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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
Turkey's Stakes in Iraq
Turkey's parliament will soon vote on whether to allow U.S. forces to use Turkish soil as a staging ground for a possible war with Iraq. Since Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz's trip to Ankara in early December 2002, Turkey and the United States have engaged in a protracted dialogue
Feb 28, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Mark Parris
Brief Analysis
Why Are the Turks Hesitating on Iraq?
On January 25, Secretary of State Colin Powell met Turkish prime minister Abdullah Gul and the chair of the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP), Tayyip Erdogan, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Powell's meeting -- which followed a January 19 visit to Turkey by General Richard Myers
Jan 27, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
U.S.-Turkish Relations and Iraq
Remarks made on the CNN program Insight. JONATHAN MANN, CNN ANCHOR: Talking Turkey. Washington tries to get a new and nervous government to take a big role against Iraq. What's a war going to be worth? Hello and welcome. Prominent Turks and Americans have been traveling this week in essentially
Jan 14, 2003
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Yes, the Turks Are Good Enough for Europe
Of the 13 candidate countries waiting to enter the European Union, 12 -- including Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Malta -- are expected to be promised membership at today's meeting in Copenhagen. Only Turkey is likely to be left out. Ankara has been told that its human rights record does not
Dec 13, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey and the European Union at a Crossroads:
America's Role
According to the Financial Times, France and Germany will propose to the December 12–13 European Union (EU) summit that negotiations regarding Turkey's accession to the EU begin in July 2005, providing Ankara achieves further progress in democratic consolidation and human rights. If indeed Turkey is offered a conditional date for
Dec 10, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The November 2002 Elections and Turkey's New Political Era
On November 3, 2002, the Turks went to the polls to elect their new government. The elections ushered in a major realignment of the Turkish political landscape, bringing the Justice and Development Party (AKP)--a party with an Islamist pedigree--to power. The AKP received 34.2 percent of the vote, winning 363
Dec 1, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Challenges for the Justice and Development Party Government in Turkey
The Turkish parliament will meet tomorrow for its first session since the elections of November 3, in which a party with an Islamist pedigree -- the conservative Justice and Development Party (AKP) -- secured a majority, winning 363 of 550 seats (the social-democratic Republican People's Party [CHP] is the only
Nov 13, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
AKP Victory in Turkey
The one-year-old pro-Islamist Justice and Development Party [AKP] won an unexpected landslide victory; probably changing the way the Turkish government will deal with its economic and political situation, and its relationships with Europe and the United States. VOA-TV’s David Borgida had a discussion with Soner Cagaptay, Soref Fellow and Coordinator
Nov 7, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey Goes to the Polls:
A Post-Mortem
On November 3, Turkey went to polls, and a party with an Islamist pedigree -- the Justice and Development Party (AKP) -- won a clear majority with 34 percent of the vote and 363 of the 550 seats in the parliament. The social-democratic Republican People's Party (CHP) was the only
Nov 7, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Mark Parris
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Will Find a Balance between Secularists and Islamists
The Justice and Development Party, or AKP, a party with roots in Islamist opposition, on Sunday won 363 of the 550 seats in the Turkish parliament. Predicting a potential failure of Turkish democracy, some analysts say the Turkish military will step in to take away this Islamist victory and preserve
Nov 5, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Must Address Turkey's War Fears
Turkey, though partners with the United States in the war on terror, is worried about the negative impact that unseating Saddam Hussein could have in the volatile Kurdish areas of northern Iraq. Washington must give a high priority to addressing this concern to ensure full Turkish participation in a coming
Nov 3, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Upcoming Turkish Elections:
Likely Winners and Implications for Foreign Policy
On November 3, the Turks will go to the polls to elect their new government. The elections could usher in a major realignment of the Turkish political landscape, perhaps bringing a party with Islamist pedigree -- the Justice and Development Party (AKP) -- to power. Should Washington worry about the
Oct 31, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Iraqi Kurds and Their Neighbors
To download an audio file of Victor Morales's interview with Soner Cagaptay, visit www.voanews.com/mediastore/nn_1023_Focus.ram
Oct 23, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Enhancing the Turkish-American Alliance:
The Campaign for Iraq and Other Possibilities
Assistant Secretary of State Elizabeth Jones was in Ankara Monday to discuss foreign policy issues including Iraq with her Turkish counterparts. Interestingly, Iraq's vice premier Tariq Aziz visited Ankara yesterday for the same purpose. These trips come at a crucial time as Washington prepares for a confrontation with Saddam Husayn
Oct 2, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
November Elections in Turkey:
Assessing the Ban on Justice and Development Party Leader Tayyip Erdogan
As the United States considers a possible military campaign in Iraq, Turkey is preoccupied with its upcoming elections. Although a party with roots in Islamism will be a major contender in the November 3 elections, it is unlikely that Turkey's approach to the Iraq issue will change much, regardless of
Sep 25, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Quest to Join the European Union:
Implications for American Policy
In two long sessions recently, the Turkish parliament adopted a historic reform package. Many view the legislation as a milestone for several reasons. First, it fully liberalizes the country's political system. Second, it lifts the few remaining limits on freedom of press, association, and expression. Third, it abolishes capital punishment
Aug 14, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
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