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Brief Analysis
The Challenges of Israeli Military Action in Gaza
This PolicyWatch is the first in a two-part series examining the situation in Gaza as the December 19 expiration date of the Israeli-Hamas ceasefire approaches. The first focused on the challenges the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) would face in undertaking any large-scale action; the second looks at the IDF's choices
Dec 16, 2008
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Elections:
What's at Stake?
The upcoming provincial elections in Iraq, scheduled for January 2009, will provide the best indicators to date of the health of Iraq's political system, the relative popularity of political parties, and Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's prospects for re-election in national elections planned for December 2009. Iraqis have been concerned by
Dec 16, 2008
Brief Analysis
The EU and Syria Move Closer
On December 14, the European Union is slated to initial an association agreement with Syria. The pact had been on hold since 2004 because the EU "deemed that political circumstances were so far not right for its signature and ratification." These "circumstances" mostly concerned Damascus's pernicious policies in Lebanon, including
Dec 11, 2008
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Bridging the Persian Gulf
After months of intense focus on the economy, the recent attack in Mumbai was a sombre reminder that the incoming Obama administration will have to confront many other serious threats as well. Beyond terrorism, Iran's nuclear programme is also likely to be high on the president-elect's priority list. The success
Dec 11, 2008
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Campaign to Squeeze Terrorists' Financing
Download the complete text of this article (PDF). While mounting an individual terrorist attack may cost relatively little, money remains of critical importance to terrorist organizations. Without it, terrorist groups would be incapable of maintaining the broad infrastructure necessary to run an effective organization. Finding means to quickly and securely
Dec 11, 2008
In-Depth Reports
Security First:
U.S. Priorities in Israeli-Palestinian Peacemaking
This Washington Institute Strategic Report argues that the Obama administration should focus its early efforts in the Middle East peace process on expanding and improving the U.S.-led program to train Palestinian Authority (PA) security forces so that they are willing and able to fight terrorism. Security First: U.S. Priorities in
Dec 10, 2008
Brief Analysis
In Her Own Words:
Hillary Clinton on the Middle East
On December 1, President-elect Obama announced his nomination of Senator Hillary Clinton as U.S. secretary of state. The following are her remarks on key Middle East issues made during the course of the Democratic presidential primary campaign. Arab-Israeli Peace Process • October 3, 2007: "Peace in the Middle East cannot
Dec 10, 2008
◆
Larisa Baste
Articles & Testimony
Significance of the Provincial Elections
The upcoming provincial elections in Iraq, scheduled for January, will provide the best indicators to date of the health of Iraq's political system, the relative popularity of political parties, and Prime Minister al-Maliki's prospects for re-election in national elections planned for December 2009. Iraqis have been concerned by the delay
Dec 10, 2008
Brief Analysis
West Bank Hardball:
Fatah's Offensive Against Hamas
After several political and military setbacks, Fatah and the Palestinian Authority (PA) have waged an effective campaign against Hamas's political, economic, and military position in the West Bank. And as long as Israeli security forces remain in the West Bank, a Hamas seizure of power there is effectively impossible. Although
Dec 9, 2008
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Financial Setbacks for Hamas
Over the past few weeks, Hamas's international financial support network suffered a series of setbacks, most notably the U.S. federal court conviction of the Holy Land Foundation for Relief and Development (HLF) and five of its leaders on charges of providing material support to Hamas. Despite these convictions and the
Dec 3, 2008
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Boim Judgment Upheld:
Charity Donations to Terrorist Groups Illegal
By Matthew Levitt A federal appeals court in Chicago today upheld a $156 million judgment against several Palestinian charities accused of funding Hamas. A full history of the Boim case, covered extensively on this blog, is available here. In an earlier appeal, the original judgment against the defendants was overruled
Dec 3, 2008
Articles & Testimony
Succession Scenarios Still Unclear
In a region rife with authoritarian leaders, Libya's Colonel Muammar Qaddafi has managed to outlast them all. But the 66-year-old "Brother Leader" has now been in power for close to 40 years and questions of succession are coming to the fore. It's likely that a member of Qaddafi's immediate family
Dec 2, 2008
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Dana Moss
Articles & Testimony
Decoupling Syria from Iran:
Constraints on U.S.-Syrian Rapprochement
Damascus' foray into diplomacy with Israel has had little discernable effect on Syria's longstanding, unhelpful policies vis-a-vis Iraq, Lebanon, and Palestinian politics. While moving Syria into the Western camp would be a great accomplishment, it's not clear that this development would necessarily constitute a long-term strategic setback for Iranian efforts
Dec 2, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Tough Talk with Tehran
Everywhere you look in the Middle East today, Iran is threatening U.S. interests and the political order. One Arab ambassador told me recently that the Iranians are reminding Arab leaders that America didn't help Fuad Siniora, the prime minister of Lebanon, or Mikheil Saakashvili, the president of Georgia, when they
Dec 1, 2008
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Rebuilding U.S.-Libyan Relations Twenty Years after Lockerbie
Nearly twenty years ago, on December 21, 1988, PanAm Flight 103 from London to New York exploded in midair over the Scottish town of Lockerbie, killing all 259 people on board. Last weekend, according to an unconfirmed report in the International Herald Tribune, Musa Kusa, the Libyan intelligence chief widely
Nov 25, 2008
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Dana Moss
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Violence by Extremists in the Jewish Settler Movement:
A Rising Challenge
Thirteen years after the assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, Israeli security officials are expressing heightened concern that a new wave of violent extremism among fringe elements in the Jewish settler movement threatens not only Palestinian civilians, but also Israeli national security and the future of any potential peace diplomacy
Nov 25, 2008
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Money Trail:
Finding, Following, and Freezing Terrorist Finances
On November 17, 2008, Matthew Levitt and Michael Jacobson addressed a Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. Dr. Levitt is a senior fellow and director of the Institute's Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence. Michael Jacobson is a senior fellow in the Stein Program. The following is a rapporteur's
Nov 24, 2008
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Matthew Levitt
Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Syria's Reactor:
Can the IAEA Act Effectively?
High on the agenda of the November 27-28 meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors (BOG) will be the November 19 report from Director General Mohammed ElBaradei about Syria. How the IAEA responds to the Syrian challenge may determine whether future urgent proliferation concerns are taken
Nov 21, 2008
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Patrick Clawson
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Future of the Middle East
The Bush administration looks at the trends it expects to affect the Middle East through the mid-2020s.
Nov 21, 2008
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Thomas Fingar
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Military Consequences of a Gaza Ceasefire Collapse
Clashes, rocket fire, and threats of escalation challenge Gaza's five-month-old ceasefire between Hamas and Israel. In the past two weeks, Israeli forces have reportedly killed 17 Palestinian fighters, while militant groups in Gaza have fired over 140 rockets into Israel. Despite the ceasefire's benefits -- for Israel, the end of
Nov 20, 2008
◆
Jeffrey White
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