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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Assad’s Law 10: Reshaping Syria’s Demographics
Now that the conflict in Syria is entering its final stages, out of the many Syrians who have fled the country over the past seven years some have begun to make their way back on the apparent invitation of the Assad government, mostly from Syria’s neighbor Lebanon. Nevertheless, since it
Sep 14, 2018
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Ibrahim Abu Ahmad
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Thirst For Decentralization in Southern Iraq
Last July, widespread protests broke out throughout southern Iraq as a result of deteriorating services, a lack of electricity, poor water quality, and increasing unemployment. While demonstrations are common during the hot summer months in southern and central Iraq, this year’s protests are markedly more widespread and have continued to
Sep 14, 2018
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Sadek Ali Hassan
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Policy Toward the Palestinians Is Dazed and Confused—and Dangerous for Israel
The administration’s actions appear to contradict its statements about preserving the two-state solution, negotiating core issues like Jerusalem, facilitating PA economic growth, and pressuring Israeli leaders.
Sep 13, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Reshaping U.S. Aid to the Palestinians
Plenty of good actors remain on both sides of the Green Line, and by partnering with them, Washington can build on what has worked since Oslo and discard what has failed.
Sep 13, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Dave Harden
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Ending Yemen’s War Without Perpetuating a ‘Southern Hezbollah’
If the West could go back in time and prevent Hezbollah from becoming a powerhouse, they would do so in a heartbeat, so they should not miss a similar opportunity with the Houthis.
Sep 12, 2018
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Views of Jews—and of Israel
Several weeks ago, I related some general observations from my July trip to Saudi Arabia, in a post titled “ Seeing Saudi Changes Up Close: A Week’s Worth of Surprises.” In this post, I will focus more sharply on specific shifts in the attitudes of at least some influential Saudis
Sep 12, 2018
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
The Myth of ‘Failed’ Peace
The much-maligned peace process has been a great success from America’s perspective, and if we hold fast to its founding principles, its best days are yet to come.
Sep 12, 2018
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump's Closure of the Palestinian Diplomatic Mission in Washington Could Backfire
Both sides may have reached a dead end, with Washington seemingly running out of pressure points and the PA increasingly backing away from the eroding diplomatic process.
Sep 12, 2018
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Ghaith al-Omari
In-Depth Reports
Egypt's New Realism: Challenges Under Sisi
When Abdul Fattah al-Sisi became president in 2014, Egyptians were clamoring for stability after the chaos of the post–Arab Spring years and the failed leadership of the Muslim Brotherhood government. Emblematic of this stability, Sisi was at one point so highly regarded that his face adorned chocolate bars. Although he
Sep 11, 2018
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Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Missile Attack in Iraqi Kurdistan Could Backfire
The IRGC has fired a literal shot across the KRG’s bow, but the brazen violation of Baghdad’s sovereignty may ultimately benefit Tehran’s opponents.
Sep 11, 2018
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Round One of Idlib Campaign May Target Turkish-Backed Rebels
If Assad and his allies stick with their past strategy, the initial offensive will likely be limited, though it will still spur massive refugee flows and a serious breach between Turkey and Russia.
Sep 11, 2018
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Strength in Dialogue: A Case for the KRG Parliament
While Kurdish parliamentary elections are scheduled for September 30, the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) is facing a number of crises—political, economic, and more broad social issues. These range from inadequate services, a dysfunctional bureaucracy, political fragmentation, widespread distrust among political elites, strong regional intervention, and more. The impact of these
Sep 11, 2018
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Sardar Aziz
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi War Machine: From Guerrilla War to State Capture
The Houthis are more than capable of becoming a ‘southern Hezbollah’ on the Red Sea, a threat that continues to drive the Gulf coalition’s coastal campaign.
Sep 10, 2018
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
On Syria, the U.S. Can Drive a Hard Bargain with Russia
Putin gives nothing away without a price. To protect America’s interests, neither should Trump.
Sep 9, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Military Propaganda: Failures and Successes
While propaganda plays a major role in forming local and international public opinion, it may also be deployed as a tool of “soft deterrence,” designed to tilt the calculations and military strategies of other countries in another country’s favor. Iran’s financial investment in its media presence, with dozens of satellite
Sep 9, 2018
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ayatollah Khamenei: Shifting from Velayat-e Faqih to Military Control
Almost forty years after its inception, the project of the Islamic Republic has failed. Ayatollah Khamenei has in essence admitted that an Islamic state is not complete in Iran. Nor is Iranian society unequivocally Islamic in the manner that the revolution intended: rather the Iranian government merely follows and applies
Sep 7, 2018
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Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
Survey of Terrorist Groups and Their Means of Financing
A former Treasury official discusses how governments, banks, and other entities need to adapt constantly just to keep up with the evolving financial tactics used by terrorists and their supporters.
Sep 7, 2018
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Is Almost Ashore, But Challenges Remain
Environmental concerns, uncertainty over export routes, and future security risks overshadow the latest progress in bringing the Leviathan field online.
Sep 7, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
UNRWA Funding Cutoff: What Next?
Despite the attendant risks and public outcry, Washington’s decision to halt all aid to the agency could spur some reform without drastically affecting its core humanitarian services.
Sep 6, 2018
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James G. Lindsay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sanctions May Lead to Regime Change in Iran, but What Then?
The continually escalating war of words between Iran and the United States suggests that the Middle East will have much at stake in the coming months as sanctions take effect. The U.S. administration has made repeated assertions that “regime change” and “military action” against Iran are not on the agenda
Sep 6, 2018
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
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