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Articles & Testimony
US-Gulf Reset in a Shifting Global Order
Although the Persian Gulf region is far from being fully self-sufficient, countries are gradually diversifying their partnerships—and doing so on their own terms.
Nov 2, 2023
◆
Nickolay Mladenov
Narayanappa Janardhan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Potential Escalation in Iraq (Part 2): Asaib and Nujaba
Asaib Ahl al-Haq, Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, and their facade group partners may soon step up their attacks amid the Hamas-Israel war, albeit within limits set by Iran.
Nov 1, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptians Quietly Lambast Sisi’s "Accomplishments" Ahead of Elections
Regardless of the upcoming elections results, there are many Egyptians who feel that Sisi’s policies are harming their country, reflect a lack of national belonging, and are the product of reckless and poorly-considered decisions.
Nov 1, 2023
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Ishtar Al Shami
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa al-Baqir
This Syrian militia based in Aleppo and Deir al-Zour has developed a uniquely close relationship with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Assad regime.
Nov 1, 2023
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Abdullah Hayek
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Potential Escalation in Iraq (Part 1): Khamenei and Badr
Iraqi "resistance" elements are becoming more bellicose in their rhetoric against the American presence, signaling a new level of escalation against U.S. troops as part of their efforts to support Hamas in the Gaza war.
Nov 1, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Ameer al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Gaza War’s Impact on Energy Security in the East Mediterranean
The energy sector is one indicator of the heavy costs the region will pay in the event of a wider conflict, with some effects already measurable in certain countries.
Nov 1, 2023
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Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
The United States’ Indo-Pacific Strategy
While Washington can do more diplomatically, the most glaring gap in U.S. regional engagement is economic, leaving Beijing unchallenged and American allies unsupported.
Nov 1, 2023
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Campaign Against Hamas in Gaza: War Aims and Operational Challenges
The goal of destroying Hamas will require a prolonged military effort, but the longer the fighting drags on, the less likely Israel will be to retain the freedom of action needed to achieve its war aims.
Oct 31, 2023
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Michael Eisenstadt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: The Sons of Jazira and Euphrates Movement
This Ougaidat tribal militia has undertaken attacks on multiple Syrian Kurdish and U.S. sites, with support from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Assad regime.
Oct 31, 2023
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Abdullah Hayek
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Political and Strategic Cultures in the Longue Duree: Insights from the Middle East
A more rigorous understanding of how political and strategic cultures interact to affect the conduct of states could aid intelligence analysts and policymakers.
October 2023
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Renewed Public Debate over Revising Morocco’s Family Code
In an effort to preserve a basic threshold for social and political balance, the Moroccan government passed the Family Code, or Mudawana, in 2004. Twenty years later, the matter of personal status law remains a pertinent and mobilizing issue for many.
Oct 31, 2023
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Soufiane Elgoumri
Brief Analysis
Arab Critique and Condemnation of Hamas Before October 7, 2023
For years, Hamas was lambasted by leading Arab voices as a terrorist group that worked against Palestinian interests. And then October 7 happened.
Oct 30, 2023
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Tracking International Reactions to the Hamas-Israel War
Brief Analysis
After Gaza, Recalibrated Prospects for a Geopolitical Europe
Much optimism attended the continental response to Russia’s Ukraine invasion, but the October 7 Hamas attacks and their aftermath could dampen aspirations for European unity on the international stage.
Oct 30, 2023
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Selin Uysal
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Tracking International Reactions to the Hamas-Israel War
Articles & Testimony
Hamas vs. Israel: The Limits of Analogy
What Hamas unleashed on October 7 was so jarring that it is only natural to seek the comfort of historical examples to put Israel’s response in some digestible context.
Oct 30, 2023
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Danger on Israel’s Northern Border
A former Lebanese journalist shares her experience growing up in Lebanon, her insights on Hezbollah, and her views on how associated threats might evolve amid the Gaza war.
Oct 27, 2023
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
The Collapse of Israel’s Hamas “Conceptzia”
The belief that Hamas would abandon ideology for economic gain led to disastrous consequences.
Oct 27, 2023
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
I Might Have Once Favored a Cease-Fire with Hamas, but Not Now
A perceived victory by the group will validate its ideology of rejection, give momentum to Iran and its collaborators, and foreclose the possibility of peace with Israel.
Oct 27, 2023
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
More Israelis Optimistic Now Than Before Hamas Attack; 70% Say Hamas Must Go
Recent polling indicates a strong sense of national unity among Israelis in the aftermath of Hamas' attack. While trust in political leadership remains low, overall confidence in the military and police is high.
Oct 27, 2023
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David Pollock
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Tracking International Reactions to the Hamas-Israel War
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Anti-U.S. Attacks Linked to the Sons of Jazira and Euphrates Movement
The "Jazira" brand has begun claiming, through very transparent communiques, that it is undertaking rocket attacks on U.S. bases in Syria.
Oct 27, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Gaza, the Confrontation with Iran
By supporting Hamas’s operation, the Islamic Republic managed to subvert a broad emerging Arab-Israel partnership—but Israeli success in destroying the group’s military capabilities could turn the tables.
Oct 26, 2023
◆
Ehud Yaari
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