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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Gateway to Change or New Conflicts: Iraq’s 2021 Elections
Iraqis are preparing to participate in the country’s most important elections since the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime in 2003. As all parties prepare for the ballot, interviews with those who choose to participate and those boycotting it emphasize what’s at stake.
Oct 7, 2021
◆
Ali Al-Mikdam
Brief Analysis
Elections Without Democracy in Iraq?
The often-hazardous two-year struggle that led to this vote has left many of the youth movement’s most ardent supporters disillusioned with the electoral process entirely, so Washington will have to narrow its focus.
Oct 6, 2021
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Bilal Wahab
Calvin Wilder
Articles & Testimony
High Prices, Winter Shortages Delay Arrival of Post-Fossil Fuel World
The long timeframes and commercial calculations involved in such a transition have left Washington and other capitals more reliant on OPEC+ decisionmaking than they would like.
Oct 6, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Holy Shrine Units’ Announcement Will Change the Rules of the Game in Iraq
Sistani’s call for Iraqis to participate in the elections along with a recent announcement about the formation of the Holy Shrine Units as independent entities from the PMF are likely to have a major impact on the Iraqi political and social scene.
Oct 5, 2021
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Munqith Dagher
In-Depth Reports
Washington and the Next Arab Spring
Should protests grow more destabilizing, the United States will need to balance its values and interests regarding bilateral ties, the popular movement in question, broader regional dynamics, and competition with Russia or China.
Oct 3, 2021
◆
Sarah Feuer
David Schenker
◆
Reform, Protest, Change
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sabereen News Calls for Beheading of Iraqi Citizens
After the Erbil conference, which called for normalizing ties between Iraq and Israel, the largest resistance social media organ called for beheadings and then tried to cover its tracks.
Oct 3, 2021
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Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Think Regionally: A US Role for Deepening the Abraham Accords
Washington should look to economic forums in other regions as a model for establishing regular cooperation between Arab and Israeli officials, business leaders, academics, and civil society groups.
Oct 3, 2021
◆
David Makovsky
Josh Kram
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Hoquq Candidates: Kataib Hezbollah’s Aspiring Parliamentarians
Hoquq is competing head-to-head with other "resistance" factions in key Shia constituencies, especially Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
Sep 30, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
A Pro-Israel Summit in Erbil Breaks New Ground
At great personal risk, Iraqi civil society leaders gathered to demand entry into the Abraham Accords, and their efforts need more American support.
Sep 30, 2021
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Qatar’s Council Election Has Gulf-Wide Implications
The long-delayed poll will be watched carefully by the country’s neighbors, though the sundry restrictions on voters and council members may limit its near-term policy impact.
Sep 30, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Affirming U.S. Commitments Abroad: The View from Syria’s Democratic Council
The head of the council joins two Washington Institute experts for a far-ranging conversation on the U.S. role in the northeast, Kurdish threat perceptions, the effect of the Afghanistan withdrawal, and more.
Sep 29, 2021
◆
Elham Ahmad
Andrew J. Tabler
David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating the Ongoing Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Negotiations
The U.S. should take a stronger position on the ongoing GERD talks to prevent armed conflict, stabilize American interests and support Sudanese democracy.
Sep 29, 2021
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Mohamed Maher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hurdles for the Iraqi Parliamentary Election
Uncontrolled weapons are the most prominent barrier to the electoral process, along with insufficient international observation to ensure free and transparent elections.
Sep 29, 2021
◆
Jasem Alshamary
Articles & Testimony
The Assad Regime’s Business Model for Supporting the Islamic State
The international community stepped up to the ISIS challenge but has failed miserably to address the multifaceted problems presented by Assad, whose regime has worked with the terrorist group on and off for years.
Sep 26, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Cairo Acts on Its Fears of Radicalization After Afghanistan
The recent saga surrounding the implications of American withdrawal from Afghanistan has not gone unnoticed in Cairo. Egyptian policy circles believe it has opened the door for Islamist and extremist groups to gain momentum across the region, and regime messaging is framing the situation accordingly.
Sep 24, 2021
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Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Beware What You Wish For. Moscow’s Joy over U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan May Be Premature
The coming violence could spill over into Russia, perhaps emboldening terrorist groups to recruit radicalized Muslims there.
Sep 24, 2021
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Fearing the Aftermath of the Elections: Will the Powder Keg in Iraq Ignite?
Recent polling shows that a majority of Iraqis anticipate that elections will lead to increased security and political problems as militias and dominant factors are expected to maintain control.
Sep 22, 2021
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Munqith Dagher
Articles & Testimony
Transatlantic Cooperation on Countering Global Violent Extremism
Reinvesting in civilian capabilities, sharing the burden with other actors, and assessing the widening ideological scope of the extremist threat will be central to any effective program of action.
Sep 22, 2021
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Tweet Signals Major Upgrade in Relations Between U.S. Gulf Allies
Yet the photo of an informal meeting among the Saudi, Qatari, and UAE leaders also suggests their uncertainty about American support.
Sep 20, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Audio
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Grip on Lebanon Is Weakening. Here’s How Washington Can Help.
Instead of continuing to work with corrupt Lebanese state institutions, the United States should pursue opportunities with the business community and civil society, whose members are eager to separate themselves from the group.
Sep 20, 2021
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
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