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Brief Analysis
Recount Will Test the Integrity of Iraq’s Elections
If conducted in a transparent and accountable fashion, the process could infuse some much-needed confidence into the country’s democratic process, despite the risks.
Jun 11, 2018
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Model: Japan or North Korea?
Given Tehran’s threat to scale up its enrichment efforts, how far might its nuclear program go post-JCPOA, and what lessons might it draw from U.S. discussions with Pyongyang?
Jun 8, 2018
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Jordan Dismantle the “Deep State” Moguls?
Today, Jordan’s government is facing backlash after a long period of corruption labeled a “deep state” system. Citizens are organizing demonstrations rejecting federal decisions to increase taxes and impose further strict rules on the people that would negatively affect their livelihoods. Recently, some political figures have used the term "deep
Jun 7, 2018
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Shehab Al-Makahleh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Iraqi and Syrian Crises: A Strategic Definition
Political conflict in the Islamic world began between two schools headed by the Imam Ali ibn Abi Talib and Muawiyah ibn Abi Sufyan. A bloody fight for power led to a conflict that still persists today in the form of the Sunni-Shia divide and the Turkish-Arab-Iranian conflict. Defining the current
Jun 6, 2018
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Haitham Numan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran, Israel, Syria, and the U.S.: Views From China
Next week, President Rouhani of Iran will visit China for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, on the margins of a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Two weeks ago, coincidentally, I spoke in Shanghai at a mid-sized meeting billed as “the first conference on Syria ever held in
Jun 6, 2018
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Iran Will Spare Hezbollah in Its Conflict with Israel, for Now
Hezbollah is an organic part of the IRGC-QF, so its purported desire to distance itself from Iran would only mean its end.
Jun 5, 2018
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Hanin Ghaddar
Nader Uskowi
Brief Analysis
Will U.S.-Turkish Progress on Manbij Lead to Wider Cooperation in Syria?
The feuding NATO allies have apparently agreed on a concrete roadmap for rolling back the Kurds, but broader strategic cooperation would require them to overcome tall political obstacles.
Jun 5, 2018
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Saudi Cabinet Changes: The 'March of Modernization'?
The raft of new appointments reflects the crown prince’s vision of transforming the economy, but a simultaneous statement about recent arrests shows the limits on political freedom.
Jun 4, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Why Talks with the Turks Matter More Than Ever
U.S. and Turkish officials have four main security and legal disputes to work out, and the geopolitical stakes are immense.
Jun 4, 2018
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James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Book Review: The Soviet-Israeli War, 1967-1973
New evidence sheds light on Soviet involvement in Egypt and helps frame Vladimir Putin’s current efforts in the Middle East.
Jun 1, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
China in the Middle East: Following in American Footsteps?
Growing great-power competition and a shift in American defense policy could create a power vacuum in the Middle East.
Jun 1, 2018
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
How Hezbollah Uses Dreams to Inspire Jihad and Sanctify Martyrdom
The group’s online media apparatus strategically wields dream accounts to serve the organizational goals of reinforcing a belief in martyrdom.
Jun 1, 2018
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Kendall Bianchi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Treasury Increases the Pressure on Iranian Airlines
Numerous individual aircraft and front companies were added to the Treasury sanctions list, but naming even more of them could boost U.S. efforts to pressure Iran and close the IRGC’s Syrian air bridge.
Jun 1, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Sanctions on Turkey: Reconciling Washington’s Diverging Views
Despite the deep-seated problems roiling the bilateral relationship, U.S. legislators need to understand the potentially dire geopolitical consequences of putting heavy pressure on a fellow NATO member.
Jun 1, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Religion and the Israel-Palestinian Conflict: Cause, Consequence, and Cure
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is driven by several factors: ethnic, national, historical, and religious. This brief essay focuses on the religious dimension of the conflict, which both historical and recent events suggest lies at its core. That much is almost a truism. What is less often appreciated, however, is how much
May 31, 2018
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Mohamed Galal Mostafa
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Crumbling Israeli Left-Wing and Netanyahu’s Power
Background: The Infallible Israeli Right-Wing As Israel faces an election due in 2019, the factors that have caused the deterioration of the Israeli left will likely inhibit their ability to take the majority from the right-wing Likud. Since 2009, Likud chairman Benjamin Netanyahu has held onto power as the Prime
May 31, 2018
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Ilyssa Tuttelman
Brief Analysis
Framing Yemen Peace Negotiations
Prodding the main parties to compromise on entrenched demands and make room for more factions at the negotiating table would be a good first step in moving from escalation to transition.
May 31, 2018
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Numbers Versus Narratives in Israel-Palestine
To paraphrase Daniel Patrick Moynihan, everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own numbers. After a bloody week earlier this month in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, emotions all around the world are running high, with recriminations flying on both sides of the argument regarding whether Israel used excessive
May 30, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Washington Should Recognize the Russian Strategic Achievement in Syria
Russia is victorious in Syria. It has succeeded in rescuing the Damascus regime, its difficult yet valuable client, from what seemed to be an unavoidable demise. More importantly, it has leveraged the crisis management of the Syrian conflict to create a regional balance between seemingly incompatible powers — Israel, Turkey
May 29, 2018
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Current Turmoil in Middle East Producing One Winner: Putin
Even though Moscow seems less invested in Iran's presence in Syria, Putin's political opportunism should still draw concern from Israel and the United States.
May 27, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
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