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Brief Analysis
Khamenei Breaks His Silence on the Nuclear Negotiations
After months of publicly ignoring the issue, the Supreme Leader reminded negotiators to follow his guidelines but refrained from explicitly supporting or rejecting the state of play in Vienna.
Feb 17, 2022
◆
Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
The Third Age of Erdogan’s Foreign Policy
Turkey has been forced to adopt a new approach abroad, presenting a valuable opportunity that the United States and Europe need to seize quickly.
Feb 17, 2022
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Rich Outzen
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iranian Militias Have Swallowed Deir Ezzor
The Syrian governorate of Deir Ezzor is currently a heavily militarized area, where militias and armed forces patrol and pursue their varied interests at the expense of local civilians.
Feb 16, 2022
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Omar Abu Layla
Articles & Testimony
As China Thrives in the Post-9/11 Middle East, the US Must Counter
The West needs to radically alter its strategy for competing with Beijing in the region, particularly when it comes to economic stimulation, allied security blocs, and human rights.
Feb 16, 2022
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Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
The Ukraine Crisis Isn’t Over: Russia Has Lied About Troop Withdrawals Before
In Afghanistan, Syria, and other conflict zones, Moscow has made a habit of obfuscating its intentions and actions via fake withdrawal announcements.
Feb 16, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Prepare for Russian Tanks to Crawl into Ukraine—and Cut Europe’s Energy
Although the immediate military horizon remains blurry, the longer-term energy crunch may be survivable, albeit painful.
Feb 15, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How to Make Russia Pay in Ukraine: Study Syria
Washington needs to show Putin that this will not be the limited intervention he was able to get away with in Syria, but rather a catalyst for dramatic NATO entrenchment and strategic setbacks.
Feb 15, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Unpacking the UAE F-35 Negotiations
In what has become a major test of America’s shift to great power competition, Washington must weigh its desire to maintain a close security partnership with the UAE against Abu Dhabi’s growing ties with China.
Feb 15, 2022
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Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Khaybar
With probable links to Kataib Hezbollah, this minor facade group claimed a major rocket attack on al-Asad Air Base, but mainly limits itself to claimed bombings against U.S. supply convoys.
Feb 15, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Facing Syria’s Food Crisis
In 1974, the UN defined food security as “availability at all times of adequate . . . food supplies.” According to this definition, Syria is facing a major crisis in food insecurity, while the standard of living continues to decline in the face of ongoing conflict.
Feb 14, 2022
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Ishtar Al Shami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The UAE Formally Ceases to be a Tax-Free Haven
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) recently announced a 9% corporate tax on businesses set to begin in June 2023. The corporate tax is the latest alteration to the country’s former lack of taxation, after having first introduced a 5% value added tax (VAT) in 2018.
Feb 14, 2022
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Sana Quadri
Hamdullah Baycar
Brief Analysis
Libya’s Renewed Legitimacy Crisis
Washington and Europe need to clearly signal that they will not endorse any new governing arrangements until all local actors peacefully adhere to a negotiated political roadmap.
Feb 14, 2022
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Bennett’s Bahrain Visit Further Invigorates Israel-Gulf Diplomacy
The trip reflects the diplomatic competition between Manama and Abu Dhabi, and also suggests that a breakthrough with the Saudis could be close.
Feb 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Adjusts Its History, Diminishing the Role of Wahhabism
The first celebration of Founding Day, on February 22, could be accompanied by other changes.
Feb 11, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Takes Next Steps on Rocket Technology
Solid-propellant motors represent the future for the Islamic Republic, promising much longer ranges and orbit reach for its space and ballistic missile programs.
Feb 11, 2022
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Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
An Arab Leader in Israel: A Conversation with Mansour Abbas
The head of the first Arab party to join an Israeli governing coalition answers questions about the country’s domestic and foreign policies, including its approach to Palestinian issues and diplomacy with Arab states.
Feb 10, 2022
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Mansour Abbas
David Makovsky
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Middle East at the Olympics: Six Countries Compete While Great Power Politics on Display
Because regional leaders are treating the games as another stage for balancing historic partnerships with current economic and security interests, Washington should keep drawing clear lines regarding their ties with Beijing.
Feb 9, 2022
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Carol Silber
Audio
Articles & Testimony
Podcast: Breaking Hezbollah's Golden Rule
Season 1
Listen to a podcast series shining a bright light on the global terrorist and criminal activities that Lebanese Hezbollah would rather keep hidden from view.
February-March 2022
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Al-Ahd Satellite Television
A closer look at the "resistance" television channel owned and operated by U.S.-designated terrorist movement Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
Feb 9, 2022
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Challenges to Taliban Rule and Potential Impacts for the Region
Internal and external factors are weakening the Taliban, making the group's long term stability increasingly unlikely.
Feb 9, 2022
◆
Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
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