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Brief Analysis
Time to Develop a Plan B for Syria Aid
Although alternatives to the UN mechanism carry uncertainties of their own, continuing the broken status quo will only boost Moscow, endanger Syrian civilians, and help the Assad regime avoid sanctions—not to mention whetting his appetite for natural gas shipments.
Jul 14, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
Biden in the Middle East: Opportunities and Challenges
A panel of veteran diplomats and scholars from the Gulf, Israel, and Washington discuss the trip’s goals and risks, as well as the president’s chances for success.
Jul 14, 2022
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Tamar Hermann
Dennis Ross
Ebtesam al-Ketbi
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Biden Sees Oil as Key to His Visit, but Does Riyadh Agree?
The administration has signaled its intentions for the trip well in advance, but the realities of Saudi oil capacity and global energy forecasts should temper any U.S. expectations of a quick fix.
Jul 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
From Arabs and Israelis, Biden Hears Very Different “New” Middle Easts
The Gulf capitals and Jerusalem may not agree entirely on what “regional security cooperation” means or what an anti-Iran alliance should look like, but opportunities for other types of cooperation abound.
Jul 13, 2022
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Political Opposition in Iraq: Between Reform and Regime Change
Iraq’s model of opposition traditionally focuses on ideological frameworks and regime change at the expense of working within the political system to effect change.
Jul 11, 2022
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Abbas Abboud Salem
Brief Analysis
Prospects for an Iranian “July Surprise” During Biden’s Gulf Trip
Tehran may see the president’s attendance at the GCC+3 summit as a tempting opportunity to scuttle a U.S.-Gulf reset, perhaps by using a cyber or military provocation to humiliate the hosts and demonstrate America’s inability to protect them.
Jul 11, 2022
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Libya Could Make or Break Biden’s Middle East Oil Diplomacy
Increased Saudi production will mean little if Libyan production remains unreliable, so it's time to play hardball with Haftar.
Jul 10, 2022
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Biden-Abbas Meeting Is About Symbolism, Not Diplomatic Progress
The meeting itself is the objective, and the more uneventful it is, the more it will be deemed a success.
Jul 8, 2022
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
A Picture Could Paint a Thousand Words When Biden Meets MbS
Although political constraints in Washington, Jerusalem, and Riyadh could make substantive progress hard to come by, a few good photo ops may be all that's needed to deem the visit a success.
Jul 8, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Poll Reveals Moderate Trend Among East Jerusalem Palestinians
A new poll captures East Jerusalem attitudes towards Arab-Israeli rapprochement, involvement from other Arab countries, and the U.S. policy on the conflict.
Jul 8, 2022
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
What Biden and Lapid Have in Common
Their political temperaments and policy priorities are a good match, but this chemistry does not guarantee progress on Iranian and Palestinian issues during an election year.
Jul 8, 2022
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Vladimir Putin at Home
Unless the West can prod the Russian people to fundamentally reexamine their core beliefs, any notion that they will take matters into their own hands regarding Putin’s Ukraine war is just wishful thinking.
Summer 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Getting to an Israeli-Saudi Deal on Tiran and Sanafir
Efforts to reach an agreement during President Biden’s visit are laudable, but the administration must take care to ensure that any deal with Riyadh preserves the crucial regional security arrangements enshrined in the Egypt-Israel peace treaty.
Jul 7, 2022
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David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Don’t Look Down: The Struggle Over Lebanon’s Airspace
To avoid past mistakes and counter the most potent threat on its borders, Israel requires an accurate intelligence picture in Lebanon, but Iran and Hezbollah risk destabilizing the situation by chipping away at the IDF’s air superiority.
Jul 7, 2022
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
The United States Needs a Better Strategy to Deter Iran
A “more for more” agreement might be possible, but only if Iranian leaders are genuinely afraid of what they could lose without one.
Jul 6, 2022
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Countering Iran's Regional Strategy (Hebrew)
A Long-Term, Comprehensive Approach
A Hebrew version of the IDF major general's strategy paper, co-published by The Washington Institute and the Institute for Policy and Strategy at Israel's Reichman University.
Jul 5, 2022
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Eyal Zamir
Articles & Testimony
Why Is It So Difficult to Get Off a Terrorist List?
Strategic priorities, political factors, and institutional inertia make it hard to remove a group from government lists even if it no longer meets the designation criteria, potentially hog-tying U.S. policymakers.
Jul 3, 2022
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
TWI Interactive Polling Platform
Interactive datasets, from 2014 to today
Jun 30, 2022
Articles & Testimony
Israel Hoping for Shift in US Iran Policy from Diplomacy to Deterrence
A veteran Israeli security and intelligence official explains why the Biden administration must reinvigorate oil sanctions and demonstrate a commitment to act militarily.
Jun 30, 2022
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Zohar Palti
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Revolution Will Be Televised in Arabic:
Iran's Media Infrastructure Abroad
An umbrella entity, the Islamic Radio and Television Union, encompasses more than two hundred media groups stretching from Oman to East Africa.
Jun 30, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
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