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Brief Analysis
The Iran Deal’s October Sunsets: Sanctions Without Snapback
Facing the imminent expiration of UN sanctions but unwilling to trigger “snapback,” the EU and Britain should unilaterally extend some of their own restrictions on Tehran.
Jul 28, 2023
◆
Henry Rome
Louis Dugit-Gros
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israel and Algeria: Protests, Politics, and Colonialism
Exploring the parallels in the Israeli and Algerian experiences provides insight into the future of democracy in both countries.
Jul 28, 2023
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Bruce Maddy-Weitzman
Video
Brief Analysis
Sudan's Civil War: Mediation Challenges and the U.S. Role
Three experts assess the conflict’s effects on regional humanitarian and security issues, outlining the requirements for a durable ceasefire.
Jul 28, 2023
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Yasir Zaidan
Reem Abbas
Alex Rondos
Articles & Testimony
The Wrong Message at the Wrong Time
Although some of the arguments for decreasing U.S. military assistance to Israel stem from understandable impulses, implementing such ideas now would only embolden enemies and make conflict more likely.
Jul 27, 2023
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Did the EU Bail Out Tunisia’s Kais Saied?
Washington may be tempted to defer Tunisia’s problems to Europe, but a new MOU risks perpetuating the country’s economic crisis and worsening the plight of migrants.
Jul 26, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Guns, Drugs, and Smugglers: A Recent Heightened Challenge at Israel’s Borders with Jordan and Egypt
A dataset covering case-by-case information underscores the problems that authorities in each country face as they cooperate to clamp down on criminals and secure their shared frontiers.
Jul 2023
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Matthew Levitt
Lauren von Thaden
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Blunting the Militia Campaign Against Iraq’s Christian Leaders
A U.S.-sanctioned, Iran-backed militia leader aims to sideline the country’s Chaldean Patriarch and take over billions of dollars’ worth of Christian property.
Jul 25, 2023
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sinjar: Challenges and Resilience Nine Years after Genocide
The ninth anniversary of the Yazidi Genocide in Sinjar, Iraq is drawing near, a tragedy in which thousands of Yazidis were murdered, Yazidi women and children were enslaved, and Yazidi villages and compounds were destroyed by ISIS in August 2014.
Jul 25, 2023
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Izat Noah
Brief Analysis
Israel’s New Law Holds Implications for Security and U.S. Relations
A closer look at the domestic dynamics behind the legislature’s vote sheds light on whether and when it might affect Israel’s military readiness and relationship with Washington.
Jul 25, 2023
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David Makovsky
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Next Generation of Iranian Ballistic Missiles:
Technical Advances, Strategic Objectives, and Potential Western Responses
Amid revived nuclear talks with the United States, Iran finally debuted its vaunted Fattah “hypersonic missile”—just after test-launching an improved large-payload MRBM—in a clear bid to demonstrate conventional military deterrence capability.
Jul 25, 2023
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Could Libya Become Africa’s Afghanistan?
As political figures vie for influence in Libya, Islamist groups have been empowered to crack down on religious freedoms, women, and minority groups across the country.
Jul 26, 2023
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Khalil El Hasse
Articles & Testimony
The Science Behind the Drama of ‘Oppenheimer’
Iran’s potential push for a nuclear device and the region’s broader proliferation challenges cast a shadow over the new summer blockbuster.
Jul 24, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Wagner Group in Syria: Profiting Off Failed States
Despite discord between the Wagner Group and the Russian government, the entrenched economic and military engagement of Wagner forces in Syria is unlikely to change soon.
Jul 21, 2023
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Emad Bouzo
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt Has Not Revealed Any Workable Plan for Sudan
Despite numerous conferences and promises, Sudan's regional neighbors have done little to defuse the current conflict.
Jul 21, 2023
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Mon’im Omer
Brief Analysis
Risks of Maritime Escalation in the Strait of Hormuz
If the United States does not accompany its military deterrent efforts with strong diplomatic signals, the current cycle of ship seizures and Iranian retaliatory measures could spiral into something resembling the 1980s Tanker War.
Jul 21, 2023
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Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Iraqi Basij
Formed by Ashab al-Kahf and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, this Persian-named violent protest movement has been used to carry out threats against the U.S. embassy in Baghdad.
Jul 20, 2023
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Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
Middle East Visits to the United States Under Biden, Trump, and Obama
The pandemic left President Biden with fewer opportunities to host regional leaders early in his term, but the quantities and patterns in each administration’s invitations offer additional revelations about their policy priorities.
Jul 20, 2023
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Ahmad Sharawi
Essa Nahari
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Power Problem (Part 2): Implications of the New Oil-for-Gas Deal with Iran
Baghdad hopes to avoid power cuts, political turmoil, and U.S. sanctions by striking a barter agreement with Tehran, but the deal raises many questions.
Jul 19, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The SDF’s Approach to Erdoğan’s Victory
Worried by the implications of Erdoğan's reelection, the Kurds in northeastern Syria need active support from the United States now more than ever.
Jul 19, 2023
◆
Baraa Sabri
Brief Analysis
On Syria Aid, Don’t Bet on the Security Council
Seventeen Russian vetoes have hobbled the council’s ability to keep humanitarian assistance flowing, so Washington and its allies should look to the General Assembly instead—or take matters into their own hands on the Turkish border.
Jul 19, 2023
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Andrew J. Tabler
Anna Borshchevskaya
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