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All Policy Analysis by David Pollock
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Defying Stereotypes, New Poll Shows Gazans More Moderate than West Bankers
The latest survey conducted by the Palestine Center for Public Opinion, June 27-July 15, 2019, indisputably confirms this highly counter-intuitive finding from other recent polls: on many issues related to Israel, the two million Palestinians in Gaza actually voice significantly more moderate opinions than do the roughly equal Palestinian population
Aug 5, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Aug 3, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Palestinian Poll Reveals “Wait and See” View of Trump Peace Plan
A new poll by the Palestine Center for Public Opinion, taken June 27-July 19, indicates that the majority of Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza oppose their leaderships’ preemptive rejection of the Trump administration’s peace plan—despite widespread popular disapproval of the current U.S. president. The survey also shows a
Jul 27, 2019
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East and the U.S.-China 'Trade War'
The price of oil is often directly related to global economic prospects, so Washington’s tariff tiff with Beijing could hit regional states doubly hard.
Jun 19, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Comparing Arab Polls on Trump, U.S. Policy, Israel, Iran and More
Two signature Trump Administration initiatives dominate U.S. Mideast policy today: “maximum pressure” against Iran and pursuit of an Israeli-Palestinian peace “deal of the century.” In recent weeks, Washington has upped the ante on both. It has tightened oil sanctions against Iran and designated the entire Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps as
May 9, 2019
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David Pollock
Catherine Cleveland
Brief Analysis
After the Palestinians Reject Trump’s Peace Plan, Then What?
Rather than trying to punish the PA by supporting West Bank annexations or other draconian measures, Washington should simply press forward with other willing partners until Ramallah comes around.
Apr 18, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq's Kurds Weigh Their Options, Balancing the United States and Iran
A trip to Iraqi Kurdistan last week, my first since the abortive referendum on independence there in October 2017, revealed a political landscape at once utterly different and eerily familiar. In the former category is the new, widespread understanding—both among the leaders I met with and among their younger followers
Mar 20, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kuwaitis Dislike Trump, but Favor the United States over Iran Despite Sectarian Mix
Of all the Gulf monarchies, Kuwait’s actively elected parliament and opposition groups distinguish it as the one where public opinion matters most. A rare recent poll shows that much of the country’s public lines up with its government on many (though not all) key issues, despite the country’s mixed Sunni/Shia
Mar 5, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan’s Public Internally Focused, but Shares U.S. View on Iran and Regional Peace
Jordan was the first stop on U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s Mideast diplomatic tour last month, and it joined the American-led Warsaw conference on Mideast security last week. On both occasions, Jordanian and American officials publicly hailed their common stand against terrorism and against Iran’s interventions in the region
Feb 26, 2019
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David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
Are Regional Leaders in Sync with Public Opinion? The Israeli-Palestinian Case
Two renowned pollsters share their latest findings and debate what surveys can tell us about the current Arab-Israeli climate.
Feb 11, 2019
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Tamar Hermann
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Sending the Right Message in Cairo: Advice for Secretary Pompeo
All eyes will be on the secretary’s speech this week, so striking the right balance between President Trump’s domestic imperatives and the realities of regional policy is crucial.
Jan 7, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Soner Cagaptay
Simon Henderson
Martin Kramer
Matthew Levitt
David Pollock
Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
How the United States Can Still Keep Faith With Its Best Allies in Syria
Despite the heavy risks created by recent policy reversals, a well-managed transition can help preserve the major gains against the Islamic State while protecting America’s local partners.
Jan 3, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Very Cautious Arab Media Reactions to U.S. Syria Exit, Plus Mattis Exit
President Donald Trump’s sudden December 19 announcement via Twitter that the United States would withdraw its troops from Syria took much of the world by surprise. As both Western and regional analysts scramble to discern how this announcement will shape future developments, including the subsequent resignation of Defense Secretary James
Dec 21, 2018
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David Pollock
Catherine Cleveland
Mohamed Abdelaziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Privately Split on Key Issues, New Poll Reveals
Data from a rare public opinion poll conducted in the United Arab Emirates in November shows its citizens more divided than often assumed on a number of topical issues, both foreign and domestic. These issues include women’s rights, cooperation with Israel, and even the UAE’s close ties with the United
Dec 17, 2018
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Poll: Corruption a Major Concern, Divisions on Reforms and U.S. Ties
In the wake of the Khashoggi scandal, a rare new public opinion poll in Saudi Arabia shows wide popular concern about corruption and a number of other internal problems. At the same time, the survey data demonstrates only minority support for the official initiative of Islamic reform. Ironically, then, this
Dec 11, 2018
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In Egypt, One-Third Still Like the Muslim Brotherhood; Half Call U.S. Ties "Important"
New findings from a reliable Egyptian public opinion poll reveal very divided popular attitudes, both on the country’s domestic direction and about its outside partners. Yet Egyptians mostly agree with their government on several key foreign policy issues. A mere 12% want good relations with Iran; even fewer, just 5%
Dec 10, 2018
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Doubts About Hezbollah Emerge in Lebanon, Even Among Shia
The acute border tension this week between Israel and Hezbollah adds urgency to a closer look at the militia’s popular standing in Lebanon—especially in case of war. Fortunately, a reliable new Lebanese public opinion poll shows that some Shia are now voicing reservations about Hezbollah policies—even as Sunnis continue to
Dec 10, 2018
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
For a State, Palestinians Would Cede "Right of Return"—and More
Two surveys conducted by different Palestinian pollsters in October show unexpected popular flexibility on core issues of an eventual peace deal with Israel, despite widespread skepticism among Palestinians about current prospects. These findings suggest that American, Israeli, and Arab policymakers should all pay more attention to what the Palestinian people
Dec 3, 2018
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David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
New Data on Iraqi Political Trends:
Parsing the Regional Implications
Watch an in-depth conversation with Iraqi experts who share and assess surprising new polling results about Iraqi public opinion.
Nov 8, 2018
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Munqith Dagher
Ahmed Ali
David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Polls: West Bankers Oppose Both Armed Revolt and U.S. Talks
Two fresh public opinion polls taken in October paint a strikingly mixed picture of popular attitudes among the roughly 2.5 million Palestinians living in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. The biggest surprise is that on many peace process issues, these Palestinians voice a harder political line than do their
Nov 8, 2018
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David Pollock
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