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All Policy Analysis by Eric Trager
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Video
Brief Analysis
The Rise and Fall of Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood
How did the group rise to power so quickly after Mubarak's ouster in 2011 -- and then just as quickly lose public support and fall from power itself? Read or watch a conversation between leading experts on Egyptian politics.
Nov 8, 2016
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Eric Trager
Nancy Youssef
Michele Dunne
Articles & Testimony
A Familiar Pattern in Egypt's Spat with Saudi Arabia
Cairo has sought to placate Saudi and American officials while reaching out to their respective adversaries in Damascus and Moscow, but this balancing act may soon topple if Riyadh and Washington withhold crucial funding.
Oct 18, 2016
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Eric Trager
Multimedia
Middle East 2017: Challenges and Choices - Egypt with Eric Trager
Politics has become a life-or-death struggle for several of America's important partners in the Middle East, says Eric Trager, and their leaders increasingly perceive even mild U.S. encouragement on human rights issues as support for domestic enemies. The next president will face a decision about how to prioritize America's strategic
Oct 4, 2016
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Eric Trager
In-Depth Reports
Arab Fall:
How the Muslim Brotherhood Won and Lost Egypt in 891 Days
In Arab Fall, Eric Trager examines the Muslim Brotherhood's decisionmaking throughout the eventful period that commenced with the 2011 Arab Spring uprisings and ended with Mohamed Morsi's overthrow. He explains the Brotherhood's reason for joining the anti-Mubarak uprising, running for a majority of the seats in the 2011-12 parliamentary elections
Sep 26, 2016
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Eric Trager
In-Depth Reports
Egypt's Occasional Non-Islamist Reformists
This paper, the eighth in a series of essays exploring prospects for reform throughout the Middle East, explains the near absence of a political center within Egypt by examining the failure of non-Islamist reformists to assert themselves as a meaningful political force following Mubarak's overthrow.
Sep 19, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
How Egyptians' Conspiracy Theories About Clinton Explain Trump's Appeal to Them
Egyptians have welcomed news that the Democratic presidential candidate will meet with President Sisi, but rumors such as those linking Clinton to the Muslim Brotherhood are nevertheless likely to persist.
Sep 19, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Flow of Islamist Fighters From Egypt to Syria, and the Sisi Government's Crackdown
Recent reports and interviews highlight the various factors that may have driven hundreds of Muslim Brothers to Syria -- and the problems they face in returning home.
Sep 17, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Where Did They Go Wrong?
The anniversary of the Rabaa massacre highlights the Muslim Brotherhood's fatal miscalculations following the 2013 coup, and the growing internal fissures that continue to divide the group today.
Aug 12, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
In Wake of Coup Attempt in Turkey, Lessons for the U.S. From Egypt's Military Takeover
Given Erdogan's crucial role against the Islamic State, Washington should be careful not to alienate him, in particular by avoiding critical public statements that won't change his behavior anyway.
Jul 22, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Coup Is a Sign of Hope for Exiled Egyptian Islamists
Erdogan's response to the coup is feeding the revenge fantasies of Muslim Brotherhood leaders eager to return home and seize power back from the Sisi government.
Jul 19, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Ballot Box to the Caliphate
If the Muslim Brotherhood gets another chance at power, it will work even harder and faster to exclude its competitors and pursue an Islamic state.
Jul 17, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Jun 22, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Costly Nuclear Project
Cairo's expensive nuclear deal with Moscow will likely increase the country's economic burden and susceptibility to Russian influence.
Jun 16, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
May 10, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Apr 21, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Apr 8, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Strong Team Faces High Hurdles
Given the risks associated with further economic reform, Egypt's appointment of new and highly qualified cabinet ministers will not necessarily result in new policies.
Mar 30, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt Renews Its Crackdown on NGOs
By once again targeting foreign-funded NGOs, Sisi's government is reactivating the cycle of recriminations that nearly torpedoed the U.S.-Egypt relationship four years ago.
Mar 24, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington
By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.
Feb 11, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Jan 25, 2016
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Eric Trager
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