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All Policy Analysis by Jeffrey White
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In-Depth Reports
If War Comes:
Israel vs. Hizballah and Its Allies
The next war on Israel's northern border will bear little resemblance to the 2006 confrontation between the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and Hizballah in Lebanon. This conflict is likely to be broader and much more intense, certainly Israel's most serious since 1973, with the potential to transform the wider region
Sep 13, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Aug 14, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Military Implications of the Israel-Lebanon Border Incident
The August 3 border clash between the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has important military implications, demonstrating the readiness of the IDF to respond to any border incident and revealing the potential for the LAF and the Lebanese state to become directly and substantially involved
Aug 9, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Brushfire or Spark?
Incident on the Israel-Lebanon Border
Yesterday, Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) soldiers opened fire on an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) unit removing a tree near the border security fence. In the resulting fighting, a senior IDF officer, two Lebanese soldiers, and a Lebanese journalist were killed, making the clash the most intense military engagement in the
Aug 4, 2010
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David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
An Ambush at Sea:
Understanding the Gaza Flotilla Operation
Something has been lost in the heated discussion surrounding the Gaza "freedom flotilla" incident -- namely, an assessment of what actually happened before and during the Israeli operation. Dissecting the incident's serious consequences is important, as is debating alternative Israeli options or questions of international law. But responding intelligently to
Jun 7, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Fallout from the Gaza Flotilla Tragedy
The Gaza flotilla tragedy has given Hamas at least a short-term political boost while undercutting the sea blockade of Gaza, fitting well with the agenda of the flotilla's organizers, Turkey's Humanitarian Relief Fund. At the same time, the incident -- to the extent that the details are known -- has
Jun 1, 2010
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Matthew Levitt
David Makovsky
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Analyzing the New UN Sanctions Proposal on Iran
The May 18 draft resolution proposing additional sanctions to curb Iran's nuclear program is backed by all five permanent members of the UN Security Council. Although this unanimity is the proposal's principal strength, it comes at the cost of making the draft weaker in some sections than ideas discussed previously
May 20, 2010
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Singh
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
May 6, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Gaza Border Tensions:
A Drift toward War?
The March 26 clash between elements of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Golani Brigade and Palestinian operatives near the Gaza border was the most serious since the end of Operation Cast Lead in January 2009. The incident has exacerbated tensions -- already on the rise due to increased rocket attacks
Mar 30, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Resistance and Rockets:
Hamas Targeting of Israeli Civilians
Recently, Hamas has gone to extraordinary lengths to prove that it did not attack civilian targets in Israel during the December 2008 to January 2009 Gaza conflict. But a review of the organization's own media -- including the website of its military arm, the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades ( www.qassam.ps)
Feb 25, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Serious Play:
War Games Explore Options on Iran
What if Iran's hardline leadership emerges from the current confrontations at home strengthened and emboldened? If so, the nuclear issue will be back with a vengeance. And three recent war games focused on the Iranian nuclear weapons issue suggest that the prospects for halting the regime's progress toward nuclear weapons
Feb 4, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Hamas and Its Long-Range Rockets:
Military and Political Implications
This is the second of a two-part series examining recent military developments involving Hizballah and Hamas. PolicyWatch #1600 examined the implications of the recent intercept by the Israeli navy of a large Iranian arms cargo intended for Hizballah. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) recently monitored the launch of a 60-km-range
Nov 17, 2009
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Iran and Hizballah: Significance of the <em>Francop</em> Interception
PolicyWatch #1600 is the first of a two-part series examining recent military developments involving Hizballah and Hamas. The second part will focus on Hamas's acquisition of long-range (60 km/37.5 mile) artillery rockets. On November 3, 2009, Israeli naval forces intercepted an Antigua-flagged cargo ship approximately 100 miles off Israel's coast
Nov 12, 2009
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Jeffrey White
In-Depth Reports
Terrorists in the Middle East:
The Military Capabilities of Hizballah, Hamas, and al-Qaeda-Inspired Groups
Download the complete proceedings. On October 17, 2009, Daniel Byman, Matthew Levitt, and Jeffrey White addressed The Washington Institute's annual Weinberg Founders Conference. Daniel Byman is director of the Security Studies Program at the Center for Peace and Security Studies at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service, as well as
Oct 17, 2009
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Matthew Levitt
Jeffrey White
In-Depth Reports
Hamas in Combat:
The Military Performance of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement
Hamas has historically waged terror-based campaigns targeting both Israel and its Palestinian rivals, playing a spoiling role in peace negotiations between the two sides. However, much of the strength projected by Hamas is based on the military promise of the movement -- its capacity to employ force against its enemies
Oct 7, 2009
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Yoram Cohen
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Examining the Conduct of IDF Operations in Gaza
Critics have raised serious ethical questions about how the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) carried out Operation Cast Lead in the Gaza Strip. The IDF has been accused of war crimes ranging from launching an unjustified and aggressive war to wanton damage to civilian property. The Israeli government and the IDF
Mar 27, 2009
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Feb 15, 2009
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Jan 29, 2009
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Jan 15, 2009
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The IDF in Gaza:
Operational Concepts, Lines of Effort, and Effects
Almost three weeks into Operation Cast Lead, Israel clearly intends to compel Hamas to accept an end to its attacks on targets in southern Israel. If Hamas does not comply, Israel will destroy as much of Hamas's organizational capacity as possible, leaving the group in a significantly weakened position. To
Jan 14, 2009
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Jeffrey White
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