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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 1: Protesting the Election
In the wake of their failed election campaigns and other recent setbacks, militias sought to deepen their claims of victimhood and politically damage Prime Minister Kadhimi with protests.
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 2: Drone Attack on the Prime Minister
Militias followed up Qais al-Khazali's threats against Kadhimi by attacking his residence, shattering the narrative of victimhood they had been building through protests.
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Raisi and the Continued Export of Revolution to Syria
The recent targeting of the al-Tanf base in Syria, where U.S. forces are stationed, highlights the ways in which the Iranian presence in Syria is becoming increasingly bold in line with the foreign policy goals of Iran’s new president.
۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Omar Abu Layla
Articles & Testimony
Why a Political Comeback for Israel’s Netanyahu Just Became a Lot Less Likely
By passing a budget, avoiding fatal polarization, and toning down the rhetoric (if not the military pressure) on Iran, the young coalition government may have marginalized the former leader for the long term.
۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Top Agenda Items for the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue
In addition to continuing the discussion of withheld U.S. funding, Secretary Blinken’s team should focus on steering Cairo toward productive steps in Ethiopia, Sudan, Libya, Lebanon, and Syria.
۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkish Diplomacy by the Numbers: A Decade of Trends
Turkey has maintained strong dialogue with NATO and EU countries despite increasing differences regarding foreign policy matters. Meanwhile, Turkey’s intensifying relations with authoritarian states is one of the striking trends between 2010 and 2020.
۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Hasim Tekines
In-Depth Reports
A Blurred Line Between Civil Society and Terrorism
Examining Charges of NGOs Funding the PFLP
The Israeli evidence could reveal a troubling reality wherein groups publicly defend the human rights of some people while supporting acts of terrorism targeting others.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ahd Allah Movement: Another Iranian Proxy
As Gulf countries pursue dialogue with Iran, they must realize the threats posed by Iranian-backed Iraqi militias – both to Iraq itself, and to wider regional stability.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Twaseef Almogbal
In-Depth Reports
Putin's War in Syria
Russian Foreign Policy and the Price of America's Absence
The Russian leader defied expectations of a quixotic, costly outcome for his country’s 2015 intervention in Syria. As it actually played out, explains Anna Borshchevskaya in her recently published book, Russia leveraged the conflict and U.S. inaction to position itself as a leading power in the Middle East.
November 4, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After Al-Burhan’s Seizure of Power, Where Is Sudan’s Democratic Transition Heading?
With Al-Burhan’s coup sparking an international and popular backlash, the military may again look to Hamdok to renegotiate a power-sharing agreement.
۳ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Areej Elhag
تحلیل کوتاه
در میانه درگیریهای بیروت باید از قضات لبنانی محافظت شود
پیشاپیش انتخابات پارلمانی سال آینده لبنان، جامعه بینالملل میتواند با حفاظت از قاضی بیطار به تقویت فضای کوچک ولی مهمی کمک کند که او، در میان نهادهای دستوپاگیر و تحت تسلط حزبالله، معرف آن است.
۳ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
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حنین غدار
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Rocket Attacks on the Iraqi National Intelligence Service
Such attacks are a specialized subset of violent militia actions, with the most recent incident likely undertaken by Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
۲ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Let China Distract Us from Russia
Putin has a long list of achievements in the Middle East and is not leaving the stage anytime soon, so Washington must respond to the hardnosed realism that drives him to undermine U.S. influence.
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Young MPs of the Tishreen Movement Face Off Against Establishment Parties
With a sizable number of independents in Iraq’s next parliament, young Iraqi MPs are hoping to push the Iraqi government to finally deliver on their protest demands from 2019.
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Azhar Al-Rubaie
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s F-16 Request May Not Stave Off the Inevitable
Washington and Ankara have significant diplomatic and security incentives for considering the deal, while rejecting it outright would likely hasten Erdogan’s drift into Putin’s orbit.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Grant Rumley
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Rise of the Taliban and Iran’s Critical Problem in Afghanistan
Facing a Taliban-controlled Afghanistan, Iran is likely to pursue pragmatism based on mutual interests and forgo escalation, even in the face of growing terrorist threats.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Firas Elias
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Interpreting the Reemergence of the Allies of Syria Operations Room
The recent attack on al-Tanf base and the identity of the Iraqi factions that reportedly helped carry it out indicate Iran's plans to establish a new "deterrence equation" in Syria.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Reflections on Iraq’s October Elections: The Good, the Bad, and the Still Unknown
While Iraq’s new electoral law did have some successes, the reforms it attempted to achieve will only be able to come to fruition if the Iraqi electorate is convinced that elections can make a tangible difference in their lives.
۲۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Sardar Aziz
Brief Analysis
The Muslim Brotherhood Sees Cairo’s Flirtation with Biden as an Opportunity
Many Brotherhood members seem eager to exploit recent U.S.-Egyptian gestures on human rights, but there is little likelihood that the Sisi government will reconcile with the fractured, unpopular Islamist group.
۲۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
In Sudan, the Masks Come Off After a Military Coup
After months of nebulous plotting, the domestic and foreign actors who drove opposition to Hamdok’s reformist government will become more discernible as the generals look for ways to solidify their hold on power.
۲۶ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
Alberto Fernandez
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