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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Articles & Testimony
Allied Forces
With the U.S. having transferred sovereignty to Iraqis earlier this week, the Kurds find themselves in a more precarious position than at any time in the last year. On June 8, the U.N. Security Council accepted a new resolution dictating the guidelines for post-U.S. Iraq. The resolution did not mention
Jun 30, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The PKK's New Offensive:
Implications for Turkey, Iraqi Kurds, and the United States
On June 1, 2004, the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) -- an organization that appears on the State Department's list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations and whose attacks caused more than 30,000 deaths in Turkey during the 1980s and 1990s -- declared that it had rescinded its unilateral "ceasefire" of February 2000
Jun 25, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Istanbul NATO Summit:
Bridging Brussels and Baghdad?
Will the Transatlantic Split Be Mended? NATO's Istanbul summit, to be held on June 28-29, will be historic, marking the first such meeting in which the organization's seven new Eastern European members will participate. In fact, with these additions, NATO now borders Russia. Despite the organization's enlargement, however, a transatlantic
Jun 23, 2004
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Philip Gordon
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
UN Plan Fails in Cyprus:
Implications for Turkey, the European Union, and the United States
On April 24, Greek and Turkish citizens of Cyprus voted on UN Secretary General Kofi Annan's plan to resolve the long-standing dispute on the island. The elusive Cyprus issue once again evaded solution: although 65 percent of the Turkish Cypriots voted to accept the Annan plan, 76 percent of Greek
Apr 29, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Split Shift
It's not often that William Safire and Al Jazeera agree but, in the last week, both have drawn explicit comparisons between the anti-Western anger rolling through central and southern Iraq and the relative calm of the Kurdish north. In Iraqi Kurdistan, Safire wrote Wednesday, "we can see success: Rival Kurdish
Apr 9, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
NATO's Transformative Powers
The year 2004 will go down in the annals of history as the year when NATO met the Greater Middle East. In the Istanbul summit on June 28-29, NATO is planning to admit seven Eastern European countries, thereby extending its borders to the Caucasus and the Middle East. Over the
Apr 2, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Local Elections in Turkey:
A Landslide Victory for the Incumbent AKP
On March 28, 2004, Turks voted in nationwide municipal elections for the mayors of more than 3,000 cities and towns, as well as administrative council members for all eighty-one Turkish provinces. Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) won an overwhelming victory, increasing its national standing. With 41.8 percent of
Apr 1, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Local Elections in Turkey:
A Justice and Development Party Landslide?
On March 28, Turks will go to the polls in nationwide local elections to vote for mayors and more than 90,000 council seats in 3,184 towns and cities. The outcome of these elections will not change the composition of Turkey's current Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, which came to
Mar 25, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Problem within Islam
American efforts towards a democratic Iraq seem to have created some strange bedfellows in the Middle East. The Sunnis of the region -- from Baathist loyalists in Iraq and hardcore Wahhabi zealots in Saudi Arabia to secular-minded elites in Amman, Cairo, and elsewhere -- are now united around a common
Mar 1, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Eyewitness Perspectives Assessing Progress in Iraq (Part II):
Politics, Transition, and the Kurds
On February 9, 2004, Patrick Clawson, Soner Cagaptay, Jeffrey White, and Jonathan Schanzer addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. All four were part of the Institute fact-finding delegation tasked with conducting an independent survey of local security conditions and emerging political currents in Iraq. The delegation traveled throughout Iraq
Feb 12, 2004
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Patrick Clawson
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A Turkish Rapprochement With Middle East Rogue States?
Turkish foreign minister Abdullah Gul will make an official visit to Tehran on January 10. This visit comes on the heels of a January 68 trip to Turkey by Syrian president Bashar al-Asad -- the first ever by a Syrian head of state -- during which Asad was showered with
Jan 9, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The War on Terror Arrives in Istanbul:
Implications for Turkey, Europe, and the United States
Last week's suicide bombings in Istanbul—the first pair on November 15 targeting two synagogues, and a second pair on November 20 targeting the city's British consulate and a high-rise building housing a British-owned bank—cost Turkey dearly, with 57 dead and more than 700 injured. Many of the victims were Turkish
Dec 3, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The United States and Turkey in 2004:
Time to Look North
While Turkey prepares for a make or break year with the European Union (EU), perhaps a not less important issue for Ankara is its relationship with Washington. Over the past year, the U.S.-Turkish relationship has undergone some serious challenges. Despite the positive developments of the past months, today Ankara and
Dec 1, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The War on Terror Arrives in Istanbul:
Implications for Turkey, Europe, and the United States
Last week's suicide bombings in Istanbul -- the first pair on November 15 targeting two synagogues, and a second pair on November 20 targeting the city's British consulate and a high-rise building housing a British-owned bank -- cost Turkey dearly, with 57 dead and more than 700 injured. Many of
Nov 24, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Terrorist Attacks in Turkey
The following is a transcript of the CNN program Insight, from an episode dedicated to the terrorist attacks carried out in Istanbul on November 15 and 20, 2003. Soner Cagaptay's remarks appear in the last portion of the transcript. JONATHAN MANN, CNN HOST: Istanbul again. Turkey suffers another double bombing
Nov 20, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Turkey's Future Direction and U.S.-Turkey Relations (Part I)
Testimony before the House International Relations Committee Mr. Chairman, thank you for giving me the chance to come here today and speak about Turkey and the future of U.S.-Turkish relations. It's an honor to have been invited to testify before this prestigious body. We have a number of issues to
Oct 1, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Turkey after the Iraq War:
Still a U.S. Ally?
Soner Cagaptay,The Washington Institute: A year ago, it would have been difficult to question Turkey's status as a staunch U.S. ally. Much has changed. The Iraq war was the biggest test for the U.S.-Turkey relationship since the end of the Cold War. It followed the election of a new Turkish
Sep 19, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Mark Parris
Articles & Testimony
French Peacekeepers
As Washington gets ready to approach the United Nations for international support in Iraq, France is poised to ask for a significant role in running the country, including the stationing of peacekeepers there. Although U.N. assistance would be a valuable contribution to U.S. efforts to create a new Iraq, it
Sep 16, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Time to Shut Down the PKK:
Why the United States and Turkey Should Work Together
A U.S. government team is in Ankara today for talks with members of the Turkish military and intelligence services regarding the future of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), an organization on the State Department's Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) list. On September 2, 2003, the PKK, whose past attacks have cost
Sep 12, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Turkish Military Cooperation in Iraq:
The Next Step
A surprising summit meeting yesterday in Ankara involving members of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, the Turkish General Staff, the Turkish Foreign Ministry, and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization produced an agreement "in principle" to send Turkish "peacekeeping soldiers" to Iraq. From one perspective, if Turkish troops were
Aug 13, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
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