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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Killing of al-Zawahiri: Repercussions for the Taliban
Following the drone strike against al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri, many variables are up in the air that could significantly alter the stability of a Taliban-controlled Afghanistan as well as the future of the al-Qaeda framework.
Aug 16, 2022
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Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Looking for Legitimacy: Taliban Diplomacy Since the Fall of Kabul
The group’s international profile has risen substantially with help from China, Turkey, and other states, but Western leaders should curtail their engagement so long as Kabul keeps gaslighting them about its al-Qaeda ties.
Aug 15, 2022
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Kataib Aimmat al-Baqi
A Diyala-based militia that offered its services to Nouri al-Maliki on a leaked audiotape from July 2022.
Aug 15, 2022
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May Riad
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
The Rushdie Attack and Iran’s Deceptive “Fatwas”
Whether or not Tehran is proven to be involved, the incident holds significant implications for the regime's international diplomacy and terrorist activity—not to mention its claims about the applicability of Khamenei’s “nuclear fatwa.”
Aug 15, 2022
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating the Political Impasse Between Sadrists and the Coordination Framework
10 months after Iraqi elections, intra-Shia feuding between the Sadrist movement and the Coordination Framework has led to several public demonstrations but few viable solutions.
Aug 12, 2022
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Syrian IDPs of Tal Rifaat also Want to Go Home
The involvement of Turkish military forces in Northern Syria could allow thousands of Syrians to return to their homes after being forced out by the YPG, the SDF, and other entities for many years.
Aug 12, 2022
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Rena Netjes
Brief Analysis
Oman’s Economic Success Is Driven by Accountability as Much as Oil
By pushing the government to make more efficient use of higher hydrocarbon prices and a budget surplus of $2 billion, the sultan has helped reduce anxiety about the stability of the strategically positioned Gulf state.
Aug 11, 2022
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Foreign Policy: Facing a Crossroads
The ongoing war in Ukraine, with its recrystallization of allegiances, can provide Algeria the opportunity to return from a shift towards Russia and China back to a more balanced relationship with great powers.
Aug 9, 2022
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Vasilis Petropoulos
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Gaza Keep Up Their Precarious Dance
What the latest round of fighting against PIJ—and not, conspicuously, Hamas—means, and why it will probably happen again.
Aug 9, 2022
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
How to Engage with Tunisia’s New Constitutional Republic
Although anti-democratic measures continue to mount, now is not the time for cutting assistance, but rather for bolstering the country’s imperiled private sector, robust civil society, and compromised judiciary.
Aug 8, 2022
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Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
UN Forces in Lebanon Losing Ground in a Fast-Deteriorating Security Situation
Despite the troubling trends and escalatory incidents described in the latest UN report, the Security Council seems intent on maintaining a failed policy instead of taking urgent action to curb the growing threat of war.
Aug 5, 2022
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Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Armed with Paintbrushes: Kurdish Female Artists Fighting for Equality
Kurdish women use art as a powerful tool to represent what it means to be a Kurd, a woman, and a human being.
Aug 4, 2022
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Shilan Fuad Hussain
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Barzani's Failures on Freedom of Expression in Iraqi Kurdistan
The Kurdish Region of Iraq, rife with economic and security challenges, is witnessing increased censorship and suppression of free speech.
Aug 4, 2022
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Diary Marif
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Khazali Isolated Over International Zone Protests
The militia leader is being constrained by other members of the Iran-dominated Shia Coordination Framework regarding how to respond to Sadrist protests.
Aug 3, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Tribes and Saudi Influence in Northeastern Syria
Saudi Arabia has worked with Syrian tribes in the past to bolster their involvement in Northeastern Syria, but tribal frustrations with the SDF and shifting geopolitical realities are impacting this relationship.
Aug 2, 2022
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Ishtar Al Shami
Brief Analysis
What Zawahiri’s Death Means for al-Qaeda and Its Branches
Despite the potent symbolic benefits of taking out the infamous terrorist ideologue, his death is unlikely to affect the organization’s daily operations, which are increasingly being driven by dangerous affiliates in Africa.
Aug 2, 2022
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Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Two Coups—And How the U.S. Should Respond
Iran’s allies in Iraq mounted a judicial coup at the start of this year. Now, Muqtada al-Sadr is trying to place the system under his control through mob action. U.S.-led friends of Iraq should care about both these developments, not just the most recent one.
Aug 2, 2022
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Maliki Leaks: The Shadow Culture of Politics in Iraq
The Maliki audio leaks highlight the inherent fragility of Iraqi politicians while offering an insight into the dynastic politics of Iraq.
Aug 2, 2022
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Sardar Aziz
Brief Analysis
Iranian Drones to Russia: Capabilities and Limitations
Besides signaling that Iran has shifted to active military support for Russia’s war in Ukraine, the prospective transfer gives Moscow a stopgap option until its own advanced drones are ready for service.
Aug 1, 2022
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in Iraq’s Political Crisis: Guidelines for More Effective Engagement
Disengaging after last year’s election was a costly miscalculation, but Washington can still meet its goals in Iraq by diving into the fray and prioritizing the system over individual political preferences.
Aug 1, 2022
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Bilal Wahab
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