.
Apr 26, 2024
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Michael Eisenstadt
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Brief Analysis
The Palestinian Arena in the Shadow of the Iran-Israel Crisis
The crisis has given the United States, Israel, and their partners a unique opportunity to build an international coalition against Iran and show the Palestinians that the “resistance” camp is not their only viable path.
Apr 25, 2024
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Neomi Neumann
Devorah Margolin
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Brief Analysis
The Malaysia-Iran-Israel Triangle Amid the Gaza War
Kuala Lumpur is once again displaying its willingness to facilitate Iran’s illicit activity, support Hamas, and amplify anti-Israel rhetoric well beyond what its neighbors have countenanced.
Apr 25, 2024
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Rebecca Redlich
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Gloss to Pakistan’s Diplomacy with Iran and Saudi Arabia
Multiple high-level visits suggest economic desperation mixed with strategic—and possibly nuclear—opportunism.
Apr 25, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Israel Temper Its War on Iran’s Regional Proxies?
Israeli strikes on Hezbollah and other militias in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq have yielded visible benefits at times, but future operations may elicit a direct Iranian response.
Apr 24, 2024
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David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Better Plan for Sanctioning Iranian Airlines
Targeting Iran Air’s flights to Europe would help, but the regime’s illicit activities on the continent may simply be taken over by the IRGC-linked carrier Mahan Air unless further designations are issued.
Apr 23, 2024
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Babak Taghvaee
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Hit Two U.S. Sites in Iraq and Syria
Iran-backed groups have adopted tight message discipline so far, not claiming either of the attacks in order to avoid U.S. retaliation while simultaneously warning Prime Minister Sudani to keep pushing for U.S. withdrawal.
Apr 22, 2024
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Rise and Fall of the AKP’s Islamist Appeal in Türkiye
Türkiye’s latest elections have allowed the YRP to demonstrate success in certain areas of President Erdogan’s traditional, pious base in Türkiye, emphasizing the waning power of Erdogan’s political message after his shift away from ideologically guided politics.
Apr 22, 2024
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Mustafa Gül
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Amid Red Sea Crisis, Saudi Company Launches North Shipping Service
Riyadh’s aim to become a global logistics hub connecting three continents will face challenges if risks to southern Red Sea shipping persist at their current levels.
Apr 20, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
China’s Military Objectives and Operational Experience in the Middle East
A security expert provides an in-depth assessment of Beijing’s military activities, funding, and strategic intentions in the region, including recommendations to prevent these efforts from harming U.S. alliances and interests.
Apr 19, 2024
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Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Coordinated Iran Sanctions Require Coordinated Enforcement
Following the attack on Israel, world leaders seek to build a coalition of the willing to hold Tehran accountable for its malign activities—though sanctions won’t have their intended effect unless partners cooperate on robust enforcement as well.
Apr 19, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Video
Brief Analysis
The Middle East's Perilous Moment: Policy Implications and Escalation Risks
Two former U.S. and Israeli officials join a security expert to examine Iran’s unprecedented attack, Israel’s potential response, and U.S. options to prevent the outbreak of full-scale regional war.
Apr 18, 2024
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Dana Stroul
Zohar Palti
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Russian-Iranian Cooperation and Threats to U.S. Interests
A former senior Pentagon official assesses how the growing alliance between the two regimes could create problems on multiple fronts, from exchanging know-how on U.S. defense technology to facilitating nuclear proliferation, sanctions evasion, and domestic oppression.
Apr 17, 2024
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Dana Stroul
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