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Fikra Forum
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Kurdish Optimism on Biden Is a Product of Past Experiences
Optimism on Biden in Iraqi Kurdistan is driven by historical ties. But contemporary political views on U.S. policy in the region may shape the Biden presidency in new, less comfortable ways.
Dec 17, 2020
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Sardar Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Women and Youth Are Shaping Libya’s Political Dialogue—but More Progress Is Needed for Inclusivity
Libya's political process will require input from all its people, including women, youth, and minorities, to ensure a government that governs the country fairly and legitimately.
Dec 17, 2020
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Ranwa El-Kikhia
Articles & Testimony
To Secure an Iran Nuclear Deal, Include the Mideast’s Powers
For two decades and running, diplomatic efforts have noticeably omitted the regional states most directly in the line of Tehran’s fire, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.
Dec 15, 2020
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Jay Solomon
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
The Evolving National Security Threat Landscape: Treasury's Expanding Toolkit
A senior Treasury official explains the department's growing mission to prevent terrorists, proliferators, human rights violators, and corrupt government officials from abusing the global financial system.
Dec 15, 2020
Articles & Testimony
Yemen Policy From the Inside Out
The conflict continues because none of the local parties is strong enough to win, weak enough to lose, or incentivized toward peace, but the Biden administration can do something about the latter problem.
Dec 15, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
My Beloved Brothers in God, This Is an Invitation: The Islamic State’s Dawa and Mosques Administration
An in-depth study on how the group's outreach and proselytization activities evolved before, during, and after its jihadist state-building project in Iraq and Syria.
December 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
‘Strategic Patience’ and Iran’s “Resistance Axis”: An Enduring Challenge for Biden's Administration
Iran and the “Resistance Axis” are poised for another round of “strategic patience,” which, if ignored, will serve to the detriment of the United States, its allies and partners.
Dec 11, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda’s External Operations One Year After the Pensacola Attack
Drone campaigns have greatly culled the group’s leadership, but leaders are replaceable, and the guided-attack model seen in Pensacola could be a significant force multiplier for any locally rooted affiliates who seek to strike abroad in the coming years.
Dec 11, 2020
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Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Reform, Not Violence, Will Ease Iraqi Kurdish Protests
In addition to publicly condemning the violent repression of demonstrations, Washington should urge its Kurdish allies to stop stalling on economic reforms at home and budget negotiations with Baghdad.
Dec 10, 2020
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Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Shifts Toward Peace with Israel—and with Qatar
November 2020 polling reviews an Emirati public split on major foreign policy questions, from peace with Israel to the U.S. election and the rift with Qatar.
Dec 10, 2020
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David Pollock
Catherine Cleveland
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Has Created Parallel Financial and Welfare Systems to Manage the Current Crisis
To contain corrupt actors and facilitate reform, the international community must provide alternatives to Hezbollah pharmaceutical and food programs while filling gaps that the group is unable to address.
Dec 9, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
New Saudi Poll Shows Increased Support for Israel Contacts, But with Caveats
This article originally included a polling error. The article has been updated to reflect the corrected data. Read the corrected article.
Dec 9, 2020
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Will Play Biden, But Stick to Putin
The new U.S. administration will have a brief, early window to exert leverage, but Erdogan’s asymmetric relationship with Moscow may keep him from substantially altering Turkish policy on the S-400 dispute and regional issues.
Dec 9, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Correction: New Saudi Poll Shows Sharp Rise in Support for Israel Ties, Despite Caveats
New polling data provides a window into popular Saudi views of the Abraham Accords and other foreign policy concerns facing the kingdom.
Dec 8, 2020
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Take a Strategic View Towards Iraq
The country need not be a top foreign policy priority, but the Biden administration would be wise to invest in Iraqi security, unity, and democracy amid competition with Russia, China, and Iran.
Dec 8, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Syrian Refugee Conference Highlights Just How Far Away a Solution Is
After years of military cooperation in a conflict that has displaced millions of Syrians, the Assad regime and Russia arranged for a two-day conference that began on November 11 in Damascus, which they presented as a means to move forward on the issue of Syrian refugees and displaced persons. In
Dec 7, 2020
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Omar Abu Layla
Articles & Testimony
Is OPEC Finally Beginning to Unravel?
Drastically lowered revenues, changing energy markets, political squabbling, and a new U.S. administration may eventually break the cartel’s cyclical status quo.
Dec 4, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Soft Power Projection in the Middle East
Moscow conducts far more soft-power activity in the region than one might suspect, using subversive and opaque versions of the same tools employed by the West.
Dec 4, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Opposition vs. the AKP: Measuring Messaging
Challengers to Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan are proliferating, with two breakaway parties drawing particular notice. In December 2019, Ahmet Davutoglu, who served under Erdogan as foreign minister and then prime minister, formed Gelecek (Future) in an attempt to resurrect a gentler version of the Justice and Development Party (AKP)
Dec 4, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Reilly Barry
Brief Analysis
Iran Vies for More Influence in Iraq at a Budget Price
Tehran aims to earn hard currency for its relatively cheap military hardware, ideally boosting its leverage in Baghdad at a fraction of the cost that the United States has been spending there.
Dec 3, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
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