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Brief Analysis
Confusing Signals out of Saudi Arabia
On Friday in Europe, Secretary of State Colin Powell is set to meet Crown Prince Abdullah, the de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia. Washington's relationship with the world's largest oil exporter has become strained for reasons more complicated than Crown Prince Abdullah's recent reluctance to meet President Bush at the
Jun 28, 2001
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Jordan and the Islamists:
Unfinished Business
As Secretary of State Colin Powell arrives in Tel Aviv today to shore up the shaky Israeli-Palestinian ceasefire, across the river in Jordan, King Abdullah is quietly coping with his own separate but related crisis. On June 14, without any prior warning, Ibrahim Ghawsheh, the Hamas spokesman expelled from the
Jun 27, 2001
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
From Tenet to Powell:
Assessing a Policy in Flux
With Secretary of State Colin Powell's trip to the Middle East this week, following on Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon's visit to Washington, U.S. diplomacy in the Arab-Israeli arena will reach its most intensive level since the advent of the Bush administration. The rationale for this heightened diplomacy is, in
Jun 25, 2001
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Challenges Facing Israel Abroad and at Home
Despite the violence and terror of the past months, 60 percent of Israelis are still ready to make painful compromises in order to achieve peace-if they see that they have a viable partner. The Israelis have already decided that in order to live in peace they will need to make
Jun 25, 2001
Articles & Testimony
Sulaymaniyah Dispatch
The Azad pharmacy in Sulaymaniyah is stocked with medicines. So is the Shara pharmacy next door. In the cool early evening hours, the street bustles with shoppers, some of whom drift inside. They hand over prescriptions, pay the equivalent of a few cents, and walk out with antibiotics for their
Jun 18, 2001
Brief Analysis
Egypt, Jordan, Israel, and the Palestinian Authority:
Impressions from a Regional Tour
At Camp David/Taba, the Palestinians left the Israeli bride at the altar, so to speak, by turning down the agreement. Regional actors have responded differently. Some Arab leaders, especially Egyptians, are in denial, arguing that former Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak's proposals are still valid and that the peace process
Jun 18, 2001
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israel's National Unity Governments: A Retrospective
Friday, June 15 marks day one hundred for the Sharon administration and Israel's sixth national unity government. The occasion warrants a look back at the five previous Israeli unity governments. Israel's First National Unity Government (1967-1969) Between 1949 and 1967, Israel witnessed thirteen separate governmental rotations, each coalition surviving for
Jun 15, 2001
Brief Analysis
Iran's Hardline Vigilantes and the Prospects for Reform
On June 5, 2001, Michael Rubin, a visiting scholar at The Washington Institute, addressed Institute's Special Policy Forum. In 2000–2001, Dr. Rubin was a visiting professor at three universities in the Kurdish region of northern Iraq. This forum marked the publication of his new Institute study, Into the Shadows: Radical
Jun 12, 2001
Brief Analysis
Khatami's Re-Election and Iran's Pressing Problems
Tomorrow, Mohammed Khatami is sure to be re-elected president of Iran. But that is not likely to make much difference to Iranians, as Khatami has no coherent program for any of Iran's three pressing problems: economic revitalization, political liberalization, and reduction of security threats. Even though Khatami has shown disinterest
Jun 7, 2001
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Palestinian-Israeli Political Fatalities, September 28, 2000–April 30, 2001
The following report evaluates trends in Israeli-Palestinian violence during the past seven months using fatality statistics. This analysis covers the period from the outbreak of the "Al Aqsa Intifada" on September 28, 2000, through April 30, 2001. The following statistics are based primarily on information provided by the Israeli human
Jun 1, 2001
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy, the Mitchell Report, and the Palestinian Uprising:
Assessment and Prospects
The Bush administration confronts a certain context on the ground in Israel and the Palestinian territories: Increasing violence. The violence gets worse and worse, and seems to have a logic and momentum of its own. There has been a descent into what may only be described as "communal violence." Leaders
May 30, 2001
◆
Dennis Ross
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Iranian Presidential Poll:
Does It Really Matter?
On May 10, 2001, Geneive Abdo, a research scholar at the Middle East Institute of the Columbia University School of International Affairs, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of her remarks. Read a full transcript. The election of Muhammad Khatami as president of
May 25, 2001
◆
Geneive Abdo
Brief Analysis
How Sharon and Arafat May Respond to U.S. Initiatives
On May 24, 2001, David Makovsky, Robert Satloff, and David Makovsky addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Mr. Makovsky is senior fellow at the Institute and former editor of the Jerusalem Post. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Read a summary of Dr. Satloff and Ambassador
May 25, 2001
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
'Re-energizing' UN Sanctions on Iraq:
Problems and Prospects
This week, the United States and United Kingdom are circulating a draft resolution in the UN Security Council proposing a package of new measures intended to "re-energize" sanctions against Iraq. They hope to bring the resolution to a vote before the next six-month phase of the "oil for food" program
May 23, 2001
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon-Syria-Israel Triangle:
One Year after Israeli Withdrawal
While the violence in the West Bank and Gaza captures most of the attention, arguably more important developments in the last year have occurred in the Syria-Lebanon-Israel triangle. The Collapse of the Syrian-Israeli Peace Process The collapse of the Geneva summit in March 2000 formalized the demise of the negotiations
May 22, 2001
Articles & Testimony
This Is No Time for Another 'Peace' Process
Yesterday, facing a mounting death toll among Israelis and Palestinians, Secretary of State Colin Powell endorsed the contours of an international report on the ongoing conflict and issued what he termed a "clarion call" for an "unconditional cessation of violence." The sequence of events he proposed — a complete ceasefire
May 22, 2001
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
President Bush's National Energy Policy and the Middle East
The Bush administration this week launched initiatives on two fronts of U.S. concern about the Middle East: Secretary of State Colin Powell's proposals to end Arab–Israeli violence and Vice President Dick Cheney's national energy policy. While the energy policy report concentrates on domestic issues, it necessarily discusses the Middle East
May 21, 2001
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
To End the Violence
We are witnessing a progressive deterioration in the Middle East. New thresholds of violence are regularly crossed. President Bush speaks of our efforts to try to bring the situation under control, but the security meetings we organize, the limited understandings we promote and the statements we make are quickly overwhelmed
May 20, 2001
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The United States, Iraq, and Iran:
Proliferating Risks, Dwindling Opportunities
American policymakers face a number of decision points concerning U.S. policy toward Iraq and Iran in the coming weeks. The UN Security Council has to act by June 4 to renew the oil-for-food program, providing the United States with an opportunity to secure approval for the "re-energized" sanctions regime that
May 15, 2001
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Today's Political and Economic Realities
At the dawn of the new millennium, Turkey remains a significant actor in its region despite economic difficulties. Turkey, a strategic partner with the United States, is a source of steadiness that is vital for peace in its region. Turkey's long relations with Israel play a stabilizing role in the
May 15, 2001
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