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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Domestic Woes in Light of U.S. Pressure
Though the recent normalization deal between Israel and several Arab states certainly poses a new challenge to Iran, it is the unique combination of the past year’s events that is pushing the Islamic Republic towards an existential crisis.
Oct 30, 2020
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The White Paper: When Structural Adjustment Comes to Iraq
The Iraqi government has recently released a white paper detailing economic and financial reforms meant to lift the country out of its current economic straits. The White Paper for Economic Reforms—written by the Crisis Cell for Financial and Fiscal Reforms, established in May to manage the country’s fiscal reforms—largely proposes
Oct 30, 2020
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Sardar Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In Search of a Semi-Autonomous Region in Northeastern Syria
Before the coronavirus pandemic, I had travelled to northeastern Syria twice in twelve months. On my most recent trip in Manbij, I found myself walking wide-eyed into a hardware store like any I would have frequented at home in the United States. Various electrical conduits and fittings for outlet boxes
Oct 29, 2020
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Brief Analysis
How Does Indonesia View the Prospect of Normalization with Israel?
Jakarta’s domestic politics make normalization unlikely despite years of positive signals, but the United States should nevertheless urge it to consider incremental, mutually beneficial steps toward rapprochement with Jerusalem.
Oct 28, 2020
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Michael Singh
Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Keeps Losing Turkey
The EU has repeatedly gotten its policy toward Ankara wrong, inadvertently helping Erdogan at key points during the rise of his illiberal movement while creating preventable tensions over various regional and domestic issues.
Oct 28, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Raffaella Del Sarto
Articles & Testimony
Yitzhak Rabin Was Always a Realist. How Would He Have Handled the 2020 Mideast?
For starters, he would have used the new ties with Gulf states as a bridge to the Palestinians, not a bypass road.
Oct 28, 2020
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ten Years Since the “Arab Spring”: Despair Has Not Become More Comfortable
Recent polling of Arab youth demonstrates the frustration that young Arabs continue to feel with their governments and at the lack of opportunities available to them, a decade after the Arab spring.
Oct 27, 2020
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Michael Milshtein
Brief Analysis
The Sudan Agreement: Implications of Another Arab-Israel Milestone
The latest deal shows how firm U.S. pressure, quiet contacts with Israel, and domestic political breakthroughs can help Arab governments advance normalization even in the face of popular opposition and past military conflict.
Oct 26, 2020
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
What Does Iran’s Supreme Leader Expect from the Next U.S. President?
Ayatollah Khamenei is wholly focused on preserving the political system he has so painstakingly built, but trends suggest a shaky Iranian future regardless of who wins the U.S. election.
Oct 23, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Back into the Shadows? The Future of Kata'ib Hezbollah and Iran's Other Proxies in Iraq
History may be repeating itself as Tehran develops new, smaller, and more secure Iraqi cells reminiscent of the formation of KH itself.
Oct 23, 2020
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
To Realize its Interests, Lebanon Must Navigate Away from Confrontation with Israel
On announcing the recent framework for Lebanese negotiations with Israel, mediated by the United States under the auspices of the UN, the Lebanese Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri used language that marked a sharp departure from decades of vitriolic discourse aimed at the “Zionist Entity.” Berri repeatedly spoke of the
Oct 23, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Early Elections May Not Be a Game Changer
While Iraqi elites seem to see the announcement of early elections as a major development, polling reveals that Iraqi public opinion is less optimistic about the moves ability to promise major change.
Oct 22, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt's Parliamentary Election at Stake
Egypt’s upcoming elections are shining the spotlight on the parliament’s deteriorating performance and credibility.
Oct 22, 2020
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Articles & Testimony
Turkish Foreign Policy Trends: An In-Depth Conversation
The director of The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program speaks with French students about what Erdogan's recent policy thrust means for Europe and the United States.
Oct 22, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Fear of the Popular Figure: The Execution of Navid Afkari
Navid Afkari, a 27 year-old Iranian wrestling champion who won numerous medals, had rarely lost a fight in his life. There was, however, one struggle he could not win. Following torture and a forced confession, Navid was executed earlier this month following a verdict by the Iranian Supreme Court. Navid
Oct 21, 2020
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Nir Boms
Shayan Arya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Response to Abraham Accords Suggests Dwindling Role of Jerusalem in Sunni Terrorist Rhetoric
Given the importance of the role Jerusalem has played in many Sunni terrorist organizations’ public rhetoric in the past, one might have expected the response to the Abraham Accords to be correspondingly strong. Surprisingly, major Sunni terrorist organizations have largely disregarded or made only passing reference to the recently signed
Oct 21, 2020
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Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
In-Depth Reports
A Paris Reset on Hezbollah?
Implications for French Interests and Regional Security
In this study, counterterrorism expert Matthew Levitt explores the history and current status of Hezbollah operations against French interests, and details how a change in Paris's longstanding opposition to designating the group could bolster French efforts to stabilize Lebanon.
Oct 20, 2020
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Keeping Down a Diminished Islamic State:
The Prospect of an October Surprise Attack
The relatively low risk underscores the importance of Washington’s continued pressure to curtail the jihadist group’s strike capability outside its areas of operation.
Oct 20, 2020
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Ido Levy
Articles & Testimony
Bandar Speaks Out: The Changing Landscape in the Mideast
Palestinian leaders previously never had to acknowledge their mistakes or account for missed opportunities, preventing them from learning critical lessons and adjusting their behavior.
Oct 19, 2020
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Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Prospects for Syrian Kurdish Unity: Assessing Local and Regional Dynamics
In October 2019, the U.S. troop withdrawal and subsequent Turkish invasion of northern Syria upended Kurdish plans in the region. But a year later, the major Syrian Kurdish rivals—the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and Kurdish National Council (KNC)—are coming together after a lengthy estrangement. This past June, representatives from the
Oct 19, 2020
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Sirwan Kajjo
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