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Brief Analysis
Beginning of the End for East Aleppo
The Assad regime and Russia seem eager to establish full control of the city before the Trump administration takes office, essentially presenting the new president with a fait accompli on the war's most notorious front.
Nov 30, 2016
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iraq Can't Commit to OPEC's Oil Output Deal
Despite pressure from OPEC to cap its oil production, the Iraqi government can neither afford a cut nor enforce it upon the Kurdistan Regional Government.
Nov 29, 2016
◆
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
OPEC Meeting Is More About Regional Rivalry Than Production Cuts
Saudi Arabia's reluctance to show weakness toward Iran likely means no real agreement will result from this week's OPEC meeting.
Nov 28, 2016
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Fatah's General Conference: Clarifying Succession and Managing Dissent
After numerous postponements, the upcoming conference could inject energy into the aging movement and stabilize its ranks, but not if the internal elections exclude large constituencies or come across as rigged.
Nov 28, 2016
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
A Syria Policy for Trump: How Washington Can Get to a Settlement
Continued passivity would only reinforce the perception that the United States is acquiescing to Russia and Iran’s regional plans, so the incoming administration should prepare a series of robust diplomatic and military steps.
Nov 28, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Kuwait's Snap Election Revives Parliamentary Opposition, But Not Reform
While the new legislature is hardly a harbinger of deep reform, broader inclusiveness, or greater personal freedoms, it should be considered another welcome exception to the 'rule' that Arab democracy tends to produce instability, Islamist control, or sectarian oppression.
Nov 28, 2016
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Iran May Be Using Iraq and Syria as a Bridge to Lebanon
While liberating territory from the Islamic State is vital, the consequences of ceding portions of Iraq and Syria to de facto Iranian control could be just as dire as leaving them in jihadist hands.
Nov 23, 2016
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran and China Are Strengthening Their Military Ties
Amid uncertainties about the incoming U.S. administration's approach to the Middle East and the nuclear deal, Tehran and Beijing appear to be entering a new era in their strategic partnership, including the potential transfer of advanced weapon systems down the road.
Nov 22, 2016
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Status of the Syrian Rebellion: Numbers, Ideologies, and Prospects
An in-depth look at how many fighters are still arrayed against the Assad regime, which ideology they subscribe to, and whether more moderate actors can still seize the mantle from extremist factions.
Nov 22, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Prospects for Reform in Kuwait
If left 'unmanaged,' future political movements in Kuwait may fall back to the more familiar and well-organized tribal Islamist leadership rivaled by leftist groups.
Nov 21, 2016
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Mijbel Al-Talli
In-Depth Reports
Narratives of Reform in the UAE
UAE success stories are legion: Vast oil resources have made the United Arab Emirates one of the wealthiest states per capita in the world. Emirati rulers have pursued economic and social development projects of epic proportions, and citizen support for the country's leadership is believed to be high. Yet, when
Nov 21, 2016
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Articles & Testimony
Strength in a Tougher World
Some foreign policy guidelines for the incoming administration as it prepares for a world that has become more competitive and less susceptible to U.S. influence.
Nov 18, 2016
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Economy: Not Out of the Woods Yet
Although Cairo has taken significant steps to address capital shortages in recent weeks, the government knows that these steps will entail significant pain and could therefore spark unrest.
Nov 18, 2016
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Eric Trager
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Syrian Kurds as a U.S. Ally:
Cooperation and Complications
This collection of essays by Washington Institute experts explores how the United States can work with--or, in some cases, around--the various actors in heavily Kurdish-populated northern Syria to advance the fight against the Islamic State and create long-term stability. Successive pieces look at the Kurds themselves, Turkey, Arabs in the
Nov 18, 2016
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Patrick Clawson
David Pollock
Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Fabrice Balanche
Bilal Wahab
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Shiite Militias Are Crashing the Mosul Offensive
Pro-Iranian brigades are looking to settle old grudges in a notorious town near the Islamic State's Iraqi stronghold.
Nov 18, 2016
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Michael Knights
Matthew Schweitzer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Does the Dissolution of the Kuwaiti Parliament Mean for the Next Election?
Kuwaiti citizens are fed-up with the highly unproductive and unrepresentative 2013-parliament of both opposition and tribal groups. Thus the turnout for the upcoming elections is expected to be high with both political groups vying to make a comeback.
Nov 18, 2016
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Mai Alfarhan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Lebanon’s Presidential Elections: How Shifting Power Dynamics Delivered a Win for Iran
The increase in the power of Hezbollah and Iran is a danger to Lebanese democracy. Even so, the selection of a new president will hopefully set the stage for parliamentary elections to finally occur after three years of delay.
Nov 18, 2016
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Scott Mastic
Articles & Testimony
Gli Obiettivi di Putin in Siria e Medio Oriente
An Italian-language article on Russian interests in Syria and the broader Middle East, originally published in the influential monthly defense publication Airpress. Download the PDF to read the full article.
Nov 18, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
The Day After Mosul: Lessons from Kirkuk
Read or watch a conversation between a Washington Institute expert and the governor of Kirkuk, who shares firsthand perspectives on how Iraqi authorities and their partners can handle ethnic tensions in post-liberation Mosul.
Nov 17, 2016
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Michael Knights
Najmaldin Karim
Articles & Testimony
Humanitarian Crisis in Yemen
If the United States more openly addressed the wider strategic threat posed by Iran's role in Yemen, it could convince its allies in the Saudi-led coalition to modify their controversial military tactics, reduce civilian suffering, and support a serious peace effort.
Nov 17, 2016
◆
James Jeffrey
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