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In-Depth Reports
Peace on Three Fronts
Israelis have to make three different sorts of peace. The first, surprisingly, is with ourselves; the second is with our neighbors; and the third is with the age in which we live. The three cannot be separated. The Arab reaction and that of the press have nothing to do with
Sep 16, 2000
◆
Shimon Peres
In-Depth Reports
Agenda 2001:
Middle East Policy Planning for a New Administration
Keynote addresses by Winston Wiley, Shimon Peres, and Nabil Sha'ath. With Faisal Husseini, Reuven Merhav, Ephraim Yaar-Yuchtman, Walid Abu Zuluf, Robert Hunter, Robert Blackwill, and others.
Sep 15, 2000
In-Depth Reports
The Middle East:
The Next Decade
It is a pleasure for me to deliver the keynote address to The Washington Institute. During the last several years, many of us in the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) have found the Institute's publications and policy fora highly useful, if for no other reason than they give us the chance
Sep 15, 2000
Brief Analysis
The Arab World and the Millennium Summit:
Avoiding the Globalization Challenge
Unlike the nearly two hundred other world leaders who spoke at last week's Millennium Summit, virtually every Arab head of state delivered a speech that avoided the conclave's main theme--meeting the economic and political challenge of globalization. Instead, they spoke about preserving Arab rights in the context of the Israeli-Palestinian
Sep 13, 2000
Brief Analysis
Statehood, Final Status, and the Future Role of the PLO:
Will the Conflict End with Independence?
Last Sunday, the world breathed a sigh of relief as the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) Central Council voted to postpone a declaration of statehood until at least November 15, 2000. Less noticed, however, has been the internal battle over what is perhaps the second most important political issue on the
Sep 12, 2000
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Use Flexibility to Fight Terror
At a time when U.S. global power seems absolute, the presidential candidates are assiduously avoiding thorny international security issues. Such complacency is misguided because the U.S. faces a greater terrorist threat now than at any point in the past. The next president will have to confront not just the challenge
Sep 8, 2000
◆
Ray Takeyh
Articles & Testimony
Afghanistan:
As Bad as Its Reputation?
Only Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (and the breakaway Chechen government) recognize the Taliban state, but the self-styled Islamic Emirate is a fact of life. Taliban rule began in 1994, when students from madrasas (Islamic seminaries) in Pakistan and Afghanistan took up arms to end civil strife
Sep 7, 2000
Brief Analysis
Lebanese Elections:
Syrian Key Interests Preserved, For Now
The stunning success of several prominent opposition candidates in Lebanon's recent parliamentary elections has been portrayed by much of the Western press as a "defeat" for Syrian interests in Lebanon, and a "loosening" of Syria's grip over its smaller neighbor. Now that the elections are over, the next step in
Sep 7, 2000
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Arab 'Yellow Light' on a Palestinian Unilateral Declaration of Independence
President Clinton will again meet his two Camp David partners--though not yet in scheduled three-way talks during this week's Millennium Summit, six weeks after the conclusion of their inconclusive Camp David negotiations. In the August interval, each side sent leaders and diplomats jetting about Europe, Asia, and the Middle East
Sep 5, 2000
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's New World:
Changing Dynamics in Turkish Foreign Policy
During 1997 and 1998, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy organized a series of seminars in Washington, D.C., to examine changing dynamics and trends in Turkish foreign policy. The decision to organize the seminars was prompted by the realization that Turkish foreign policy in the post-Cold War era was
Sep 1, 2000
Brief Analysis
A Second Camp David Summit?
Assessment and Prospects
A decision whether to revive the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks at a reconvened Camp David Summit may be made next Wednesday, but as it stands now, the prospects seem very uncertain. President Bill Clinton is scheduled to hold separate meetings with Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak and Palestinian Authority chairman Yasir
Sep 1, 2000
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Iran:
Dialogue Abroad, Violence at Home
Iranian President Muhammad Khatami's international charm offensive continues at the UN Millennium Summit, where today he hosts a "Dialogue of Civilizations" and tomorrow he speaks to the General Assembly. Meanwhile, at home, Khatami faces violence rather than dialogue, raising doubts about Iran's peaceful reform. The Iranian Charm Offensive. Last week
Sep 1, 2000
◆
Patrick Clawson
Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Constitutional Clash Rocks Regime
Last week, a seemingly arcane argument produced a political crisis in Turkey that set back, at least temporarily, the government's longstanding anti-Islamist campaign. What began as a dispute over constitutional interpretation of presidential powers embittered relations between the nation's two top officials-President Ahmet Necdet Sezer and Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit-to
Aug 28, 2000
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah and the Upcoming Lebanese Elections:
Shifting Priorities
Hizballah is shifting its focus from armed resistance to internal matters in anticipation of the upcoming parliamentary elections. Hizballah hopes to translate its "victory" over the IDF and South Lebanon Army into a greater share of domestic political power. Hizballah Secretary-General Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah acknowledges the shift in priorities, stating
Aug 18, 2000
Brief Analysis
Israel-Lebanon Border:
Security Situation Improving
Today, following last weekend's deployment into southern Lebanon by United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), Lebanese security forces fulfilled their commitments and deployed into Israel's former occupied zone. The lack of major incidents and the relative restraint of Hizballah since the IDF withdrew in May surprises some observers, but
Aug 9, 2000
Brief Analysis
Camp David II Aftermath:
Options for the Next Ninety Days
In the aftermath of Camp David II and with the start of the Knesset summer recess yesterday, there appears to be a 40-90 day "window" for Israelis and the Palestinians to determine whether a diplomatic breakthrough is still possible or whether the parties will move in alternative directions. Political Standing
Aug 4, 2000
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Impact of the Iraqi Invasion of Kuwait: The View from Ten Years Later
On July 28, 2000, The Washington Institute hosted a special symposium on the tenth anniversary of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, featuring presentations by Lt. Gen. Bernard Trainor, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations; Peter Rodman, director of national security at the Nixon Center; and Daniel Pipes, editor
Aug 3, 2000
In-Depth Reports
Arab Attitudes toward Israel and Peace
Previous public opinion polls conducted in the Arab East, especially in the Levant, have revealed that "inching toward peace" with Israel has not produced definitive changes in Arab perceptions. Instead, the peace process seems to have given rise to a kind of resignation born of a pervasive sense of helplessness
Aug 1, 2000
◆
Hilal Khashan
Brief Analysis
Presidential Study Group Trip Report:
Camp David through Middle Eastern Eyes
With a couple of minor exceptions, there was scant criticism of U.S. policy by Arab leaders. Contrary to expectation, officials from Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the Palestinian Authority volunteered very few complaints. Israel's discontent with the relationship, on the other hand, was manifest and unmistakable. Israeli representatives from both ends
Aug 1, 2000
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Camp David Collapse:
A Behind-the-Scenes Assessment by a Participant
Achievements Although the failure of the Camp David II summit to reach a final status agreement between Israel and the Palestinians is certainly sad, it is important to emphasize that this two-week meeting was not a waste of time. For the first time, Israelis and Palestinians sat together in an
Jul 26, 2000
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