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All Policy Analysis by Michael Eisenstadt
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Brief Analysis
'How This Ends':
Iraq's Uncertain Path toward National Reconciliation
During Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki's visit to Washington next week, the Obama administration will likely seek to reinvigorate that country's flagging reconciliation process as part of ongoing efforts to establish a stable political order in Iraq. Progress, however, continues to be hindered by ongoing violence, deep-seated suspicions, and partisan
Jul 17, 2009
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Michael Eisenstadt
Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
The Security Forces of the Islamic Republic and the Fate of the Opposition
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's Friday sermon, which called for an end to mass protests contesting the outcome of last week's presidential elections and which carried an implicit threat of "bloodshed and chaos" if they continued, has raised the stakes in the ongoing standoff between the government and opposition in Iran. The
Jun 19, 2009
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Populism, Authoritarianism, and National Security in al-Maliki's Iraq
An April 26 U.S. raid targeting a Jaish al-Mahdi (JAM) financier in the Iraqi city of Kut, which inadvertently killed a civilian and a policeman, may mark the first of a series of tests for the Security Agreement between the United States and the Iraqi government. Iraqi prime minister Nouri
May 12, 2009
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Why the Next U.S. President Will Be a Wartime Leader
The next U.S. president will be a wartime president. Developments in the Middle East almost ensure that either John McCain or Barack Obama will have to manage one or more wars involving the United States or its allies in the region. The challenges posed by the Middle East are legion
Nov 3, 2008
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Thinking about Preventative Military Action against Iran
On June 20, 2008, Michael Eisenstadt and Patrick Clawson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Eisenstadt is a senior fellow and director of the Institute's Military and Security Studies Program, and Dr. Clawson is deputy director of research at the Institute. The two recently coauthored The Last
Jul 1, 2008
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Jun 20, 2008
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
The Last Resort: Consequences of Preventive Military Action against Iran
Accepted wisdom suggests that preventive military action against Iran's nuclear program would entail significant risks and uncertain prospects of success. Much of the public debate surrounding these risks and uncertainties has focused on strictly military-technical considerations. Although important, these issues do not address the key political and contextual questions underlying
Jun 12, 2008
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Mar 16, 2008
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Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
The Palestinians:
Between State Failure and Civil War
Despite functioning as a de facto state since its creation in 1994, the Palestinian Authority has long been crippled by "the four Fs": fawda (chaos), fitna (strife), falatan (lawlessness), and fassad (corruption). These conditions -- the hallmarks of state failure -- continue to define life in the PA-controlled West Bank
Dec 20, 2007
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Syria's Strategic Weapons Programs
The September 6 Israeli airstrike in northeastern Syria has produced intense speculation. According to the New York Times, Israeli intelligence believes the target was part of a clandestine Syrian nuclear weapons program aided by North Korea. This raises broader questions about the status of Syria's strategic weapons programs, which would
Sep 20, 2007
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Petraeus-Crocker Report:
An Assessment
A series of congressional hearings and media interviews by Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker this week offered insights into the U.S. strategy in Iraq, and several yardsticks by which future progress there may be evaluated. Encouraging Numbers In his testimony to Congress, General Petraeus stated that "the military
Sep 13, 2007
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Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Deterring the Ayatollahs:
Complications in Applying Cold War Strategy to Iran
AGENDA: IRAN A new series addressing the most difficult but vital questions for U.S. policymakers confronting the Iranian nuclear challenge. FORTHCOMING 2007 TITLES * Salvation by Aggression? Apocalyptic Visions and Iran's Security Policy By Mehdi Khalaji * The Last Resort: Potential Iranian Responses to Preventive Military Action By Patrick Clawson
Jul 31, 2007
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Deterrence and Prevention as Strategic Concepts
On May 11, 2007, Charles Hill, Kurt Campbell, and Michael Eisenstadt addressed The Washington Institute's Soref Symposium. Mr. Hill is a diplomat-in-residence at Yale University. Dr. Campbell is cofounder and chief executive officer of the Center for a New American Security. Mr. Eisenstadt is a senior fellow and director of
May 11, 2007
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Surge in Iraq:
An Early Assessment
On April 26, 2007, Jeffrey White, Andrew Exum, and Michael Eisenstadt addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Mr. White is the Institute's Berrie defense fellow and coauthor, with Mr. Eisenstadt, of the Institute Policy Focus Assessing Iraq's Sunni Arab Insurgency. Mr. Exum, a Soref fellow at the Institute, served
May 7, 2007
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Jeffrey White
Andrew Exum
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Dec 10, 2006
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Dec 5, 2006
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Engaging the Neighbors:
Key to Resolving the War in Iraq?
According to press reports, one of the principal policy recommendations of the congressionally mandated Iraq Study Group will be that Washington should engage Iraq’s neighbors—particularly Syria and Iran—in its efforts to staunch the ongoing violence in Iraq. However, both historical precedent and current conditions on the ground in Iraq suggest
Dec 4, 2006
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Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Forcing Hard Choices on Tehran:
Raising the Costs of Iran's Nuclear Program
Despite U.S. efforts to forge a multinational coalition aimed at curbing the Iranian nuclear program, questions have arisen about the effectiveness of this approach. For example, has Iran converted discussions on the issue into a stalling tactic while it continues to make progress in its nuclear program? Can any international
Nov 17, 2006
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iran: The Complex Calculus of Preventive Military Action
Faltering diplomacy to suspend Iran's nuclear program -- highlighted by French president Jacques Chirac's September 18, 2006, call to temporarily suspend the threat of United Nations sanctions on Iran -- has revived speculation that the United States might undertake preventive action to thwart Iran's nuclear ambitions. U.S. policymakers considering prevention
Sep 25, 2006
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Making the Lebanon Ceasefire Work:
Security Requirements and Implications for an International Force
On August 23, 2006, Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Daniel Christman, Emile El-Hokayem, and Michael Eisenstadt addressed The Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum. General Christman is senior vice president for international affairs at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and previously served as assistant to the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
Aug 30, 2006
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Michael Eisenstadt
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