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All Policy Analysis by David Schenker
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Brief Analysis
Saddam and the Economic Lever:
Whither Sanctions?
A UN approved Jordanian "humanitarian" flight into Baghdad today punctuates a month of air travel to Iraq unprecedented since 1991. The flight, following similar flights in recent weeks by France and Russia, is significant as Jordan is a key U.S. ally and a recipient of substantial U.S. foreign assistance. The
Sep 27, 2000
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Statehood, Final Status, and the Future Role of the PLO:
Will the Conflict End with Independence?
Last Sunday, the world breathed a sigh of relief as the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) Central Council voted to postpone a declaration of statehood until at least November 15, 2000. Less noticed, however, has been the internal battle over what is perhaps the second most important political issue on the
Sep 12, 2000
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Is a Jerusalem Deal Enough for Peace?
Last week's headlines had the Israeli-Palestinian summit stalled over the issue of Jerusalem. But another intractable subject is as likely to prevent a deal at Camp David from bringing a lasting peace: the Palestinian "right of return." This refers to the demand that some three million Palestinians--refugees who left Israel
Jul 24, 2000
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Back to the Palestinian Track:
Prospects for the Clinton-Arafat Meeting
Palestinian Authority (PA) president Yasir Arafat meets President Bill Clinton today strengthened by the death of Syria’s Hafiz al-Asad, whose funeral Arafat attended Tuesday. An Arafat buoyed and more confident by the death of his longtime nemesis adds a new wrinkle to an already complex game of brinkmanship that constitutes
Jun 15, 2000
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David Schenker
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
East vs. West:
King Abdullah and the Future of Jordan's Economic Orientation
Tonight, Jordan's King Abdullah arrives in Washington for a two-day visit that will include discussions with President Bill Clinton and appointments with chief executive officers of top U.S. technology firms. In a departure from the usual emphasis with the peace process, this visit will focus on Jordanian domestic issues, specifically
Jun 5, 2000
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Democracy and the Peace Process:
One Year after May 4, 1999
As Palestinian and Israeli negotiators settle into a negotiating routine in Eilat this week, the peace process quietly marks an anniversary of sorts--one year ago the Oslo-Wye diplomacy faced the threat of a unilateral Palestinian declaration of independence. That step was temporarily averted when Palestinian Authority (PA) ra'is Arafat postponed
May 3, 2000
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The State Department's 1999 Terrorism Report:
Issues to Watch
On April 29, the U.S. Department of State will issue Patterns of Global Terrorism 1999, its comprehensive annual survey describing events, trends, and developments in international terrorism during 1999. Because it is based on open source material already available to the informed public, the significance of the report lies more
Apr 26, 2000
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Democracy and the Palestinian Authority:
Is Good Governance Essential for Peace?
On January 27, 2000, David Schenker, a research fellow at The Washington Institute and author of Palestinian Democracy and Governance: An Appraisal of the Legislative Council, and Khalil Shikaki, of the Center for Palestine Research and Studies (CPRS) and editor of al-Siyasa al-Filastiniyya (Quarterly Journal of Palestine Policy), addressed the
Feb 4, 2000
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Removing Syria from the List of State Sponsors of Terrorism:
Between Peace and Counterterrorism
With Syrian-Israeli peace talks underway in Shepherdstown, W.Va., media attention has focused on the shape of a possible peace agreement and the potential for U.S. financial assistance to the parties. Virtually no attention, however, has been paid to the principal legal obstacle in the way of U.S. aid to one
Jan 5, 2000
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David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Palestinian Democracy and Governance:
An Appraisal of the Legislative Council
Jan 1, 2000
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Arafat and His Critics:
U.S. Policy between Peace and Democracy in the Palestinian Authority
On December 1, Mu'awyeh Al-Masri, a Palestinian legislator from Nablus, was shot in the leg by a group of masked men in broad daylight. This mafia-style "kneecapping" was the culmination of several days of arrests and protests in the Palestinian Authority (PA) which followed the distribution of a leaflet accusing
Dec 3, 1999
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David Schenker
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Developments within the Palestinian Opposition:
Secular and Islamist Groups, the PLO, and 'National Dialogue'
Yesterday, Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat met with Nayef Hawatmeh, leader of the Syria-based Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine (DFLP). The meeting, which took place in Cairo, was the first between the estranged leaders in six years. Hawatmeh has been a waning force in Palestinian politics for
Aug 23, 1999
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Islamists and the State:
Developments in Jordan and the Palestinian Authority
As Yasir Arafat seeks to unify secular Palestinian groups in advance of expected "final-status" talks--highlighted by his meeting this week in Cairo with representatives of George Habash's Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP)--important developments are also underway among Islamists. The main drama is being acted out in Jordan
Aug 4, 1999
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Barak-Clinton:
Early Issues on the Palestinian Track
President Bill Clinton and Prime Minister Ehud Barak have vowed to recreate the personal partnership and strategic coordination that characterized the late Yitzhak Rabin's term of office. On the Palestinian track, however, much has happened since 1996 to change the nature of the Oslo process. New agreements -- over Hebron
Jul 13, 1999
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Robert Satloff
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Judiciary and Executions in the Palestinian Authority
On March 10, the Palestinian judicial system sentenced yet another security official to death -- the fourth such sentence in the past six months. That was an ironic way to end a week of festivities celebrating Palestinian democratic achievements, which had been kicked off by the Palestinian Authority's (PA) first
Mar 12, 1999
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Rise of Bashar al-Asad
March 8, 1999, marks the thirty-sixth anniversary of the Syrian "revolution" -- the coup d'etat that installed the Ba'th Party as the preeminent force in Syrian politics. This anniversary comes just one month after Syrian president Hafiz al-Asad was re-elected to his fifth seven-year term of office, which will end
Mar 5, 1999
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Inside the Palestinian Authority:
Struggle between Arafat and the Legislative Council
With media attention focused on the fractious nature of Israeli politics in advance of Israel's May elections, little attention is paid to the fractious nature of Palestinians politics, which could also witness a governmental overhaul in May. Whether or not the fateful date of May 4 passes with a Palestinian
Jan 15, 1999
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Arafat vs. the "Terrorist Infrastructure':
A Status Report
As President Clinton prepares to depart later this week for Gaza to deliver an unprecedented address before members of the Palestine National Council, the looming issues of Palestinian Authority (PA) compliance and implementation of the security provisions detailed in the Wye River Memorandum have once again become the focus of
Dec 10, 1998
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Jordan, 'Final Status Talks,' and Regional Challenges
When Israeli Foreign Minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian chief negotiator Mahmud Abbas met to discuss final status negotiations this week, one key player was absent: Jordan. But if the Jordanians' role was essential to bring the Wye River talks to closure, their participation in reaching a solution to the more
Nov 20, 1998
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Bin Ladin and the Problem of State-Supported Terrorism
Today's meeting between Taliban representatives and U.S. officials to discuss the extradition of Osama Bin Ladin highlights the centrality of state-sponsorship and official safe-haven extended to the Saudi terrorist and his organization. In September and early October, the U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, unsealed two documents in
Oct 21, 1998
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David Schenker
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